Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Koln, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 12:00 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Marvin Mehlem 34' 1–0
1–1 42' Felix Gotze og
1–2 61' Denis Huseinbasic

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Koln2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Christian Leicher
14 games this season 🟨 1.1/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar 1. FC Koln H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 5–3 W
09 Mar SSV Jahn Regensburg A 0–0 D
02 Mar Hamburger SV H 2–0 W
22 Feb Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
14 Feb SC Preussen Munster H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar SC Paderborn 07 A 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–1 W
08 Mar SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–0 W
01 Mar Karlsruher SC A 0–1 L
23 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Magdeburg A 0–3 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Home Deluxe Arena will turn into a battlefield for SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Koln.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 6' 1. FC Koln receives a card for a hard tackle on 6.
  • 11' SC Paderborn 07 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 26' 1. FC Koln seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 34' Goal! Marvin Mehlem scores his 9 goal in 234 matches.
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Paderborn 07 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 42' Goal! Felix Gotze scores his 8 goal in 433 matches.
  • 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 51' Filip Bilbija was booked on 51.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FC Koln is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' Goal! Denis Huseinbasic scores his 7 goal in 398 matches.
  • 62' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adriano Grimaldi is hanging Casper Terho on the field on 62 minute.
  • 67' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gian-Luca Waldschmidt made 493 appearances and scored 52 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' Sven Michel was booked on 69.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Sebastian Klaas. He replaces Marvin Mehlem on 71 minute.
  • 74' 1. FC Koln manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Florian Kainz is hanging Denis Huseinbasic on the field on 74 minute.
  • 78' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 78 minute. Felix Gotze leaves to be changed by Ilyas Ansah.
  • 80' It is a substitution in 1. FC Koln team. Tim Lemperle is replaced by Steffen Tigges on 80 minute.
  • 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
  • 90' Lukas Kwasniok was booked on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Max Finkgrafe as he departs to be replaced by Mikail Ozkan.
  • With this win, 1. FC Koln is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 1. FC Koln xG
I would bet for: SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Koln 71% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0737% Draw29% 1. FC Koln34%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
66%
Draw or 1. FC Koln
63%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Koln
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0728% Draw46% 1. FC Koln26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push 1. FC Koln covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 20% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
27%
1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.