TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.
- TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
3 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nurnberg | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Hannover 96 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | FC Energie Cottbus | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | VfL Osnabrück | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 3 | 2 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | SC Preußen Münster | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 3–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | Hamburger SV | H | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Eintracht Braunschweig | H | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | SV Werder Bremen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | 1. FC Koln | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf host SC Paderborn 07 — let the battle begin!
- 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Merkur Spiel-Arena. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aaron Zehnter, as he is very good at scoring at Merkur Spiel-Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 20' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 35' Luca Herrmann, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Calvin Brackelmann has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 55' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matthias Zimmermann on 55 minutes.
- 60' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' A goal from the Iceland international Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson! He fires home on 61 to make it 0-1!
- 62' The whistle greets Vincent Vermeij as he departs to be replaced by Dzenan Pejcinovic.
- 67' Germany international Ilyas Ansah has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 72' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 77' Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson makes way for Shinta Appelkamp at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
- 80' Anton Bauerle is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aaron Zehnter at the 80 minute mark.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Shinta Appelkamp. He receives a card.
- 84' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Felix Klaus trudges off to be replaced by Jona Niemiec on 84 minutes.
- 86' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Luca Herrmann comes on to replace Luis Engelns.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 19
- 9
- 11
- 25
- 31
- 3
- 33
- 12
- 8
- 15
- 21
Bench
- 30
- 6
- 23
- 39
- 26
- 10
- 7
- 18
- 22
Coach
Daniel Thioune
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 20
- 30
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↓ Sven Michel 77'
- 23
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ David Kinsombi 86'
- 4
-
32
Aaron Zehnter ↓ Anton Bauerle 80'
- 5
- 25
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Ilyas Ansah 77'
-
46
Luis Engelns ↓ Luca Herrmann 86'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 86'
- 1
-
11
Sven Michel ↑ 77'
-
19
Luca Herrmann ↑ 86'
- 42
- 17
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↑ 77'
- 9
-
21
Anton Bauerle ↑ 80'
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yannik Engelhardt | 1 |
| David Kinsombi | 1 |
| Filip Bilbija | 1 |
| Mattes Hansen | 1 |
| Abdelhamid Sabiri | 1 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
| Sebastian Schonlau | 1 |
| Dawid Kownacki | 1 |
Head to Head
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Form
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-01
SC Preußen Münster
1–0
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
L
2024-10-26
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
3–4
1. FC Kaiserslautern
L
2024-10-19
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0–3
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
2024-10-06
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
0–3
Hamburger SV
L
2024-09-27
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903
1–2
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
W
SC Paderborn 07 Form
2024-11-09
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
1–1
SC Paderborn 07
D
2024-11-03
SC Paderborn 07
0–0
Eintracht Braunschweig
D
2024-10-30
SC Paderborn 07
0–1
SV Werder Bremen
L
2024-10-25
1. FC Koln
1–2
SC Paderborn 07
W
2024-10-19
1. FC Kaiserslautern
3–0
SC Paderborn 07
L
2024-10-04
SC Paderborn 07
3–0
SSV Jahn Regensburg
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or SC Paderborn 07 72% + Both teams to score 56%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
66%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or SC Paderborn 07
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
| Handicap | TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

