Derby County FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Blackburn Rovers FC

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Blackburn Rovers FC 46 games · 52 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Leigh Doughty

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 12 games · Avg 3.0 goals Blackburn Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC 2025-03-08 Derby County FC 2–1 Blackburn Rovers FC 2024-08-09 Blackburn Rovers FC 4–2 Derby County FC 2022-03-15 Blackburn Rovers FC 3–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W
07 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	5–0	W

Blackburn Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Derby County FC	A	1–3	L
24 Feb	Bristol City FC	H	1–2	L
20 Feb	Preston North End FC	H	1–0	W
14 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	3–1	W
07 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	0–2	L
03 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Blackburn Rovers FC
#8	Position	#20
69	Points	52
46	Played	46
20 / 9 / 17	W / D / L	13 / 13 / 20
67	Scored	42
59	Conceded	56
+8	GD	-14
1.50	PPG	1.13
43%	Win %	28%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Blackburn Rovers FC are 20th (52 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Derby County FC and Blackburn Rovers FC is underway.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Blackburn Rovers FC.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Blackburn Rovers FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tyrhys Dolan	3
Chris Martin	2
Bradley Johnson	2
Sam Gallagher	2
Harvey Elliot	2
Ben Brereton	2
Adam Armstrong	2
Scott Wharton	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W 2026-02-07 Derby County FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC W

Blackburn Rovers FC Form

2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2026-02-24 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Bristol City FC L 2026-02-20 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–0 Preston North End FC W 2026-02-14 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–3 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-07 Norwich City FC 2–0 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2026-02-03 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.88 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.2 Blackburn Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC53% Draw24% Blackburn Rovers FC23%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.08

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Blackburn Rovers FC

47%

Derby County FC or Blackburn Rovers FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC38% Draw43% Blackburn Rovers FC19%

Actual: Blackburn Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

8.1%

1 – 0

7.9%

0 – 0

6.2%

1 – 2

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 2

3.6%

0 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Blackburn Rovers FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	22%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.