Saturday , 5 September 2026

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 9 Nov 2024 · 19:30 UTC Merkur Spiel-Arena 35,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Felix Gotze og 90+5' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Merkur Spiel-Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Exner
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Gorniak
  • Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 6.7 goals/game

Recent Form

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf host SC Paderborn 07 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Merkur Spiel-Arena. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Aaron Zehnter, as he is very good at scoring at Merkur Spiel-Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' SC Paderborn 07 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 35' Luca Herrmann, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' It looks surprising SC Paderborn 07 does not make any changes. Calvin Brackelmann has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Matthias Zimmermann on 55 minutes.
  • 60' TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 61' A goal from the Iceland international Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson! He fires home on 61 to make it 0-1!
  • 62' The whistle greets Vincent Vermeij as he departs to be replaced by Dzenan Pejcinovic.
  • 67' Germany international Ilyas Ansah has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 72' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 77' Valgeir Lunddal Fridriksson makes way for Shinta Appelkamp at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • 80' Anton Bauerle is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aaron Zehnter at the 80 minute mark.
  • 82' The referee calls foul for Shinta Appelkamp. He receives a card.
  • 84' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Felix Klaus trudges off to be replaced by Jona Niemiec on 84 minutes.
  • 86' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Luca Herrmann comes on to replace Luis Engelns.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or SC Paderborn 07 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf34% Draw28% SC Paderborn 0738%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
66%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf or SC Paderborn 07
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf25% Draw46% SC Paderborn 0729%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Handicap TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
24%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.