Orlando City SC vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Orlando City SC vs D.C. United SC — MLS at Exploria Stadium.
- Orlando City SC 33 games · 43 pts (2026/26)
- D.C. United SC 33 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Pierre-Luc Lauziere (Canada)
- Assistant 1 Jeremy Kieso
- Assistant 2 Justin Howard (USA)
10 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 8.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 58 |
| 3 | Internacional CF Miami | 32 | 56 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 33 | 53 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 32 | 52 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 47 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 46 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew SC | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 33 | 43 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 33 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 39 |
| 12 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 39 |
| 13 | D.C. United SC | 33 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 30 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 33 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 32 | 58 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 33 | 55 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 52 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 33 | 51 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 47 |
| 22 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 44 |
| 23 | Colorado Rapids SC | 32 | 43 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 32 | 43 |
| 25 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 42 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 40 |
| 27 | San Diego FC | 33 | 38 |
| 28 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 33 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | D.C. United SC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 10 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Sep | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 2–4 | L |
| 12 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Orlando City SC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Sep | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Sep | Charlotte FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Orlando City SC | D.C. United SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 43 | Points | 33 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 12 / 7 / 14 | W / D / L | 7 / 12 / 14 |
| 62 | Scored | 39 |
| 78 | Conceded | 60 |
| -16 | GD | -21 |
| 1.30 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 36% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
81%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
24%
Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season
D.C. United SC this season
Orlando City SC are 9th (43 pts). D.C. United SC are 13th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Orlando City SC
0-15
5/5
16-30
10/10
31-45
4/8
46-60
10/10
61-75
7/5
76+
13/15
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
3/4
16-30
6/6
31-45
5/9
46-60
5/10
61-75
3/8
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 16 G | 4 A |
| Antoine Griezmann | 14 G | 6 A |
| Tyrese Spicer | 6 G |
D.C. United SC
| Tai Baribo | 16 G | 1 A |
| Louis Munteanu | 6 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. D.C. United SC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Óscar Pareja might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' Brilliant from the ! Antoine Griezmann makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 15.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 22' The Argentina Martin Ojeda breaks the deadlock on 22 minutes. 2-0!
- 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kimito Nono, as he is very good at scoring at Exploria Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Orlando City SC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 37' Brazil international Peglow has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 3 assists in the Array this season.
- 38' The referee has no hesitation. Luis Aquino is booked for Orlando City SC — card on 38.
- 43' D.C. United SC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Kye Rowles scoring 1 goals.
- 46' The whistle greets Jared Stroud as he departs to be replaced by Jackson Hopkins.
- 47' Tai Baribo adds to his 11 season tally! D.C. United SC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 50' Antoine Griezmann doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 55' Orlando City SC currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 60' Kye Rowles, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 65' A change in the D.C. United SC ranks — Brandon Servania exits the field as Oscar Avilez enters on 65.
- 70' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Eduard Atuesta is withdrawn and Adrian Gomez gets his opportunity.
- 75' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Óscar Pareja will be considering his options from the bench.
- 77' Kimito Nono picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 78' D.C. United SC ring the changes. Silvan Hefti has done his job and it is now time for Matti Peltola to step up.
- 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jackson Hopkins.
- 86' Martin Ojeda makes way for Marco Pasalic at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from Orlando City SC.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Tai Baribo.
- Orlando City SC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Orlando City SC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
-
10
Martin Ojeda ↓ Marco Pasalic 86'
-
20
Eduard Atuesta ↓ Adrian Gomez 70'
-
16
Wilder Cartagena ↓ Joran Gerbet 46'
- 71
- 77
-
9
Daryl Dike ↓ Justin Ellis 70'
- 4
- 57
-
5
Luis Aquino ↓ Braian Ojeda 70'
- 19
Bench
-
3
Adrian Gomez ↑ 70'
-
8
Braian Ojeda ↑ 70'
-
87
Marco Pasalic ↑ 86'
- 12
- 11
-
35
Joran Gerbet ↑ 46'
-
22
Justin Ellis ↑ 70'
- 21
- 23
Coach
Óscar Pareja
D.C. United SC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
23
Brandon Servania ↓ Oscar Avilez 65'
- 1
-
5
Silvan Hefti ↓ Matti Peltola 78'
- 13
- 6
-
8
Jared Stroud ↓ Jackson Hopkins 46'
-
7
Peglow ↓ Nathan Ordaz 78'
- 9
- 2
Bench
- 26
-
4
Matti Peltola ↑ 78'
-
25
Jackson Hopkins ↑ 46'
-
22
Nathan Ordaz ↑ 78'
- 12
- 48
- 27
-
32
Oscar Avilez ↑ 65'
- 40
Coach
René Weiler
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Taxiarchis Fountas | 5 |
| Martin Ojeda | 3 |
| Duncan McGuire | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Jackson Hopkins | 2 |
| Alex Freeman | 2 |
| Antoine Griezmann | 2 |
Head to Head
Orlando City SC Form
D.C. United SC Form
2026-10-17
Orlando City SC
4–1
D.C. United SC
L
2026-10-14
D.C. United SC
2–1
New York Red Bulls
W
2026-10-10
Internacional CF Miami
4–0
D.C. United SC
L
2026-09-27
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
3–3
D.C. United SC
D
2026-09-19
D.C. United SC
1–2
Charlotte FC
L
2026-09-12
D.C. United SC
0–0
Atlanta United FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3
Orlando City SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.44
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
Orlando City SC or Draw
83%
Draw or D.C. United SC
35%
Orlando City SC or D.C. United SC
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Orlando City SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
5.8%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.7%
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Orlando City SC
| Handicap | Orlando City SC covers | Push | D.C. United SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 18% | 51% |
| -1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 19% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

