Tuesday , 21 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 19:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Miro Muheim 7' 1–0
1–1 18' Dawid Kownacki
Davie Selke 40' 2–1
Adam Karabec 66' 3–1
Otto Stange 90+4' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 4–1 W
02 Mar SC Paderborn 07 A 0–2 L
21 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
16 Feb SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–1 D
07 Feb SC Preussen Munster A 2–1 W
02 Feb Hannover 96 H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Hamburger SV A 1–4 L
28 Feb SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–2 L
23 Feb 1. FC Köln A 1–1 D
15 Feb Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
09 Feb Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
01 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 H 3–2 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Hamburger SV is hosting TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf for another epic battle.
  • 5' Shinta Appelkamp is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hamburger SV so far.
  • 7' GOAL! Miro Muheim fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 8' Poor challenge from Florian Kastenmeier. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 13' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 18' Dawid Kownacki adds to his 0 season tally! TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 23' Jamil Siebert has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 302 appearances.
  • 28' Germany international Tim Oberdorf has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 33' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Thioune might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 38' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dzenan Pejcinovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Davie Selke puts Hamburger SV on the lead.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Hamburger SV is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 50' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf that had 302 games and scored 271 goals.
  • 52' Time for substitution for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf. Moritz-Broni Kwarteng is replaced by Shinta Appelkamp.
  • 57' Daniel Elfadli has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 58' It’s a booking for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player. Jamil Siebert gets a card.
  • 63' The 31-year-old Jonas Meffert has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 66' Adam Karabec is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the midfielder.
  • 68' Poor challenge from Davie Selke. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 76' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. William Mikelbrencis is withdrawn and Silvan Hefti gets his opportunity.
  • 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Hamburger SV and TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 85' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace Adam Karabec by Fabio Balde on 85 minute.
  • 86' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Myron van Brederode is hanging Nicolas Gavory on the field on 86 minute.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Hamburger SVOtto Stange on, Ludovit Reis off on 90 minutes.
  • The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV60% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf17%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
83%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
40%
Hamburger SV or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV43% Draw43% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf14%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.1%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 1
4.3%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
39%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.