SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2024-25

SC Paderborn 07

2 – 0

Full Time

Hamburger SV

Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Filip Bilbija 15' 1–0

Adriano Grimaldi 84' 2–0

Filip Bilbija 47' Y

Y 63' Adam Karabec

Casper Terho 64' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robert Kampka
Assistant 1 Patrick Kessel
Assistant 2 Martin Wilke (Germany)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	2	6
2	Hertha BSC	2	6
3	Karlsruher SC	2	4
4	Eintracht Braunschweig	2	3
5	FC Energie Cottbus	1	3
6	VfL Bochum 1848	2	3
7	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	2	3
8	1. FC Magdeburg	2	3
9	Holstein Kiel	2	2
10	FC St. Pauli 1910	2	2
11	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2	2
12	SV Darmstadt 98	1	1
13	VfL Wolfsburg	1	1
14	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903	2	1
15	Arminia Bielefeld	1	0
16	Hannover 96	1	0
17	SG Dynamo Dresden	1	0
18	VfL Osnabruck	2	0

Head-to-Head

SC Paderborn 07 5 games · Avg 2.4 goals Hamburger SV

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV 2024-09-28 Hamburger SV 2–2 SC Paderborn 07 2024-05-10 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV 2023-12-09 Hamburger SV 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2019-04-02 SC Paderborn 07 0–2 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Hamburger SV	H	2–0	W
22 Feb	Hannover 96	A	1–1	D
14 Feb	SC Preußen Münster	H	2–0	W
08 Feb	SSV Ulm 1846	A	2–0	W
02 Feb	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903	H	1–2	L
26 Jan	SV Darmstadt 98	A	1–0	W

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	SC Paderborn 07	A	0–2	L
21 Feb	1. FC Kaiserslautern	H	3–0	W
16 Feb	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	1–1	D
07 Feb	SC Preußen Münster	A	2–1	W
02 Feb	Hannover 96	H	2–2	D
25 Jan	Hertha BSC	A	3–2	W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV has kicked off!
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Manuel Riemann, as he is very good at scoring at Home Deluxe Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
10' SC Paderborn 07 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
15' GOAL! Filip Bilbija fires home to make it 1-0!
20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
25' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
35' Marcel Hoffmeier needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
36' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Calvin Brackelmann is replaced by Santiago Castaneda.
41' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Adam Karabec has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
46' With 0 assists to his name this season, Calvin Brackelmann is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Paderborn 07.
47' SC Paderborn 07 receives a card for a hard tackle on 47.
52' Hamburger SV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
62' The supporters are chanting for Fabio Balde. He replaces Emir Sahiti on 62 minute.
63' The referee calls foul for Adam Karabec. He receives a card.
64' The referee calls foul for Casper Terho. He receives a card.
69' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
71' The crowd applauds Casper Terho as he leaves the pitch. Adriano Grimaldi steps in for SC Paderborn 07.
74' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Ransford Konigsdorffer on, Adam Karabec off on 74 minutes.
76' SC Paderborn 07 ring the changes. Tjark Scheller has done his job and it is now time for Mattes Hansen to step up.
81' Dennis Hadzikadunic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
84' Adriano Grimaldi adds to his 0 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
89' Hamburger SV ring the changes. Ludovit Reis has done his job and it is now time for Otto Stange to step up.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

20
Felix Gotze
1
Manuel Riemann
6
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Laurin Curda 76'
23
Raphael Obermair
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sven Michel 71'
24
Casper Terho ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 71'
33
Marcel Hoffmeier
4
Calvin Brackelmann ↓ Santiago Castaneda 36'
32
Aaron Zehnter
29
Ilyas Ansah
25
Tjark Scheller ↓ Mattes Hansen 76'

Bench

30
Markus Schubert
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 71'
11
Sven Michel ↑ 71'
19
Luca Herrmann
5
Santiago Castaneda ↑ 36'
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 76'
22
Mattes Hansen ↑ 76'

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

Hamburger SV Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

23
Jonas Meffert ↓ Marco Richter 74'
14
Ludovit Reis ↓ Otto Stange 89'
27
Davie Selke
1
Daniel Fernandes
5
Dennis Hadzikadunic
7
Jean-Luc Dompe
29
Emir Sahiti ↓ Fabio Balde 62'
28
Miro Muheim
17
Adam Karabec ↓ Ransford Konigsdorffer 74'
2
William Mikelbrencis
8
Daniel Elfadli

Bench

Coach Merlin Polzin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Filip Bilbija	4
Pierre-Michel Lasogga	2
Davie Selke	1
Robert Glatzel	1
Adriano Grimaldi	1
Laszlo Benes	1
Ilyas Ansah	1
Koen Kostons	1

Head to Head

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV W 2025-02-22 Hannover 96 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 D 2025-02-14 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 SC Preußen Münster W 2025-02-08 SSV Ulm 1846 0–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2025-02-02 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 L 2025-01-26 SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 SC Paderborn 07 W

Hamburger SV Form

2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-02-21 Hamburger SV 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2025-02-16 SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2025-02-07 SC Preußen Münster 1–2 Hamburger SV W 2025-02-02 Hamburger SV 2–2 Hannover 96 D 2025-01-25 Hertha BSC 2–3 Hamburger SV W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.45 SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1 Hamburger SV xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Paderborn 0749% Draw27% Hamburger SV24%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.45

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw

77%

Draw or Hamburger SV

51%

SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0732% Draw49% Hamburger SV19%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

1 – 0

11.5%

0 – 0

10.7%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

8.8%

0 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

2 – 2

4.4%

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 0

4.2%

0 – 2

4.2%

3 – 2

2.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap	SC Paderborn 07 covers	Push	Hamburger SV covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	23%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

37% ✗

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.