SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robert Kampka
- Assistant 1 Patrick Kessel
- Assistant 2 Martin Wilke (Germany)
13 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 4.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Hamburger SV | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | Hannover 96 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Feb | SC Preussen Munster | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | SSV Ulm 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Jan | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Feb | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Feb | SC Preussen Munster | A | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Feb | Hannover 96 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jan | Hertha BSC | A | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season
SC Paderborn 07 this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for SC Paderborn 07 to score. At the same time, Hamburger SV does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Filip Bilbija puts SC Paderborn 07 on the lead.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Emir Sahiti made 128 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' SC Paderborn 07 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 30' Ransford Konigsdorffer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 36' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Santiago Castaneda is hanging Calvin Brackelmann on the field on 36 minute.
- 41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 47' The referee shows SC Paderborn 07 player a card on 47.
- 52' SC Paderborn 07 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 57' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Fabio Balde. He replaces Emir Sahiti on 62 minute.
- 63' Adam Karabec was booked on 63.
- 64' SC Paderborn 07 player sees a card in front of him.
- 69' It looks surprising Hamburger SV does not make any changes. Manuel Riemann has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 71' The SC Paderborn 07 manager makes a substitution. Casper Terho departs to be replaced by Adriano Grimaldi.
- 74' Ransford Konigsdorffer has so much to prove this time. He replaces Adam Karabec on 74 minute.
- 76' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Tjark Scheller is replaced by Mattes Hansen.
- 81' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 84' Goal! Adriano Grimaldi scores his 19 goal in 177 matches.
- 89' Otto Stange is replacing Ludovit Reis for the Hamburger SV side.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-0.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 20
- 1
-
6
Marvin Mehlem ↓ Laurin Curda 76'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sven Michel 71'
-
24
Casper Terho ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 71'
- 33
- 4
- 32
- 29
-
25
Tjark Scheller ↓ Mattes Hansen 76'
Bench
- 30
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 71'
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 71'
- 19
-
5
Santiago Castaneda ↑ 36'
-
17
Laurin Curda ↑ 76'
-
22
Mattes Hansen ↑ 76'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
Hamburger SV Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
23
Jonas Meffert ↓ Marco Richter 74'
-
14
Ludovit Reis ↓ Otto Stange 89'
- 27
- 1
- 5
- 7
-
29
Emir Sahiti ↓ Fabio Balde 62'
- 28
- 17
- 2
- 8
Bench
- 12
-
20
Marco Richter ↑ 74'
- 4
- 30
-
11
Ransford Konigsdorffer ↑ 74'
- 6
- 16
-
49
Otto Stange ↑ 89'
-
45
Fabio Balde ↑ 62'
Coach
Merlin Polzin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Filip Bilbija | 4 |
| Pierre-Michel Lasogga | 2 |
| Laszlo Benes | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
| Davie Selke | 1 |
| Robert Glatzel | 1 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.45
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
77%
Draw or Hamburger SV
51%
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.