Saturday , 14 November 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
SC Paderborn 07
2 – 0
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena 15,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Filip Bilbija 15' 1–0
Adriano Grimaldi 84' 2–0
Filip Bilbija 47' Y
Y 63' Adam Karabec
Casper Terho 64' Y

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Kampka
  • Assistant 1 Patrick Kessel
  • Assistant 2 Martin Wilke (Germany)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Hertha BSC 11 31
2 1. FC Nürnberg 11 24
3 1. FC Kaiserslautern 11 21
4 1. FC Magdeburg 11 20
5 VfL Wolfsburg 11 19
6 Arminia Bielefeld 11 17
7 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 11 16
8 VfL Bochum 1848 11 14
9 FC St. Pauli 1910 11 12
10 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 11 12
11 Hannover 96 11 12
12 FC Energie Cottbus 11 11
13 Eintracht Braunschweig 11 11
14 VfL Osnabrück 11 11
15 SG Dynamo Dresden 11 11
16 Karlsruher SC 11 11
17 SV Darmstadt 98 11 9
18 Holstein Kiel 11 8

Head-to-Head

4
1
1
SC Paderborn 07 6 games · Avg 2.2 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV 2024-09-28 Hamburger SV 2–2 SC Paderborn 07 2024-05-10 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV 2023-12-09 Hamburger SV 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2019-04-02 SC Paderborn 07 0–2 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Hamburger SV H 2–0 W
22 Feb Hannover 96 A 1–1 D
14 Feb SC Preußen Münster H 2–0 W
08 Feb SSV Ulm 1846 A 2–0 W
02 Feb SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 H 1–2 L
26 Jan SV Darmstadt 98 A 1–0 W
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar SC Paderborn 07 A 0–2 L
21 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
16 Feb SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–1 D
07 Feb SC Preußen Münster A 2–1 W
02 Feb Hannover 96 H 2–2 D
25 Jan Hertha BSC A 3–2 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Home Deluxe Arena that hosts another battle between SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' The Germany forward Filip Bilbija breaks the deadlock on 15 minutes. 1-0!
  • 20' The 24-year-old Laurin Curda has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 25' SC Paderborn 07 have won 238 goals from 324 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' Hamburger SV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with SC Paderborn 07 winning 100% of all matches.
  • 36' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Santiago Castaneda on, Calvin Brackelmann off on 36 minutes.
  • 41' Manuel Riemann needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 46' Hamburger SV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 47' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Filip Bilbija.
  • 52' Ilyas Ansah has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Hamburger SV are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 62' Emir Sahiti makes way for Fabio Balde at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hamburger SV.
  • 63' The referee calls foul for Adam Karabec. He receives a card.
  • 64' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Casper Terho.
  • 69' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 71' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Casper Terho is withdrawn and Adriano Grimaldi gets his opportunity.
  • 74' The supporters are chanting for Ransford Konigsdorffer. He replaces Adam Karabec on 74 minute.
  • 76' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Tjark Scheller is withdrawn and Mattes Hansen gets his opportunity.
  • 81' SC Paderborn 07 looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Rayan Philippe scoring 1 goals.
  • 84' Assisted by Ilyas Ansah with the perfectly-timed delivery and Adriano Grimaldi makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 89' Otto Stange has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ludovit Reis on 89 minute.
  • SC Paderborn 07 celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

Hamburger SV Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Merlin Polzin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Filip Bilbija 4
Pierre-Michel Lasogga 2
Laszlo Benes 1
Ilyas Ansah 1
Koen Kostons 1
Davie Selke 1
Robert Glatzel 1
Adriano Grimaldi 1

Head to Head

2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV 2024-09-28 Hamburger SV 2–2 SC Paderborn 07 2024-05-10 SC Paderborn 07 1–0 Hamburger SV 2023-12-09 Hamburger SV 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2019-04-02 SC Paderborn 07 0–2 Hamburger SV

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV W 2025-02-22 Hannover 96 1–1 SC Paderborn 07 D 2025-02-14 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 SC Preußen Münster W 2025-02-08 SSV Ulm 1846 0–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2025-02-02 SC Paderborn 07 1–2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 L 2025-01-26 SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 SC Paderborn 07 W

Hamburger SV Form

2025-03-02 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-02-21 Hamburger SV 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern W 2025-02-16 SSV Jahn Regensburg 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2025-02-07 SC Preußen Münster 1–2 Hamburger SV W 2025-02-02 Hamburger SV 2–2 Hannover 96 D 2025-01-25 Hertha BSC 2–3 Hamburger SV W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0749% Draw27% Hamburger SV24%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
77%
Draw or Hamburger SV
51%
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SC Paderborn 0732% Draw49% Hamburger SV19%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 23% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.