SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern 34 games · 52 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Wolfgang Haslberger
- Assistant 1 Christian Ballweg (Germany)
- Assistant 2 Tobias Endriss
13 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 5–3 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Mar | Hamburger SV | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Feb | SC Preussen Munster | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | SSV Ulm 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 3–5 | L |
| 07 Mar | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Feb | Hamburger SV | A | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Feb | Hannover 96 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | Hertha BSC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #6 |
| 62 | Points | 52 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 16 / 4 / 14 |
| 59 | Scored | 52 |
| 45 | Conceded | 47 |
| +14 | GD | +5 |
| 1.82 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 53% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
26%
Clean Sheets
1. FC Kaiserslautern this season
1. FC Kaiserslautern this season
SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). 1. FC Kaiserslautern are 6th (52 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: 1. FC Kaiserslautern gets underway.
- 2' Brilliant from the ! Aaron Zehnter makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 2.
- 7' Over 7 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 8' Raphael Obermair does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Paderborn 07 surge ahead!
- 13' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' The Germany Filip Bilbija breaks the deadlock on 15 minutes. 3-0!
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' SC Paderborn 07 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' SC Paderborn 07 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ilyas Ansah on 36.
- 41' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Daniel Hanslik doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Ilyas Ansah departs to be replaced by Sven Michel.
- 50' The referee has no hesitation. Laurin Curda is booked for SC Paderborn 07 — card on 50.
- 53' Ragnar Ache adds to his 1 season tally! 1. FC Kaiserslautern lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
- 55' Controversy at the stadium! Tim Breithaupt argues furiously but the card stands.
- 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
- 61' The deadlock is broken! Ragnar Ache gets on the scoresheet on 61 minutes.
- 65' 1. FC Kaiserslautern ring the changes. Kenny Prince Redondo has done his job and it is now time for Daisuke Yokota to step up.
- 66' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Mattes Hansen on, Martin Ens off on 66 minutes.
- 71' 1. FC Kaiserslautern is showing some good football. However, 1. FC Kaiserslautern are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 72' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Adriano Grimaldi makes it 4-3.
- 77' 1. FC Kaiserslautern fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 79' It is a substitution in SC Paderborn 07 team. Filip Bilbija is replaced by Sebastian Klaas on 79 minute.
- 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Adriano Grimaldi on 84 minutes.
- 85' Grant-Leon Ranos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jean Zimmer on 85 minute.
- 90' 1. FC Kaiserslautern manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Simon Simoni is hanging Julian Krahl on the field on 90 minute.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern will have plenty to reflect on. SC Paderborn 07 were simply the better side today.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 20
- 1
- 6
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sebastian Klaas 79'
- 33
- 32
- 5
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Sven Michel 46'
-
43
Martin Ens ↓ Mattes Hansen 66'
Bench
- 30
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 66'
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 46'
-
26
Sebastian Klaas ↑ 79'
- 24
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 85'
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↑ 66'
- 37
- 38
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
1. FC Kaiserslautern Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
1
Julian Krahl ↓ Simon Simoni 90'
- 11
- 5
-
8
Jean Zimmer ↓ Grant-Leon Ranos 85'
- 9
- 19
- 33
- 16
- 3
-
31
Luca Sirch ↓ Faride Alidou 85'
-
26
Filip Kaloc ↓ Leon Robinson 65'
Bench
- 6
- 13
- 20
- 27
-
48
Faride Alidou ↑ 85'
-
25
Simon Simoni ↑ 90'
-
42
Grant-Leon Ranos ↑ 85'
-
41
Daisuke Yokota ↑ 65'
-
37
Leon Robinson ↑ 65'
Coach
Markus Anfang
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ragnar Ache | 4 |
| Marlon Ritter | 2 |
| Aaron Zehnter | 2 |
| Florent Muslija | 1 |
| Jan Elvedi | 1 |
| David Kinsombi | 1 |
| Visar Musliu | 1 |
| Luca Sirch | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
1. FC Kaiserslautern Form
2025-03-15
SC Paderborn 07
5–3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2025-03-07
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–1
SV 07 Elversberg
D
2025-03-01
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
SSV Jahn Regensburg
W
2025-02-21
Hamburger SV
3–0
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2025-02-15
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–0
Hannover 96
D
2025-02-08
Hertha BSC
0–1
1. FC Kaiserslautern
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.4
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
1. FC Kaiserslautern xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
77%
Draw or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
44%
SC Paderborn 07 or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–3 not predicted5 – 3Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | 1. FC Kaiserslautern covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 20% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 13% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
1. FC Kaiserslautern keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

