Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2024-25

Montpellier HSC

0 – 3

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sun 27 Oct 2024 · 16:00 UTC Stade de la Mosson 14,111 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 5' Zakaria Aboukhlal

0–2 8' Zakaria Aboukhlal

0–3 27' Joshua King

Arnaud Nordin 45' Y

Teji Savanier 51' R

Y 59' Cristian Casseres Jr.

Y 66' Mark McKenzie

Overview

Match Preview

Montpellier HSC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade de la Mosson.

Montpellier HSC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Leonard
Assistant 1 Julien Aube
Assistant 2

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Montpellier HSC 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-27 Montpellier HSC 0–3 Toulouse FC 2024-05-03 Toulouse FC 1–2 Montpellier HSC 2023-10-29 Montpellier HSC 3–0 Toulouse FC 2023-04-09 Montpellier HSC 1–2 Toulouse FC 2022-10-02 Toulouse FC 4–2 Montpellier HSC

Recent Form

Montpellier HSC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Oct	Toulouse FC	H	0–3	L
20 Oct	Olympique de Marseille	H	0–5	L
06 Oct	Stade de Reims	A	2–4	L
28 Sep	AS Monaco FC	A	1–2	L
22 Sep	AJ Auxerre	H	3–2	W
15 Sep	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	0–3	L

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Oct	Montpellier HSC	A	3–0	W
20 Oct	Angers SCO	H	1–1	D
05 Oct	Lille OSC	A	1–2	L
29 Sep	Olympique Lyonnais	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	Stade Brestois 29	A	0–2	L
15 Sep	Le Havre AC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

76% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Montpellier HSC and Toulouse FC has kicked off!
5' The deadlock is broken! Zakaria Aboukhlal gets on the scoresheet on 5 minutes.
8' Zakaria Aboukhlal makes no mistake. The score reads 0-2 and Toulouse FC are in front.
13' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Montpellier HSC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
18' Montpellier HSC are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Toulouse FC's 3-4-3 shape.
23' It’s high time Carles Martínez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
27' What a strike from Joshua King! The score is 0-3.
32' The 27-year-old Denis Genreau has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
42' Guillaume Restes needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
45' The referee has no hesitation. Arnaud Nordin is booked for Montpellier HSC — card on 45.
50' Toulouse FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
51' Teji Savanier picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
56' Modibo Sagnan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Montpellier HSC so far.
59' It’s a booking for Toulouse FC player. Cristian Casseres Jr. gets a card.
60' Montpellier HSC make a change. Rabby Nzingoula trudges off to be replaced by Musa Al Taamari on 60 minutes.
61' A change in the Montpellier HSC ranks — Wahbi Khazri exits the field as Birama Toure enters on 61.
64' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Joshua King departs to be replaced by Frank Magri.
66' That looks like a foul for a card for Mark McKenzie.
71' Fresh legs for Montpellier HSC! Enzo Tchato comes on to replace Modibo Sagnan.
76' Falaye Sacko is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Montpellier HSC tonight.
78' Toulouse FC make a change. Cristian Casseres Jr. trudges off to be replaced by Miha Zajc on 78 minutes.
83' Niklas Schmidt gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Vincent Sierro and will look to change the dynamic.
84' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Shavy Warren Babicka comes on to replace Zakaria Aboukhlal.
85' The Montpellier HSC bench stirs into life. Jordan Ferri is withdrawn and Gabriel Bares gets his opportunity.
90' Over 90 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.

Lineups

Montpellier HSC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

40
Benjamin Lecomte
12
Jordan Ferri ↓ Gabriel Bares 85'
7
Arnaud Nordin ↓ Othmane Maamma 61'
10
Wahbi Khazri ↓ Birama Toure 61'
11
Teji Savanier
5
Modibo Sagnan
77
Falaye Sacko
29
Enzo Tchato
8
Akor Adams
99
Yael Mouanga
19
Rabby Nzingoula ↓ Musa Al Taamari 60'

Bench

Coach Jean-Louis Gasset

Toulouse FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

13
Joshua King ↓ Frank Magri 64'
19
Djibril Sidibe
10
Yann Gboho ↓ Denis Genreau 78'
8
Vincent Sierro ↓ Niklas Schmidt 83'
23
Cristian Casseres Jr. ↓ Miha Zajc 78'
3
Mark McKenzie
7
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↓ Shavy Warren Babicka 84'
4
Charlie Cresswell
50
Guillaume Restes
12
Warren Kamanzi
15
Aron Donnum

Bench

5
Denis Genreau ↑ 78'
20
Niklas Schmidt ↑ 83'
21
Miha Zajc ↑ 78'
30
Alex Dominguez
9
Frank Magri ↑ 64'
17
Gabriel Suazo
80
Shavy Warren Babicka ↑ 84'
22
Rafik Messali
6
Umit Akdag

Coach Carles Martínez

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Zakaria Aboukhlal	3
Teji Savanier	2
Chaibi Fares	2
Gaetan Laborde	2
Sepe Elye Wahi	2
Thijs Dallinga	2
Akor Adams	2
Khalil Fayad	2

Head to Head

Montpellier HSC Form

2024-10-27 Montpellier HSC 0–3 Toulouse FC L 2024-10-20 Montpellier HSC 0–5 Olympique de Marseille L 2024-10-06 Stade de Reims 4–2 Montpellier HSC L 2024-09-28 AS Monaco FC 2–1 Montpellier HSC L 2024-09-22 Montpellier HSC 3–2 AJ Auxerre W 2024-09-15 Stade Rennais FC 1901 3–0 Montpellier HSC L

Toulouse FC Form

2024-10-27 Montpellier HSC 0–3 Toulouse FC W 2024-10-20 Toulouse FC 1–1 Angers SCO D 2024-10-05 Lille OSC 2–1 Toulouse FC L 2024-09-29 Toulouse FC 1–2 Olympique Lyonnais L 2024-09-22 Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Toulouse FC L 2024-09-15 Toulouse FC 2–0 Le Havre AC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.26 Montpellier HSC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.75 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Montpellier HSC29% Draw27% Toulouse FC44%

Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Montpellier HSC or Draw

56%

Draw or Toulouse FC

71%

Montpellier HSC or Toulouse FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Montpellier HSC21% Draw44% Toulouse FC35%

Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.8%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 1

7.9%

0 – 2

7.5%

0 – 0

6.7%

2 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

5.7%

1 – 0

5.4%

1 – 3

5.3%

0 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Montpellier HSC

Handicap	Montpellier HSC covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	15%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	21%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.