Derby County FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Blackburn Rovers FC

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 9 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Blackburn Rovers FC 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Leigh Doughty

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	9	20
2	Middlesbrough FC	9	18
3	West Ham United FC	9	16
4	Stoke City FC	9	16
5	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	9	14
7	Birmingham City FC	9	14
8	Millwall FC	9	14
9	West Bromwich Albion FC	9	14
10	Bristol City FC	9	14
11	Southampton FC	9	13
12	Charlton Athletic FC	9	13
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	9	12
14	Sheffield United FC	9	12
15	Wrexham AFC	9	11
16	Lincoln City FC	9	11
17	Bolton Wanderers FC	9	10
18	Norwich City FC	9	9
19	Portsmouth FC	8	8
20	Watford FC	9	8
21	Cardiff City FC	9	7
22	Burnley FC	9	7
23	Derby County FC	9	6
24	Preston North End FC	9	4

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 12 games · Avg 3.0 goals Blackburn Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC 2025-03-08 Derby County FC 2–1 Blackburn Rovers FC 2024-08-09 Blackburn Rovers FC 4–2 Derby County FC 2022-03-15 Blackburn Rovers FC 3–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W
07 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	5–0	W

Blackburn Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Derby County FC	A	1–3	L
24 Feb	Bristol City FC	H	1–2	L
20 Feb	Preston North End FC	H	1–0	W
14 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	3–1	W
07 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	0–2	L
03 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Blackburn Rovers FC
#23	Position	#13
6	Points	12
9	Played	9
1 / 3 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 3 / 3
8	Scored	14
15	Conceded	13
-7	GD	+1
0.67	PPG	1.33
11%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Blackburn Rovers FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (6 pts). Blackburn Rovers FC are 13th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Blackburn Rovers FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/2

31-45

2/2

46-60

6/3

61-75

–/2

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Blackburn Rovers FC

Andri Gudjohnsen	4 G	1 A
Oladapo Afolayan	3 G	2 A
Todd Cantwell	2 G
Sean McLoughlin	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
The referee brings this contest to a close. Derby County FC take all three points.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Blackburn Rovers FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tyrhys Dolan	3
Harvey Elliot	2
Ben Brereton	2
Adam Armstrong	2
Chris Martin	2
Bradley Johnson	2
Sam Gallagher	2
Ebou Adams	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W 2026-02-07 Derby County FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC W

Blackburn Rovers FC Form

2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2026-02-24 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Bristol City FC L 2026-02-20 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–0 Preston North End FC W 2026-02-14 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–3 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-07 Norwich City FC 2–0 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2026-02-03 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.62 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 Blackburn Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Blackburn Rovers FC 76% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC43% Draw24% Blackburn Rovers FC33%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

67%

Draw or Blackburn Rovers FC

57%

Derby County FC or Blackburn Rovers FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC28% Draw42% Blackburn Rovers FC30%

Actual: Blackburn Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.1%

1 – 2

8.1%

2 – 1

7.9%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 1

5.5%

1 – 0

5.5%

0 – 0

5.4%

0 – 2

5.2%

2 – 0

1 – 3

4.4%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Blackburn Rovers FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	11%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	18%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	18%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.