Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 18:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar RB Leipzig H 1–2 L
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Hamburger SV A 2–1 W
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
11 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
08 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Hamburger SV RB Leipzig
#19 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.63 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Draw 77% + Under 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV23% Draw34% RB Leipzig43%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
57%
Draw or RB Leipzig
77%
Hamburger SV or RB Leipzig
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV13% Draw58% RB Leipzig29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.1%
0 – 1
18.2%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 0
9.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
3.7%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.6%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 4
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 14% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 26% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
34%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
54%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.