Qarabag Agdam FK vs AFC Ajax, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

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UEFA Champions League · 2025-26

Qarabag Agdam FK

2 – 4

Full Time

AFC Ajax

Wed 10 Dec 2025 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Qarabag Agdam FK vs AFC Ajax — Champions League .

Qarabag Agdam FK 8 games · 10 pts (2025/26)
AFC Ajax 8 games · 6 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Rade Obrenovic

8 games this season 🟨 1.4/game ⚽ 4.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atletico de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Qarabag Agdam FK 4 games · Avg 4.3 goals AFC Ajax

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-10 Qarabag Agdam FK 2–4 AFC Ajax 2024-10-24 Qarabag Agdam FK 0–3 AFC Ajax 2016-02-13 AFC Ajax 2–2 Qarabag Agdam FK 2015-09-26 Qarabag Agdam FK 2–2 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

Qarabag Agdam FK

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Dec	AFC Ajax	H	2–4	L
25 Nov	SSC Napoli	A	0–2	L
05 Nov	Chelsea FC	H	2–2	D
22 Oct	Athletic Club	A	1–3	L
01 Oct	FC København	H	2–0	W
16 Sep	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	A	3–2	W

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Dec	Qarabag Agdam FK	A	4–2	W
06 Dec	Fortuna Sittard	A	3–1	W
02 Dec	FC Groningen	H	2–0	W
25 Nov	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	0–2	L
22 Nov	SBV Excelsior	H	1–2	L
09 Nov	FC Utrecht	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Qarabag Agdam FK		AFC Ajax
#22	Position	#32
10	Points	6
8	Played	8
3 / 1 / 4	W / D / L	2 / 0 / 6
13	Scored	8
21	Conceded	21
-8	GD	-13
1.25	PPG	0.75
38%	Win %	25%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

10% Clean Sheets
Qarabag Agdam FK this season

0% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Qarabag Agdam FK are 22nd (10 pts). AFC Ajax are 32nd (6 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Qarabag Agdam FK and AFC Ajax.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-4.

Lineups

Qarabag Agdam FK Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Wout Weghorst	1
Chuba Akpom	1
Kenneth Taylor	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.33 Qarabag Agdam FK xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.16 AFC Ajax xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Qarabag Agdam FK40% Draw23% AFC Ajax37%

Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes79% 0% No21%

Avg goals/match: 4.49

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	46%	54%

Double Chance

Qarabag Agdam FK or Draw

63%

Draw or AFC Ajax

60%

Qarabag Agdam FK or AFC Ajax

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Qarabag Agdam FK34% Draw35% AFC Ajax31%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted

2 – 4

Actual

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 1

6.5%

1 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

3 – 2

5.3%

3 – 1

2 – 3

4.9%

1 – 3

4.3%

3 – 3

3.8%

2 – 0

3.2%

4 – 2

3.1%

4 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Qarabag Agdam FK

Handicap	Qarabag Agdam FK covers	Push	AFC Ajax covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	13%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	17%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	16%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	11%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Qarabag Agdam FK keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.