Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Hamburger SV
1 – 2
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

1
6
Hamburger SV 7 games · Avg 3.3 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig 2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV 2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV 2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig 2017-04-29 RB Leipzig 3–0 Hamburger SV

Recent Form

Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
11 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
08 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV RB Leipzig
#16 Position #9
3 Points 6
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
2 Scored 9
13 Conceded 5
-11 GD +4
0.75 PPG 1.50
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
86% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Hamburger SV are 16th (3 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hamburger SV
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/2
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Hamburger SV kicks off things out of here…
  • With this win, RB Leipzig is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Yussuf Poulsen 4
Benjamin Henrichs 2
Romulo Cruz 1
Tidiam Gomis 1
Vasilije Janjicic 1
Bakery Jatta 1
Emil Forsberg 1
Mohamed Simakan 1

Head to Head

2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig 2025-10-18 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburger SV 2022-10-18 RB Leipzig 4–0 Hamburger SV 2019-04-23 Hamburger SV 1–3 RB Leipzig 2017-04-29 RB Leipzig 3–0 Hamburger SV

Hamburger SV Form

2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2026-01-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 Hamburger SV D

RB Leipzig Form

2026-03-01 Hamburger SV 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2026-02-21 RB Leipzig 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2026-02-15 RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-02-11 FC Bayern München 2–0 RB Leipzig L 2026-02-08 1. FC Köln 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.82 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.95 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + RB Leipzig to win 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV15% Draw18% RB Leipzig67%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
33%
Draw or RB Leipzig
85%
Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV8% Draw32% RB Leipzig60%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 3
9.7%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
7.8%
0 – 4
7.1%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 1
6.3%
1 – 4
5.8%
0 – 5
4.2%
1 – 5
3.5%
0 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 0% — 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% — 98%
-1 2% 5% 93%
-0.5 7% — 93%
+0.5 21% — 79%
+1 21% 19% 60%
+1.5 40% — 60%
+2 40% 21% 39%
+2.5 61% — 39%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
6% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
45% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.