Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig, 2018-19 SEMI FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2018-19
Tue 23 Apr 2019 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 58' Willi Orban

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig — DFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Marco Achmuller
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Bibiana Steinhaus
16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 4.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr RB Leipzig H 1–3 L
02 Apr SC Paderborn 07 A 2–0 W
05 Feb 1. FC Nurnberg H 1–0 W
30 Oct SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–0 W
18 Aug TuS Erndtebruck A 5–3 W
12 May MSV Duisburg H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Hamburger SV A 3–1 W
20 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–1 W
13 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
06 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W
02 Apr FC Augsburg A 2–1 W
30 Mar Hertha BSC H 5–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ralf Rangnick will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 12' Magnificent from Yussuf Poulsen! That is 70 goals in 513 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 17' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 22' RB Leipzig fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 23' Bakery Jatta is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Douglas Santos, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 48' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 53' Vasilije Janjicic is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Willi Orban on 58.
  • 63' RB Leipzig is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 68' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 69' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace Josha Vagnoman by Hwang Heechan on 69 minute.
  • 72' Magnificent from Emil Forsberg! That is 80 goals in 108 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 73' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Vasilije Janjicic is withdrawn and Aaron Hunt gets his opportunity.
  • 78' Hamburger SV are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 79' Another substitution for Hamburger SV to replace Orel Mangala by Lewis Holtby on 79 minute.
  • 84' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hamburger SV must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 89' A quiet spell here at . Hamburger SV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 90' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Marcel Sabitzer by Amadou Haidara on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — Hamburger SV 1-3 RB Leipzig. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV29% Draw28% RB Leipzig43%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
57%
Draw or RB Leipzig
71%
Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV21% Draw46% RB Leipzig33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
21%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.