Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, DFB-Pokal 2022-23 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2022-23
Tue 18 Oct 2022 · 16:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV — DFB-Pokal at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Hamburger SV H 4–0 W
15 Oct Hertha BSC H 3–2 W
11 Oct Celtic FC A 2–0 W
08 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
05 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 0–4 L
30 Jul SpVgg Oberfranken Bayreuth A 3–1 W
19 Apr SC Freiburg H 1–3 L
02 Mar Karlsruher SC H 5–4 W
26 Oct 1. FC Nürnberg A 5–3 W
08 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
86% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
100% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Willi Orban 1 G
Brajan Gruda 1 G
Hamburger SV
Albert Gronbaek Erlykke 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Hamburger SV get us underway at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
  • 5' The 26-year-old Ludovit Reis has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Hamburger SV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 15' Poor challenge from Miro Muheim. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' RB Leipzig are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's shape.
  • 33' GOAL! Yussuf Poulsen scores on 33.
  • 34' GOAL! Yussuf Poulsen fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 36' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Yussuf Poulsen makes no mistake. 3-0!
  • 39' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Benjamin Henrichs.
  • 40' Controversy at the stadium! Jonas Meffert argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 41' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jonas Meffert.
  • 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Mohamed Simakan on 45 minutes.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Josko Gvardiol. He replaces Willi Orban on 46 minute.
  • 51' The travelling Hamburger SV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. William Mikelbrencis made 438 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 60' The supporters are chanting for Sonny Kittel. He replaces Jean-Luc Dompe on 60 minute.
  • 61' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 61 minute. Dominik Szoboszlai leaves to be changed by Hugo Novoa.
  • 66' Hamburger SV come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 68' Xavier Amaechi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bakery Jatta on 68 minute.
  • 69' The France Mohamed Simakan breaks the deadlock on 69 minutes. 4-0!
  • 70' Xaver Schlager gets the nod from RB Leipzig. He replaces Mohamed Simakan and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' David Raum picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 74' Ludovit Reis makes way for Elijah Krahn at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hamburger SV.
  • 79' Hamburger SV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 81' The Germany Benjamin Henrichs breaks the deadlock on 81 minutes. 5-0!
  • 82' The Germany Benjamin Henrichs breaks the deadlock on 82 minutes. 6-0!
  • 83' Sanoussy Ba is ready to make an impact after coming on for Emil Forsberg at the 83 minute mark.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Filip Bilbija. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' RB Leipzig are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Hamburger SV.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.1 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 61% + RB Leipzig to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig59% Draw22% Hamburger SV19%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or Hamburger SV
41%
RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig43% Draw41% Hamburger SV16%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8%
3 – 1
6.6%
3 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
3.8%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 22% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 11% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.