Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
RB Leipzig
2 – 1
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

6
1
RB Leipzig 7 games · Avg 3.3 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV 2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV 2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig 2017-04-29 RB Leipzig 3–0 Hamburger SV 2016-12-10 Hamburger SV 1–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Hamburger SV H 2–1 W
04 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
27 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
20 Sep 1. FC Köln H 3–1 W
13 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
20 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
13 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–5 L
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Hamburger SV
#9 Position #16
6 Points 3
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
9 Scored 2
5 Conceded 13
+4 GD -11
1.50 PPG 0.75
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
86% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV has kicked off!
  • With this win, RB Leipzig is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yussuf Poulsen 4
Benjamin Henrichs 2
Willi Orban 1
Antonio Nusa 1
Romulo Cruz 1
Tidiam Gomis 1
Vasilije Janjicic 1
Bakery Jatta 1

Head to Head

2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV 2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV 2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig 2017-04-29 RB Leipzig 3–0 Hamburger SV 2016-12-10 Hamburger SV 1–0 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig Form

2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV W 2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2025-09-27 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-09-20 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Köln W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-08-30 RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W

Hamburger SV Form

2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV L 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-28 1. FC Union Berlin 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2025-09-20 Hamburger SV 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-09-13 FC Bayern München 5–0 Hamburger SV L 2025-08-29 Hamburger SV 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.39 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.47 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 82% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig82% Draw12% Hamburger SV6%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
94%
Draw or Hamburger SV
18%
RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV
88%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig70% Draw26% Hamburger SV4%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
13.7%
2 – 0
12.6%
4 – 0
11.3%
5 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
4 – 1
5.4%
6 – 0
4.4%
1 – 1
3.8%
5 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 54% — 46%
-2 54% 20% 26%
-1.5 74% — 26%
-1 74% 15% 11%
-0.5 89% — 11%
+0.5 98% — 2%
+1 98% 2% 0%
+1.5 100% — 0%
+2 100% — 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
63% ✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.