Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig, 2018-19 SEMI FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2018-19
Tue 23 Apr 2019 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 58' Willi Orban

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig — DFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Referee Marco Achmuller
  • Referee Felix Brych
  • Referee Eduard Beitinger
  • Referee Bibiana Steinhaus

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr RB Leipzig H 1–3 L
02 Apr SC Paderborn 07 A 2–0 W
05 Feb 1. FC Nürnberg H 1–0 W
30 Oct SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–0 W
18 Aug TuS Erndtebruck A 5–3 W
12 May MSV Duisburg H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr Hamburger SV A 3–1 W
20 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
13 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–0 W
06 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 4–2 W
02 Apr FC Augsburg A 2–1 W
30 Mar Hertha BSC H 5–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. RB Leipzig kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Hamburger SV are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined RB Leipzig backline.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Hamburger SV in their trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact .
  • 12' Against the run of play, Yussuf Poulsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 17' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 22' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 23' Against the run of play, Bakery Jatta has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 28' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 33' With 0 assists to his name this season, Peter Gulacsi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
  • 38' Hamburger SV have won 203 goals from 268 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 43' Marcel Halstenberg is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for RB Leipzig so far.
  • 48' RB Leipzig come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 53' GOAL! Vasilije Janjicic fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 58' Willi Orban catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 58.
  • 63' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 68' Marcel Sabitzer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Hwang Heechan. He replaces Josha Vagnoman on 69 minute.
  • 72' GOAL! Emil Forsberg fires home to make it 2-2!
  • 73' Fresh legs for Hamburger SV! Aaron Hunt comes on to replace Vasilije Janjicic.
  • 78' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josha Vagnoman suffering a number of foals already.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Hamburger SV team. Orel Mangala is replaced by Lewis Holtby on 79 minute.
  • 84' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lukas Klostermann made 513 appearances and scored 14 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 90' Amadou Haidara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcel Sabitzer at the 90 minute mark.
  • With this win, RB Leipzig is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.17 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV29% Draw28% RB Leipzig43%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
57%
Draw or RB Leipzig
71%
Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV21% Draw46% RB Leipzig33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
21%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.