Derby County FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

3 – 1

Full Time

Blackburn Rovers FC

Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Blackburn Rovers FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 10 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Blackburn Rovers FC 10 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Leigh Doughty

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	10	23
2	Middlesbrough FC	10	21
3	West Ham United FC	10	19
4	Birmingham City FC	10	17
5	Queens Park Rangers FC	10	17
6	West Bromwich Albion FC	10	17
7	Southampton FC	10	16
8	Stoke City FC	10	16
9	Blackburn Rovers FC	10	15
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	9	14
11	Millwall FC	10	14
12	Bristol City FC	10	14
13	Charlton Athletic FC	10	14
14	Bolton Wanderers FC	10	13
15	Sheffield United FC	10	12
16	Portsmouth FC	9	11
17	Wrexham AFC	10	11
18	Lincoln City FC	10	11
19	Cardiff City FC	10	10
20	Norwich City FC	10	9
21	Burnley FC	10	8
22	Watford FC	10	8
23	Derby County FC	10	6
24	Preston North End FC	10	4

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 12 games · Avg 3.0 goals Blackburn Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC 2025-03-08 Derby County FC 2–1 Blackburn Rovers FC 2024-08-09 Blackburn Rovers FC 4–2 Derby County FC 2022-03-15 Blackburn Rovers FC 3–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W
07 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	5–0	W

Blackburn Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Derby County FC	A	1–3	L
24 Feb	Bristol City FC	H	1–2	L
20 Feb	Preston North End FC	H	1–0	W
14 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	A	3–1	W
07 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	0–2	L
03 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Blackburn Rovers FC
#23	Position	#9
6	Points	15
10	Played	10
1 / 3 / 6	W / D / L	4 / 3 / 3
9	Scored	15
19	Conceded	13
-10	GD	+2
0.60	PPG	1.50
10%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

10% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Blackburn Rovers FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (6 pts). Blackburn Rovers FC are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

1/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

1/5

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/3

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Blackburn Rovers FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

6/3

61-75

–/2

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Blackburn Rovers FC

Oladapo Afolayan	4 G	2 A
Andri Gudjohnsen	4 G	1 A
Todd Cantwell	2 G
Sean McLoughlin	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
The referee brings this contest to a close. Derby County FC take all three points.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Blackburn Rovers FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tyrhys Dolan	3
Ben Brereton	2
Adam Armstrong	2
Chris Martin	2
Bradley Johnson	2
Sam Gallagher	2
Harvey Elliot	2
Curtis Davies	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W 2026-02-07 Derby County FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC W

Blackburn Rovers FC Form

2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2026-02-24 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Bristol City FC L 2026-02-20 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–0 Preston North End FC W 2026-02-14 Queens Park Rangers FC 1–3 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-07 Norwich City FC 2–0 Blackburn Rovers FC L 2026-02-03 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.56 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.7 Blackburn Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Blackburn Rovers FC 76% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC41% Draw24% Blackburn Rovers FC35%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.26

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

65%

Draw or Blackburn Rovers FC

59%

Derby County FC or Blackburn Rovers FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC27% Draw42% Blackburn Rovers FC31%

Actual: Blackburn Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.1%

1 – 2

8.3%

2 – 1

7.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 1

5.8%

0 – 2

5.5%

0 – 0

5.4%

1 – 0

5.2%

1 – 3

4.7%

2 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

Actual

2 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Blackburn Rovers FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	17%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	19%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	12%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Blackburn Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.