Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Millwall FC

Wed 10 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Kirk (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 12 games · Avg 1.9 goals Millwall FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2021-11-06 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Dec	Millwall FC	H	1–1	D
06 Dec	Leicester City FC	H	1–3	L
29 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Swansea City AFC	A	2–1	W
22 Nov	Watford FC	H	2–3	L
08 Nov	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–1	W

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Dec	Derby County FC	A	1–1	D
06 Dec	Bristol City FC	A	1–0	W
29 Nov	Southampton FC	H	3–2	W
26 Nov	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–0	W
22 Nov	Portsmouth FC	A	1–3	L
08 Nov	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Millwall FC
#8	Position	#3
69	Points	83
46	Played	46
20 / 9 / 17	W / D / L	24 / 11 / 11
67	Scored	64
59	Conceded	49
+8	GD	+15
1.50	PPG	1.80
43%	Win %	52%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Millwall FC.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Louie Sibley	3
Jed Wallace	2
Josh Coburn	1
Connor Mahoney	1
Matt Smith	1
David Nugent	1
Jason Knight	1
Shaun Williams	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-12-06 Derby County FC 1–3 Leicester City FC L 2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2025-11-25 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC L 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC W

Millwall FC Form

2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-12-06 Bristol City FC 0–1 Millwall FC W 2025-11-29 Millwall FC 3–2 Southampton FC W 2025-11-26 Millwall FC 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-11-22 Portsmouth FC 3–1 Millwall FC L 2025-11-08 Millwall FC 1–1 Preston North End FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.22 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.4 Millwall FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Millwall FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC33% Draw29% Millwall FC38%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Millwall FC

67%

Derby County FC or Millwall FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC24% Draw48% Millwall FC28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

9.3%

0 – 1

9.2%

1 – 2

8.4%

1 – 0

7.8%

2 – 1

7.3%

0 – 2

2 – 0

5.3%

2 – 2

5.2%

1 – 3

0 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Millwall FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	18%	69%
-0.5	31%	—	69%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	21%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.