SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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2. Bundesliga · 2023-24

SC Paderborn 07

4 – 3

Full Time

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Sun 4 Feb 2024 · 12:30 UTC Home Deluxe Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 21' Daniel Thioune

Ilyas Ansah 38' Y

Y 90' Dennis Jastrzembski

Overview

Match Preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.

SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 34 games · 37 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	1. FC Nurnberg	3	9
2	Hertha BSC	3	9
3	VfL Wolfsburg	3	7
4	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	3	6
5	1. FC Magdeburg	3	6
6	1. FC Kaiserslautern	3	5
7	Karlsruher SC	4	5
8	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	3	4
9	Arminia Bielefeld	4	4
10	Hannover 96	4	4
11	Eintracht Braunschweig	3	3
12	FC St. Pauli 1910	4	3
13	VfL Bochum 1848	3	3
14	FC Energie Cottbus	3	3
15	VfL Osnabruck	3	3
16	SG Dynamo Dresden	3	3
17	Holstein Kiel	3	2
18	SV Darmstadt 98	3	1

Head-to-Head

SC Paderborn 07 8 games · Avg 2.9 goals TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 2023-08-19 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 2020-05-16 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 2019-10-26 SC Paderborn 07 2–0 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Recent Form

SC Paderborn 07

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf	H	4–3	W
27 Jan	VfL Osnabruck	A	0–0	D
21 Jan	SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903	H	0–1	L
15 Dec	FC Hansa Rostock	H	3–0	W
09 Dec	Hamburger SV	A	2–1	W
06 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–3	L

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Feb	SC Paderborn 07	A	3–4	L
30 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	6–5	W
27 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	1–2	L
21 Jan	Hertha BSC	A	2–2	D
16 Dec	1. FC Magdeburg	A	3–2	W
10 Dec	Holstein Kiel	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Home Deluxe Arena. SC Paderborn 07 are looking to make home advantage count against TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf.
5' It’s high time Daniel Thioune made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' Koen Kostons, a Netherlands , has 6 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Thioune will be considering his options from the bench.
19' Assisted by Raphael Obermair with the perfectly-timed delivery and David Kinsombi makes no mistake. 1-0!
21' Daniel Thioune is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
26' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 26 minutes.
31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matthias Zimmermann suffering a number of foals already.
34' Mattes Hansen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
37' Filip Bilbija doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
38' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ilyas Ansah on 38.
43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
46' The TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf manager makes a substitution. Nicolas Gavory departs to be replaced by Dennis Jastrzembski.
49' Against the run of play, Yannik Engelhardt has scored! This game has turned on its head.
54' SC Paderborn 07 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
55' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Suliman Mustapha makes no mistake. 3-2!
60' Over 60 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
65' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Calvin Brackelmann is withdrawn and Jannis Heuer gets his opportunity.
70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
75' Netherlands international Jordy de Wijs has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
76' It is a substitution in TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf team. Christoph Daferner is replaced by Vincent Vermeij on 76 minute.
81' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SC Paderborn 07 and TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
82' Koen Kostons makes no mistake. The score reads 4-2 and SC Paderborn 07 are in front.
84' A tactical swap from SC Paderborn 07 — Felix Platte on, Filip Bilbija off on 84 minutes.
85' The crowd applauds Koen Kostons as he leaves the pitch. Sirlord Conteh steps in for SC Paderborn 07.
87' TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf make a change. Matthias Zimmermann trudges off to be replaced by King Manu on 87 minutes.
90' GOAL! Dennis Jastrzembski scores on 90. Assisted by Jona Niemiec
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Dennis Jastrzembski.
90' Robert Leipertz gets the nod from SC Paderborn 07. He replaces Ilyas Ansah and will look to change the dynamic.
The points are shared — SC Paderborn 07 4-3 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf. Honours even.

Lineups

SC Paderborn 07 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 90'
36
Felix Platte ↑ 84'
6
Marco Schuster ↑ 65'
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 85'
35
Arne Schulz
33
Marcel Hoffmeier
24
Jannis Heuer ↑ 65'
32
Aaron Zehnter
43
Martin Ens

Coach Lukas Kwasniok

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Lineups

Starting XI

30
Jordy de Wijs ↓ Joshua Quarshie 46'
34
Nicolas Gavory ↓ Dennis Jastrzembski 46'
25
Matthias Zimmermann ↓ King Manu 87'
3
Andre Hoffmann
33
Florian Kastenmeier
4
Ao Tanaka
22
Christoph Daferner ↓ Vincent Vermeij 76'
8
Isak Johannesson
7
Christos Tzolis ↓ Suliman Mustapha 46'
6
Yannik Engelhardt
18
Jona Niemiec

Bench

Coach Daniel Thioune

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Filip Bilbija	1
Mattes Hansen	1
Abdelhamid Sabiri	1
Koen Kostons	1
Sebastian Schonlau	1
Dawid Kownacki	1
Jordy de Wijs	1
Danny Schmidt	1

Head to Head

SC Paderborn 07 Form

2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf W 2024-01-27 VfL Osnabruck 0–0 SC Paderborn 07 D 2024-01-21 SC Paderborn 07 0–1 SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 L 2023-12-15 SC Paderborn 07 3–0 FC Hansa Rostock W 2023-12-09 Hamburger SV 1–2 SC Paderborn 07 W 2023-12-06 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 SC Paderborn 07 L

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf Form

2024-02-04 SC Paderborn 07 4–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf L 2024-01-30 FC St. Pauli 1910 5–6 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf W 2024-01-27 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2024-01-21 Hertha BSC 2–2 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf D 2023-12-16 1. FC Magdeburg 2–3 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf W 2023-12-10 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf 0–1 Holstein Kiel L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.01 SC Paderborn 07 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 68% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SC Paderborn 0751% Draw23% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf26%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.57

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

SC Paderborn 07 or Draw

74%

Draw or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

49%

SC Paderborn 07 or TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SC Paderborn 0736% Draw40% TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf24%

Actual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

9.7%

2 – 1

8.6%

1 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 1

5.7%

1 – 0

5.1%

3 – 2

4.4%

0 – 0

4.2%

0 – 1

3.8%

3 – 0

3.7%

0 – 2

3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07

Handicap	SC Paderborn 07 covers	Push	TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	20%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	15%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.