Newcastle United FC vs Qarabag Agdam FK, Champions League 2025-26 PLAYOFFS
Overview
Match Preview
Newcastle United FC vs Qarabag Agdam FK — Champions League .
- Newcastle United FC 8 games · 14 pts (2025/26)
- Qarabag Agdam FK 8 games · 10 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Davide Massa
11 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 8.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Qarabag Agdam FK | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Feb | Manchester City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Qarabag Agdam FK | A | 6–1 | W |
| 14 Feb | Aston Villa FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Feb | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Feb | Brentford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb | Newcastle United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | Newcastle United FC | H | 1–6 | L |
| 28 Jan | Liverpool FC | A | 0–6 | L |
| 21 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Dec | AFC Ajax | H | 2–4 | L |
| 25 Nov | SSC Napoli | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Newcastle United FC | Qarabag Agdam FK | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #22 |
| 14 | Points | 10 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 4 |
| 17 | Scored | 13 |
| 7 | Conceded | 21 |
| +10 | GD | -8 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 1.25 |
| 50% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
Newcastle United FC this season
10%
Clean Sheets
Qarabag Agdam FK this season
Qarabag Agdam FK this season
Newcastle United FC are 12th (14 pts). Qarabag Agdam FK are 22nd (10 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Newcastle United FC gets underway.
- The final score is 3-2.
Lineups
Newcastle United FC Lineups
Qarabag Agdam FK Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Newcastle United FC Form
2026-02-24
Newcastle United FC
3–2
Qarabag Agdam FK
W
2026-02-21
Manchester City FC
2–1
Newcastle United FC
L
2026-02-18
Qarabag Agdam FK
1–6
Newcastle United FC
W
2026-02-14
Aston Villa FC
1–3
Newcastle United FC
W
2026-02-10
Tottenham Hotspur FC
1–2
Newcastle United FC
W
2026-02-07
Newcastle United FC
2–3
Brentford FC
L
Qarabag Agdam FK Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.84
Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Qarabag Agdam FK xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 86% + Newcastle United FC to win 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Newcastle United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 3.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 4.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
Double Chance
Newcastle United FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Qarabag Agdam FK
23%
Newcastle United FC or Qarabag Agdam FK
87%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Newcastle United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.3%
2 – 1
6%
4 – 0
5.9%
5 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
5.2%
5 – 0
4.5%
3 – 2
Actual
4 – 2
4.2%
1 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC
| Handicap | Newcastle United FC covers | Push | Qarabag Agdam FK covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -2 | 47% | 19% | 34% |
| -1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| -1 | 66% | 15% | 19% |
| -0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

