Sunday , 16 August 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC The Den 17,321 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 78' Jerry Yates
Mihailo Ivanovic 85' 1–1
Joe Bryan 37' Y
Ryan Wintle 90' Y

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
01 Oct Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Preston North End FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
14 Sep Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#9 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 9th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at The Den. Millwall FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
  • 5' Ireland international Marcus Harness has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' Ryan Leonard has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 33' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kane Wilson is hanging Ryan Nyambe on the field on 33 minute.
  • 37' That is a card for Millwall FC. Joe Bryan will be fuming at that decision.
  • 42' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for James Collins suffering a number of foals already.
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Corey Blackett-Taylor is replaced by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 61 minute.
  • 62' The whistle greets Kenzo Goudmijn as he departs to be replaced by Ben Osborn.
  • 65' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Duncan Watmore departs to be replaced by Femi Azeez.
  • 70' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 73' Mihailo Ivanovic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Macaulay Langstaff on 73 minute.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Derby County FCJames Collins on, Marcus Harness off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Jerry Yates adds to his 0 season tally! Derby County FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Kayden Jackson is replaced by Nathaniel Phillips on 78 minute.
  • 83' Millwall FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Millwall FCRyan Wintle on, Casper De Norre off on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Mihailo Ivanovic is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryan Wintle.
  • It finishes all square. Millwall FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.63 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.39 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 91% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC38% Draw42% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 61%
39%
± 1.5 28%
72%
± 2.5 9%
91%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
62%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC18% Draw72% Derby County FC10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
38.8%
1 – 0
20.9%
0 – 1
12%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
3.2%
0 – 2
2.3%
1 – 2
1.9%
3 – 0
1.3%
2 – 2
0.8%
3 – 1
0.7%
0 – 3
0.3%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 24% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 14% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
68%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.