Tuesday , 21 July 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 19:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 35,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Felix Gotze og 90+5' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann

Recent Form

Season Stats

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf SC Paderborn 07
#17 Position #3
37 Points 62
34 Played 34
11 / 4 / 19 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
33 Scored 59
53 Conceded 45
-20 GD +14
1.09 PPG 1.82
32% Win % 53%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are 17th (37 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf have kicked off against SC Paderborn 07. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Andre Hoffmann has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Thioune will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tim Rossmann made 262 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf and SC Paderborn 07 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' SC Paderborn 07 come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 40' SC Paderborn 07 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 50' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 55' That looks like a foul for a card for Matthias Zimmermann.
  • 60' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 61' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 62' Another change for TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf made on 62 minute. Vincent Vermeij leaves to be changed by Dzenan Pejcinovic.
  • 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 72' It is a cagey affair so far. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past SC Paderborn 07's compact 3-4-3.
  • 77' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ring the changes. Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson has done his job and it is now time for Shinta Appelkamp to step up.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Anton Bauerle. He replaces Aaron Zehnter on 80 minute.
  • 82' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf player sees a card in front of him.
  • 84' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Felix Klaus departs to be replaced by Jona Niemiec.
  • 86' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Luis Engelns is withdrawn and Luca Herrmann gets his opportunity.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf28% Draw27% SC Paderborn 0745%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Draw
54%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
72%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or SC Paderborn 07
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf19% Draw44% SC Paderborn 0737%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
0 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5.1%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
17%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.