Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Millwall FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC The Den 17,321 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 78' Jerry Yates
Mihailo Ivanovic 85' 1–1
Joe Bryan 37' Y
Ryan Wintle 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Marc Perry
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

7
3
2
Millwall FC 12 games · Avg 1.9 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2021-11-06 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2021-03-13 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2020-12-05 Millwall FC 0–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
01 Oct Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Preston North End FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
14 Sep Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#11 Position #22
11 Points 5
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
15 Scored 7
15 Conceded 14
+0 GD -7
1.38 PPG 0.63
38% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at The Den!
  • 5' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' It’s high time Neil Harris made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' Millwall FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 33' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Kane Wilson on, Ryan Nyambe off on 33 minutes.
  • 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joe Bryan on 37.
  • 42' It is a cagey affair so far. Millwall FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-3-3.
  • 47' Millwall FC currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Neil Harris will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Ben Osborn has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 61' The supporters are chanting for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. He replaces Corey Blackett-Taylor on 61 minute.
  • 62' Ben Osborn has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenzo Goudmijn on 62 minute.
  • 65' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Femi Azeez comes on to replace Duncan Watmore.
  • 70' Derby County FC come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Macaulay Langstaff is replaced by Mihailo Ivanovic on 73 minute.
  • 77' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Marcus Harness by James Collins on 77 minute.
  • 78' Magnificent from Jerry Yates! That is 69 goals in 57 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Nathaniel Phillips comes on to replace Kayden Jackson.
  • 83' Curtis Nelson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 369 appearances.
  • 84' Millwall FC make a change. Casper De Norre trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Wintle on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Against the run of play, Mihailo Ivanovic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Ryan Wintle.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Neil Harris

Derby County FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Louie Sibley 3
Jed Wallace 2
Connor Mahoney 1
Matt Smith 1
David Nugent 1
Jason Knight 1
Shaun Williams 1
Shaun Hutchinson 1

Head to Head

2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2021-11-06 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2021-03-13 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2020-12-05 Millwall FC 0–1 Derby County FC

Millwall FC Form

2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-05 West Bromwich Albion FC 0–0 Millwall FC D 2024-10-01 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Millwall FC L 2024-09-28 Millwall FC 3–1 Preston North End FC W 2024-09-21 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2024-09-14 Millwall FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L

Derby County FC Form

2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-05 Derby County FC 2–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2024-10-01 Sunderland AFC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2024-09-28 Derby County FC 2–3 Norwich City FC L 2024-09-21 Sheffield United FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2024-09-14 Derby County FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.93 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC to win 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC56% Draw24% Derby County FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC42% Draw43% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 23% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.