RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

RB Leipzig

2 – 1

Full Time

Hamburger SV

Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Hamburger SV 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz

19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals Hamburger SV

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV 2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV 2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig 2017-04-29 RB Leipzig 3–0 Hamburger SV 2016-12-10 Hamburger SV 1–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	Hamburger SV	H	2–1	W
04 Oct	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–0	W
20 Sep	1. FC Koln	H	3–1	W
13 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–0	W
30 Aug	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–0	W

Hamburger SV

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Oct	RB Leipzig	A	1–2	L
05 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–0	W
28 Sep	1. FC Union Berlin	A	0–0	D
20 Sep	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W
13 Sep	FC Bayern München	A	0–5	L
29 Aug	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–2	L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		Hamburger SV
#3	Position	#13
65	Points	38
34	Played	34
20 / 5 / 9	W / D / L	9 / 11 / 14
66	Scored	40
47	Conceded	54
+19	GD	-14
1.91	PPG	1.12
59%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

1/–

16-30

3/3

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Hamburger SV

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/4

31-45

2/3

46-60

3/3

61-75

3/–

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV has kicked off!
Another three points for RB Leipzig.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Yussuf Poulsen	4
Benjamin Henrichs	2
Vasilije Janjicic	1
Bakery Jatta	1
Emil Forsberg	1
Mohamed Simakan	1

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV W 2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2025-09-27 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-09-20 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Koln W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-08-30 RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W

Hamburger SV Form

2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV L 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-28 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2025-09-20 Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-09-13 FC Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-08-29 Hamburger SV 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.28 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.8 Hamburger SV xG

I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig68% Draw20% Hamburger SV12%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 3.08

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

88%

Draw or Hamburger SV

32%

RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig50% Draw40% Hamburger SV10%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11.9%

1 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.1%

3 – 0

8.8%

3 – 1

0 – 0

6.2%

4 – 0

4 – 1

4.1%

2 – 2

3.7%

1 – 2

3.2%

0 – 1

3.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	Hamburger SV covers
-2.5	26%	—	74%
-2	26%	21%	53%
-1.5	47%	—	53%
-1	47%	23%	31%
-0.5	69%	—	31%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

46% ✓

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.