TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | SV 07 Elversberg | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover 96 | 34 | 60 |
| 5 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 52 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha BSC | 34 | 51 |
| 8 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 34 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher SC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 39 |
| 14 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 37 |
| 16 | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | 34 | 37 |
| 17 | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | SC Preussen Munster | 34 | 30 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | SC Preussen Munster | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | Hamburger SV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Köln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | SC Paderborn 07 | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 11 / 4 / 19 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 33 | Scored | 59 |
| 53 | Conceded | 45 |
| -20 | GD | +14 |
| 1.09 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 32% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are 17th (37 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf have kicked off against SC Paderborn 07. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Andre Hoffmann has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Thioune will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tim Rossmann made 262 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf and SC Paderborn 07 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 30' SC Paderborn 07 come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 40' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 50' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Matthias Zimmermann.
- 60' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 61' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 62' Another change for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf made on 62 minute. Vincent Vermeij leaves to be changed by Dzenan Pejcinovic.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 72' It is a cagey affair so far. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past SC Paderborn 07's compact 3-4-3.
- 77' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ring the changes. Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson has done his job and it is now time for Shinta Appelkamp to step up.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Anton Bauerle. He replaces Aaron Zehnter on 80 minute.
- 82' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player sees a card in front of him.
- 84' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Felix Klaus departs to be replaced by Jona Niemiec.
- 86' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Luis Engelns is withdrawn and Luca Herrmann gets his opportunity.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 19
- 9
- 11
- 25
- 31
- 3
- 33
- 12
- 8
- 15
- 21
Bench
- 30
- 6
- 23
- 39
- 26
- 10
- 7
- 18
- 22
Coach
Daniel Thioune
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 20
- 30
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↓ Sven Michel 77'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ David Kinsombi 86'
- 4
-
32
Aaron Zehnter ↓ Anton Bauerle 80'
- 5
- 25
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Ilyas Ansah 77'
-
46
Luis Engelns ↓ Luca Herrmann 86'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 86'
- 1
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 77'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 86'
- 42
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 77'
- 9
-
21
Anton Bauerle ↑ 80'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yannik Engelhardt | 1 |
| David Kinsombi | 1 |
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Mattes Hansen | 1 |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri | 1 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
| Sebastian Schonlau | 1 |
| Dawid Kownacki | 1 |
Head to Head
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Form
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-01
SC Preussen Munster
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2024-10-26
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
3–4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2024-10-19
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–3
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2024-10-06
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
0–3
Hamburger SV
L
2024-09-27
SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2024-10-30
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Köln
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-10-19
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
2024-10-04
SC Paderborn 07
3–0
SSV Jahn Regensburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Draw
54%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
72%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or SC Paderborn 07
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

