Saturday , 14 November 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Millwall FC
1 – 1
Full Time
Derby County FC
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC The Den 17,321 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 78' Jerry Yates
Mihailo Ivanovic 85' 1–1
Joe Bryan 37' Y
Ryan Wintle 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
  • Assistant 1 Marc Perry
  • Assistant 2 Mark Scholes
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Birmingham City FC 15 29
2 Middlesbrough FC 15 29
3 Stoke City FC 15 29
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 15 28
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 15 28
6 Swansea City AFC 15 26
7 Southampton FC 15 24
8 Queens Park Rangers FC 15 24
9 West Ham United FC 15 23
10 Sheffield United FC 15 22
11 Portsmouth FC 15 22
12 Norwich City FC 15 21
13 Blackburn Rovers FC 15 21
14 Cardiff City FC 15 18
15 Wrexham AFC 15 18
16 Millwall FC 15 18
17 Bristol City FC 15 18
18 Bolton Wanderers FC 15 17
19 Charlton Athletic FC 15 17
20 Watford FC 15 15
21 Lincoln City FC 15 15
22 Burnley FC 15 10
23 Derby County FC 15 10
24 Preston North End FC 15 8

Head-to-Head

8
3
2
Millwall FC 13 games · Avg 2.2 goals Derby County FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2021-11-06 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2021-03-13 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2020-12-05 Millwall FC 0–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Derby County FC H 1–1 D
05 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
01 Oct Cardiff City FC A 0–1 L
28 Sep Preston North End FC H 3–1 W
21 Sep Queens Park Rangers FC A 1–1 D
14 Sep Luton Town FC H 0–1 L
Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Millwall FC A 1–1 D
05 Oct Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–0 W
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#16 Position #23
18 Points 10
15 Played 15
5 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
23 Scored 14
27 Conceded 30
-4 GD -16
1.20 PPG 0.67
33% Win % 13%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Millwall FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at The Den.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Neil Harris might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 33' Kane Wilson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryan Nyambe at the 33 minute mark.
  • 37' A meaty challenge results in booking for Joe Bryan on 37.
  • 42' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 47' Lukas Jensen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paul Warne will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has so much to prove this time. He replaces Corey Blackett-Taylor on 61 minute.
  • 62' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Ben Osborn on, Kenzo Goudmijn off on 62 minutes.
  • 65' Another change for Millwall FC made on 65 minute. Duncan Watmore leaves to be changed by Femi Azeez.
  • 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 400 games and scored 466 goals.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Macaulay Langstaff is replaced by Mihailo Ivanovic on 73 minute.
  • 77' James Collins has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcus Harness on 77 minute.
  • 78' Jerry Yates has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 78 minutes.
  • 78' The supporters are chanting for Nathaniel Phillips. He replaces Kayden Jackson on 78 minute.
  • 83' Kane Wilson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Millwall FC — Ryan Wintle on, Casper De Norre off on 84 minutes.
  • 85' Mihailo Ivanovic doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Ryan Wintle is booked for Millwall FC — card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Neil Harris

Derby County FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Louie Sibley 3
Kyrell Lisbie 2
Jed Wallace 2
Shaun Williams 1
Shaun Hutchinson 1
Lee Gregory 1
Festy Ebosele 1
Shaun Williams 1

Head to Head

2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2021-11-06 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2021-03-13 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2020-12-05 Millwall FC 0–1 Derby County FC

Millwall FC Form

2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-05 West Bromwich Albion FC 0–0 Millwall FC D 2024-10-01 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Millwall FC L 2024-09-28 Millwall FC 3–1 Preston North End FC W 2024-09-21 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2024-09-14 Millwall FC 0–1 Luton Town FC L

Derby County FC Form

2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC D 2024-10-05 Derby County FC 2–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2024-10-01 Sunderland AFC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2024-09-28 Derby County FC 2–3 Norwich City FC L 2024-09-21 Sheffield United FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2024-09-14 Derby County FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.83 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC54% Draw25% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Derby County FC
46%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC40% Draw45% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.1%
3 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
2.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 24% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.