Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Millwall FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC The Den 17,321 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 78' Jerry Yates

Mihailo Ivanovic 85' 1–1

Joe Bryan 37' Y

Ryan Wintle 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.

Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Stuart Attwell
Assistant 1 Marc Perry
Assistant 2 Mark Scholes

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Millwall FC 12 games · Avg 1.9 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2021-11-06 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2021-03-13 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2020-12-05 Millwall FC 0–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Derby County FC	H	1–1	D
05 Oct	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	0–0	D
01 Oct	Cardiff City FC	A	0–1	L
28 Sep	Preston North End FC	H	3–1	W
21 Sep	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	1–1	D
14 Sep	Luton Town FC	H	0–1	L

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Millwall FC	A	1–1	D
05 Oct	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	2–0	W
01 Oct	Sunderland AFC	A	0–2	L
28 Sep	Norwich City FC	H	2–3	L
21 Sep	Sheffield United FC	A	0–1	L
14 Sep	Cardiff City FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Millwall FC		Derby County FC
#3	Position	#8
83	Points	69
46	Played	46
24 / 11 / 11	W / D / L	20 / 9 / 17
64	Scored	67
49	Conceded	59
+15	GD	+8
1.80	PPG	1.50
52%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Millwall FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
20' Millwall FC currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
25' Millwall FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 4-3-3 shape.
30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
33' Kane Wilson gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Ryan Nyambe and will look to change the dynamic.
37' That looks like a foul for a card for Joe Bryan.
42' Millwall FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
47' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Corey Blackett-Taylor made 355 appearances and scored 22 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
52' It’s high time Neil Harris made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Neil Harris will be considering his options from the bench.
61' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Corey Blackett-Taylor by Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 61 minute.
62' The crowd applauds Kenzo Goudmijn as he leaves the pitch. Ben Osborn steps in for Derby County FC.
65' A tactical swap from Millwall FC — Femi Azeez on, Duncan Watmore off on 65 minutes.
70' Jake Cooper is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
73' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Macaulay Langstaff is replaced by Mihailo Ivanovic on 73 minute.
77' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Marcus Harness exits the field as James Collins enters on 77.
78' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jerry Yates on 78.
78' Derby County FC ring the changes. Kayden Jackson has done his job and it is now time for Nathaniel Phillips to step up.
83' With 0 assists to his name this season, James Collins is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
84' Ryan Wintle gets the nod from Millwall FC. He replaces Casper De Norre and will look to change the dynamic.
85' Brilliant from the ! Mihailo Ivanovic makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 85.
90' Poor challenge from Ryan Wintle. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

17
Macaulay Langstaff ↓ Mihailo Ivanovic 73'
18
Ryan Leonard
5
Jake Cooper
39
George Honeyman
19
Duncan Watmore ↓ Femi Azeez 65'
15
Joe Bryan
23
George Saville ↓ Daniel Kelly 84'
24
Casper De Norre ↓ Ryan Wintle 84'
6
Japhet Tanganga
1
Lukas Jensen
25
Romain Esse

Bench

Coach Neil Harris

Derby County FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Ben Osborn 62'
3
Craig Forsyth
18
Marcus Harness ↓ James Collins 77'
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ Nathaniel Phillips 78'
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↓ Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 61'
24
Ryan Nyambe ↓ Kane Wilson 33'
35
Curtis Nelson
10
Jerry Yates
32
Ebou Adams
6
Eiran Cashin
1
Jacob Widell Zetterstrom

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Louie Sibley	3
Jed Wallace	2
Lee Gregory	1
Jake Cooper	1
David Nugent	1
Tyler Burey	1
Jerry Yates	1
Tom Bradshaw	1

Head to Head

Millwall FC Form

2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-05 West Bromwich Albion FC 0–0 Millwall FC D 2024-10-01 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Millwall FC L 2024-09-28 Millwall FC 3–1 Preston North End FC W 2024-09-21 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2024-09-14 Millwall FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L

Derby County FC Form

2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-05 Derby County FC 2–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2024-10-01 Sunderland AFC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2024-09-28 Derby County FC 2–3 Norwich City FC L 2024-09-21 Sheffield United FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2024-09-14 Derby County FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.42 Millwall FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Millwall FC47% Draw28% Derby County FC25%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.38

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw

75%

Draw or Derby County FC

53%

Millwall FC or Derby County FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC32% Draw50% Derby County FC18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

12%

0 – 0

11.4%

2 – 0

2 – 1

8.7%

0 – 1

7.7%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

4.2%

3 – 1

4.2%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap	Millwall FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	23%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.