Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FC, FA Cup 2025-26 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Newcastle United FCFA Cup .

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
8 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Newcastle United FC H 1–3 L
11 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–0 W
07 Feb AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
01 Feb Brentford FC H 0–1 L
29 Jan FC Red Bull Salzburg H 3–2 W
25 Jan Newcastle United FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Aston Villa FC A 3–1 W
10 Feb Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb Brentford FC H 2–3 L
31 Jan Liverpool FC A 1–4 L
28 Jan Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–1 D
25 Jan Aston Villa FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Harvey Barnes 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.37 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Newcastle United FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC38% Draw28% Newcastle United FC34%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
62%
Aston Villa FC or Newcastle United FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC27% Draw47% Newcastle United FC26%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
8%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 1
7.8%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
Actual
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.