Tuesday , 21 July 2026

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sun 4 Feb 2024 · 12:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf H 4–3 W
27 Jan VfL Osnabruck A 0–0 D
21 Jan SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 0–1 L
15 Dec FC Hansa Rostock H 3–0 W
09 Dec Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
06 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Feb SC Paderborn 07 A 3–4 L
30 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 6–5 W
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
21 Jan Hertha BSC A 2–2 D
16 Dec 1. FC Magdeburg A 3–2 W
10 Dec Holstein Kiel H 0–1 L

Season Stats

SC Paderborn 07 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
#3 Position #17
62 Points 37
34 Played 34
18 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 4 / 19
59 Scored 33
45 Conceded 53
+14 GD -20
1.82 PPG 1.09
53% Win % 32%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SC Paderborn 07 are 3rd (62 pts). TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are 17th (37 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Lukas Kwasniok will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' SC Paderborn 07 is showing some good football. However, SC Paderborn 07 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 19' David Kinsombi does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Paderborn 07 surge ahead!
  • 21' Poor challenge from Daniel Thioune. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 26' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 31' Vincent Vermeij is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SC Paderborn 07 tonight.
  • 34' What composure from Mattes Hansen! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 37' Magnificent from Filip Bilbija! That is 24 goals in 169 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 38' The referee calls foul for Ilyas Ansah. He receives a card.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 46' Dennis Jastrzembski has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nicolas Gavory on 46 minute.
  • 49' Brilliant from the ! Yannik Engelhardt makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 49.
  • 54' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 55' GOAL! Suliman Mustapha scores on 55.
  • 60' Joshua Quarshie, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 65' Fresh legs for SC Paderborn 07! Jannis Heuer comes on to replace Calvin Brackelmann.
  • 70' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SC Paderborn 07 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 75' SC Paderborn 07 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 76' A change in the TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf ranks — Christoph Daferner exits the field as Vincent Vermeij enters on 76.
  • 81' Germany international King Manu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 82' GOAL! Koen Kostons scores on 82. Assisted by Ilyas Ansah
  • 84' Time for substitution for SC Paderborn 07. Filip Bilbija is replaced by Felix Platte.
  • 85' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07Sirlord Conteh on, Koen Kostons off on 85 minutes.
  • 87' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Matthias Zimmermann is replaced by King Manu on 87 minute.
  • 90' What a moment for Dennis Jastrzembski! That strike on 90 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Dennis Jastrzembski on 90 minutes earns him a card. TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf will be frustrated.
  • 90' Robert Leipertz gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Ilyas Ansah and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final score is 4-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.42 SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0758% Draw21% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf21%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
79%
Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
42%
SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Paderborn 0743% Draw37% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf20%
Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.2%
0 – 0
3.2%
4 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap SC Paderborn 07 covers Push TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 17% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 20% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 12% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
24%
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet
10%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.