Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Tue 18 Oct 2022 · 16:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SVDFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
15 Oct Hertha BSC H 3–2 W
11 Oct Celtic FC A 2–0 W
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 0–4 L
30 Jul SpVgg Oberfranken Bayreuth A 3–1 W
19 Apr SC Freiburg H 1–3 L
02 Mar Karlsruher SC H 5–4 W
26 Oct 1. FC Nürnberg A 5–3 W
08 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Red Bull Arena Leipzig. RB Leipzig are looking to make home advantage count against Hamburger SV.
  • 5' Hamburger SV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Hamburger SV that had 268 games and scored 203 goals.
  • 15' Miro Muheim has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 15.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. RB Leipzig is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Abdou Diallo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 33' What composure from Yussuf Poulsen! The Denmark international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 34' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yussuf Poulsen makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 36' Yussuf Poulsen adds to his 0 season tally! RB Leipzig lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 39' Benjamin Henrichs has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 39.
  • 40' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Jonas Meffert gets a Yellow card.
  • 41' Jonas Meffert was booked on 41.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mohamed Simakan on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The RB Leipzig manager makes a substitution. Willi Orban departs to be replaced by Josko Gvardiol.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 60' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Jean-Luc Dompe departs to be replaced by Sonny Kittel.
  • 61' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Dominik Szoboszlai is replaced by Hugo Novoa.
  • 66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tim Walter might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 68' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Bakery Jatta is withdrawn and Xavier Amaechi gets his opportunity.
  • 69' Mohamed Simakan doubles the advantage! 4-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 70' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Mohamed Simakan is replaced by Xaver Schlager.
  • 71' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for David Raum on 71 minutes.
  • 74' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Ludovit Reis is withdrawn and Elijah Krahn gets his opportunity.
  • 79' With 1 assists to his name this season, Dominik Szoboszlai is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
  • 81' The Germany Benjamin Henrichs breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 5-0!
  • 82' Benjamin Henrichs with the second goal in the match!
  • 83' Sanoussy Ba gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Emil Forsberg and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Filip Bilbija catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
  • 90' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their trying to find a way past Hamburger SV's compact .
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + RB Leipzig to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig59% Draw22% Hamburger SV19%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or Hamburger SV
41%
RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig43% Draw41% Hamburger SV16%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.