SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Koln, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Koln — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FC Koln 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
- Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
- Assistant 2 Christian Leicher
14 games this season
🟨 1.1/game
⚽ 7.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 5–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Mar | Hamburger SV | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Feb | SC Preussen Munster | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | SSV Ulm 1846 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | Karlsruher SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Feb | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Feb | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 0–3 | L |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Home Deluxe Arena will turn into a battlefield for SC Paderborn 07 and 1. FC Koln.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 6' 1. FC Koln receives a card for a hard tackle on 6.
- 11' SC Paderborn 07 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 16' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 26' 1. FC Koln seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 31' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 34' Goal! Marvin Mehlem scores his 9 goal in 234 matches.
- 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Paderborn 07 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 42' Goal! Felix Gotze scores his 8 goal in 433 matches.
- 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 51' Filip Bilbija was booked on 51.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FC Koln is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 61' Goal! Denis Huseinbasic scores his 7 goal in 398 matches.
- 62' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adriano Grimaldi is hanging Casper Terho on the field on 62 minute.
- 67' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gian-Luca Waldschmidt made 493 appearances and scored 52 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 69' Sven Michel was booked on 69.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Sebastian Klaas. He replaces Marvin Mehlem on 71 minute.
- 74' 1. FC Koln manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Florian Kainz is hanging Denis Huseinbasic on the field on 74 minute.
- 78' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 78 minute. Felix Gotze leaves to be changed by Ilyas Ansah.
- 80' It is a substitution in 1. FC Koln team. Tim Lemperle is replaced by Steffen Tigges on 80 minute.
- 85' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 85 minutes.
- 90' Lukas Kwasniok was booked on 90.
- 90' The whistle greets Max Finkgrafe as he departs to be replaced by Mikail Ozkan.
- With this win, 1. FC Koln is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
-
20
Felix Gotze ↓ Ilyas Ansah 78'
- 1
-
6
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Sebastian Klaas 71'
- 11
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Mattes Hansen 62'
-
24
Casper Terho ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 62'
- 33
- 32
- 5
- 25
Bench
- 30
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 62'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 71'
- 19
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↑ 62'
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 78'
- 43
- 21
- 42
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
1. FC Koln Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 9
- 17
- 1
-
29
Jan Thielmann ↓ Neo Telle 80'
-
19
Tim Lemperle ↓ Steffen Tigges 80'
- 2
- 27
- 6
- 47
- 8
-
35
Max Finkgrafe ↓ Mikail Ozkan 90'
Bench
-
11
Florian Kainz ↑ 74'
- 26
- 13
-
21
Steffen Tigges ↑ 80'
- 16
- 39
-
49
Neo Telle ↑ 80'
- 46
-
30
Mikail Ozkan ↑ 90'
Coach
Gerhard Struber
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sven Michel | 2 |
| Simon Terodde | 1 |
| Louis Schaub | 1 |
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | 1 |
| Jonas Hector | 1 |
| Jorge Mere | 1 |
| Dennis Srbeny | 1 |
| Jan Thielmann | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
1. FC Koln xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Koln 71% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FC Koln win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
66%
Draw or 1. FC Koln
63%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Koln
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Koln covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 20% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

