Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.
- Montpellier HSC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Leonard
- Assistant 1 Julien Aube
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | Olympique Lyonnais | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Olympique de Marseille | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | OGC Nice | 9 | 14 |
| 9 | Racing Club de Lens | 9 | 13 |
| 10 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 9 | 12 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 9 | 10 |
| 15 | Angers SCO | 9 | 8 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 9 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans FC | 9 | 7 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 9 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | Toulouse FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | Olympique de Marseille | H | 0–5 | L |
| 06 Oct | Stade de Reims | A | 2–4 | L |
| 28 Sep | AS Monaco FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | AJ Auxerre | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Sep | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct | Montpellier HSC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Angers SCO | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Oct | Lille OSC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Sep | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | Stade Brestois 29 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Sep | Le Havre AC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Stade de la Mosson that hosts another battle between Montpellier HSC and Toulouse FC.
- 5' Goal! Zakaria Aboukhlal scores his 33 goal in 449 matches.
- 8' Brilliant from the ! Zakaria Aboukhlal makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 8.
- 13' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 18' With 0 assists to his name this season, Miha Zajc is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Montpellier HSC.
- 23' It’s high time Jean-Louis Gasset made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 27' The Norway Joshua King breaks the deadlock on 27 minutes. 0-3!
- 32' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 37' Over 37 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 42' Yael Mouanga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Montpellier HSC tonight.
- 45' Montpellier HSC player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' Toulouse FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 51' The referee has no hesitation. Teji Savanier is booked for Montpellier HSC — card on 51.
- 56' Djibril Sidibe, a France defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 59' A moment of madness from Cristian Casseres Jr. on 59 minutes earns him a card. Toulouse FC will be frustrated.
- 60' The crowd applauds Rabby Nzingoula as he leaves the pitch. Musa Al Taamari steps in for Montpellier HSC.
- 61' The Montpellier HSC manager makes a substitution. Wahbi Khazri departs to be replaced by Birama Toure.
- 64' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Joshua King is replaced by Frank Magri.
- 66' Mark McKenzie picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 71' A tactical swap from Montpellier HSC — Enzo Tchato on, Modibo Sagnan off on 71 minutes.
- 76' Modibo Sagnan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 33 Yellow cards this season.
- 78' Miha Zajc gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Cristian Casseres Jr. and will look to change the dynamic.
- 83' Niklas Schmidt is replacing Vincent Sierro for the Toulouse FC side.
- 84' Toulouse FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shavy Warren Babicka is hanging Zakaria Aboukhlal on the field on 84 minute.
- 85' A change in the Montpellier HSC ranks — Jordan Ferri exits the field as Gabriel Bares enters on 85.
- 90' Montpellier HSC have won 390 goals from 426 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.
Lineups
Montpellier HSC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 40
-
12
Jordan Ferri ↓ Gabriel Bares 85'
-
7
Arnaud Nordin ↓ Othmane Maamma 61'
-
10
Wahbi Khazri ↓ Birama Toure 61'
- 11
- 5
- 77
- 29
- 8
- 99
- 19
Bench
- 3
- 16
-
20
Birama Toure ↑ 61'
-
9
Musa Al Taamari ↑ 60'
- 17
- 70
-
15
Gabriel Bares ↑ 85'
- 38
- 21
-
14
Othmane Maamma ↑ 61'
- 41
Coach
Jean-Louis Gasset
Toulouse FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
-
13
Joshua King ↓ Frank Magri 64'
- 19
-
10
Yann Gboho ↓ Denis Genreau 78'
-
8
Vincent Sierro ↓ Niklas Schmidt 83'
- 23
- 3
- 7
- 4
- 50
- 12
- 15
Bench
-
5
Denis Genreau ↑ 78'
-
20
Niklas Schmidt ↑ 83'
-
21
Miha Zajc ↑ 78'
- 30
-
9
Frank Magri ↑ 64'
- 17
-
80
Shavy Warren Babicka ↑ 84'
- 22
- 6
Coach
Carles Martínez
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zakaria Aboukhlal | 3 |
| Thijs Dallinga | 2 |
| Akor Adams | 2 |
| Khalil Fayad | 2 |
| Teji Savanier | 2 |
| Chaibi Fares | 2 |
| Gaetan Laborde | 2 |
| Sepe Elye Wahi | 2 |
Head to Head
Montpellier HSC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26
Montpellier HSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Montpellier HSC or Draw
56%
Draw or Toulouse FC
71%
Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toulouse FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
7.9%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC
| Handicap | Montpellier HSC covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 21% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.