Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Tue 18 Oct 2022 · 16:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV — DFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
15 Oct Hertha BSC H 3–2 W
11 Oct Celtic FC A 2–0 W
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 0–4 L
30 Jul SpVgg Oberfranken Bayreuth A 3–1 W
19 Apr SC Freiburg H 1–3 L
02 Mar Karlsruher SC H 5–4 W
26 Oct 1. FC Nürnberg A 5–3 W
08 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
86% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
50% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/2
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Hamburger SV
Albert Gronbaek Erlykke 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV get this one started.
  • 5' Hamburger SV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Hamburger SV receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 15.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Emil Forsberg made 108 appearances and scored 83 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 33' A goal from the Denmark international Yussuf Poulsen! He fires home on 33 to make it 1-0!
  • 34' A goal from the Denmark international Yussuf Poulsen! He fires home on 34 to make it 2-0!
  • 36' Magnificent from Yussuf Poulsen! That is 72 goals in 528 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 39' RB Leipzig receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 39.
  • 40' Controversy at the stadium! Jonas Meffert argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 41' The referee shows Hamburger SV player a Yellow card on 41.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mohamed Simakan on 45.
  • 46' Josko Gvardiol gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Willi Orban and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 56' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 60' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Jean-Luc Dompe is withdrawn and Sonny Kittel gets his opportunity.
  • 61' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Dominik Szoboszlai departs to be replaced by Hugo Novoa.
  • 66' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elijah Krahn is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Hamburger SV.
  • 68' Xavier Amaechi is replacing Bakery Jatta for the Hamburger SV side.
  • 69' What a strike from Mohamed Simakan! The score is 4-0.
  • 70' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 70 minute. Mohamed Simakan leaves to be changed by Xaver Schlager.
  • 71' Poor challenge from David Raum. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 74' Elijah Krahn has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ludovit Reis on 74 minute.
  • 79' Willi Orban has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
  • 81' The Germany Benjamin Henrichs breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 5-0!
  • 82' Benjamin Henrichs makes no mistake. The score reads 6-0 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 83' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Emil Forsberg exits the field as Sanoussy Ba enters on 83.
  • 85' Filip Bilbija picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • It finishes all square. RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV share the spoils 4-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + RB Leipzig to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig59% Draw22% Hamburger SV19%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or Hamburger SV
41%
RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig43% Draw41% Hamburger SV16%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.