Monday , 17 August 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 12:00 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marvin Mehlem 34' 1–0
1–1 42' Felix Gotze og
1–2 61' Denis Huseinbasic

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Koln2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Christian Leicher

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar 1. FC Köln H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 5–3 W
09 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–0 D
02 Mar Hamburger SV H 2–0 W
22 Feb Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
14 Feb SC Preußen Münster H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar SC Paderborn 07 A 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–1 W
08 Mar SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–0 W
01 Mar Karlsruher SC A 0–1 L
23 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Magdeburg A 0–3 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FC Koln.
  • 5' Manuel Riemann, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 6' Marvin Schwabe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 6.
  • 11' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Paderborn 07 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 16' SC Paderborn 07 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FC Koln backline.
  • 21' 1. FC Koln started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 21.
  • 26' Germany international Eric Martel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 34' GOAL! Marvin Mehlem scores on 34. Assisted by Filip Bilbija
  • 39' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Koln are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 42' The deadlock is broken! Felix Gotze gets on the scoresheet on 42 minutes.
  • 47' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 51' Filip Bilbija was booked on 51.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 61' What composure from Denis Huseinbasic! The Bosnia-Herzegovina international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 62' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Adriano Grimaldi comes on to replace Casper Terho.
  • 67' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 69' That looks like a foul for a card for Sven Michel.
  • 71' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07Sebastian Klaas on, Marvin Mehlem off on 71 minutes.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Florian Kainz. He replaces Denis Huseinbasic on 74 minute.
  • 78' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Ilyas Ansah comes on to replace Felix Gotze.
  • 80' Steffen Tigges is replacing Tim Lemperle for the 1. FC Koln side.
  • 85' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FC Koln that had 398 games and scored 346 goals.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Lukas Kwasniok.
  • 90' Fresh legs for 1. FC Koln! Mikail Ozkan comes on to replace Max Finkgrafe.
  • It finishes all square. SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Koln share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 1. FC Koln xG
I would bet for: SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Koln 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0737% Draw29% 1. FC Koln34%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
66%
Draw or 1. FC Koln
63%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Koln
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0728% Draw46% 1. FC Koln26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push 1. FC Koln covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
27%
1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.