Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Tue 18 Oct 2022 · 16:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SVDFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
15 Oct Hertha BSC H 3–2 W
11 Oct Celtic FC A 2–0 W
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 0–4 L
30 Jul SpVgg Oberfranken Bayreuth A 3–1 W
19 Apr SC Freiburg H 1–3 L
02 Mar Karlsruher SC H 5–4 W
26 Oct 1. FC Nurnberg A 5–3 W
08 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV has kicked off!
  • 5' Portugal international Andre Silva has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Miro Muheim on 15 minutes.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 33' GOAL! Yussuf Poulsen fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 34' Brilliant from the ! Yussuf Poulsen makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 34.
  • 36' What a strike from Yussuf Poulsen! The score is 3-0.
  • 39' Benjamin Henrichs catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 39.
  • 40' Jonas Meffert picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 41' The referee shows Hamburger SV player a Yellow card on 41.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mohamed Simakan on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Josko Gvardiol gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Willi Orban and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Hamburger SV have won 203 goals from 268 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 56' Abdou Diallo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 12 Yellow cards this season.
  • 60' A change in the Hamburger SV ranks — Jean-Luc Dompe exits the field as Sonny Kittel enters on 60.
  • 61' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Dominik Szoboszlai departs to be replaced by Hugo Novoa.
  • 66' RB Leipzig currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 68' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Xavier Amaechi is hanging Bakery Jatta on the field on 68 minute.
  • 69' A goal from the France international Mohamed Simakan! He fires home on 69 to make it 4-0!
  • 70' The whistle greets Mohamed Simakan as he departs to be replaced by Xaver Schlager.
  • 71' RB Leipzig receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 71.
  • 74' Elijah Krahn is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ludovit Reis at the 74 minute mark.
  • 79' Emil Forsberg is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Hamburger SV tonight.
  • 81' Against the run of play, Benjamin Henrichs has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 82' Against the run of play, Benjamin Henrichs has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 83' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Emil Forsberg by Sanoussy Ba on 83 minute.
  • 85' Filip Bilbija has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 85.
  • 90' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + RB Leipzig to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig59% Draw22% Hamburger SV19%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or Hamburger SV
41%
RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig43% Draw41% Hamburger SV16%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.