Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | H | 4–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | SC Preussen Munster | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Hannover 96 | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar | Hamburger SV | A | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Feb | 1. FC Köln | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Hertha BSC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Feb | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | SSV Ulm 1846 | H | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Hamburger SV is hosting TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf for another epic battle.
- 5' Shinta Appelkamp is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hamburger SV so far.
- 7' GOAL! Miro Muheim fires home to make it 1-0!
- 8' Poor challenge from Florian Kastenmeier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 13' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 18' Dawid Kownacki adds to his 0 season tally! TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 23' Jamil Siebert has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 302 appearances.
- 28' Germany international Tim Oberdorf has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 33' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Thioune might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dzenan Pejcinovic suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' Davie Selke puts Hamburger SV on the lead.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf that had 302 games and scored 271 goals.
- 52' Time for substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Moritz-Broni Kwarteng is replaced by Shinta Appelkamp.
- 57' Daniel Elfadli has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 58' It’s a booking for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player. Jamil Siebert gets a card.
- 63' The 31-year-old Jonas Meffert has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 66' Adam Karabec is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
- 68' Poor challenge from Davie Selke. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 76' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. William Mikelbrencis is withdrawn and Silvan Hefti gets his opportunity.
- 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hamburger SV and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 85' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace Adam Karabec by Fabio Balde on 85 minute.
- 86' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Myron van Brederode is hanging Nicolas Gavory on the field on 86 minute.
- 90' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Otto Stange on, Ludovit Reis off on 90 minutes.
- The final score is 4-1.
Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 23
-
14
Ludovit Reis ↓ Otto Stange 90'
- 27
- 1
- 5
- 7
-
29
Emir Sahiti ↓ Marco Richter 85'
- 28
-
17
Adam Karabec ↓ Fabio Balde 85'
- 2
- 8
Bench
- 12
-
20
Marco Richter ↑ 85'
- 4
-
30
Silvan Hefti ↑ 76'
-
11
Ransford Konigsdorffer ↑ 76'
- 6
- 16
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 90'
-
45
Fabio Balde ↑ 85'
Coach
Merlin Polzin
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 34
- 25
-
3
Andre Hoffmann ↓ Emmanuel Iyoha 76'
-
24
Dawid Kownacki ↓ Jona Niemiec 86'
- 5
- 33
- 8
- 20
- 11
- 15
- 7
Bench
-
19
Emmanuel Iyoha ↑ 76'
-
9
Vincent Vermeij ↑ 76'
- 46
- 44
-
23
Shinta Appelkamp ↑ 52'
- 26
-
10
Myron van Brederode ↑ 86'
-
18
Jona Niemiec ↑ 86'
- 22
Coach
Daniel Thioune
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Glatzel | 2 |
| Jean-Luc Dompe | 1 |
| Davie Selke | 1 |
| Miro Muheim | 1 |
| Adam Karabec | 1 |
| Otto Stange | 1 |
| Dawid Kownacki | 1 |
| Laszlo Benes | 1 |
Head to Head
Hamburger SV Form
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Form
2025-03-08
Hamburger SV
4–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2025-02-28
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–2
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
L
2025-02-23
1. FC Köln
1–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
D
2025-02-15
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
2–1
Hertha BSC
W
2025-02-09
Hannover 96
1–1
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
D
2025-02-01
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
3–2
SSV Ulm 1846
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98
Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
I would bet for:
Hamburger SV to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Hamburger SV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
83%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
40%
Hamburger SV or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Hamburger SV win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
| Handicap | Hamburger SV covers | Push | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

