Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
1 – 2
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
5
Hamburger SV 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig 2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV 2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV 2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig 2017-04-29 RB Leipzig 3–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
11 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
08 Feb 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV RB Leipzig
#13 Position #3
38 Points 65
34 Played 34
9 / 11 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
40 Scored 66
54 Conceded 47
-14 GD +19
1.12 PPG 1.91
26% Win % 59%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Hamburger SV and RB Leipzig.
  • With this win, RB Leipzig is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yussuf Poulsen 4
Benjamin Henrichs 2
Mohamed Simakan 1
Vasilije Janjicic 1
Bakery Jatta 1
Emil Forsberg 1

Head to Head

2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig 2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV 2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV 2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig 2017-04-29 RB Leipzig 3–0 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Form

2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2026-01-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 Hamburger SV D

RB Leipzig Form

2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2026-02-15 RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-02-11 FC Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-08 1. FC Koln 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.02 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV25% Draw25% RB Leipzig50%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
50%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV18% Draw41% RB Leipzig41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 22% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.