Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Millwall FC

Wed 10 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Kirk (England)

5 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 13 games · Avg 2.2 goals Millwall FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2021-11-06 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Dec	Millwall FC	H	1–1	D
06 Dec	Leicester City FC	H	1–3	L
29 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Swansea City AFC	A	2–1	W
22 Nov	Watford FC	H	2–3	L
08 Nov	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–1	W

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Dec	Derby County FC	A	1–1	D
06 Dec	Bristol City FC	A	1–0	W
29 Nov	Southampton FC	H	3–2	W
26 Nov	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–0	W
22 Nov	Portsmouth FC	A	1–3	L
08 Nov	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Millwall FC
#23	Position	#16
10	Points	18
15	Played	15
2 / 4 / 9	W / D / L	5 / 3 / 7
14	Scored	23
30	Conceded	27
-16	GD	-4
0.67	PPG	1.20
13%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

1/5

16-30

3/6

31-45

2/7

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/4

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Millwall FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

4/3

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/4

76+

7/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	3 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Millwall FC

Lyndon Dykes	5 G	2 A
Camiel Neghli	3 G	3 A
Tairyk Arconte	3 G
Josh Coburn	2 G
Luke Cundle	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Derby County FC have kicked off against Millwall FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Derby County FC 1-1 Millwall FC.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Louie Sibley	3
Jed Wallace	2
Kyrell Lisbie	2
David Nugent	1
Tyler Burey	1
Jerry Yates	1
Tom Bradshaw	1
Mihailo Ivanovic	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-12-06 Derby County FC 1–3 Leicester City FC L 2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2025-11-25 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC L 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC W

Millwall FC Form

2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-12-06 Bristol City FC 0–1 Millwall FC W 2025-11-29 Millwall FC 3–2 Southampton FC W 2025-11-26 Millwall FC 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-11-22 Portsmouth FC 3–1 Millwall FC L 2025-11-08 Millwall FC 1–1 Preston North End FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.74 Millwall FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Millwall FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC28% Draw27% Millwall FC45%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.93

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

55%

Draw or Millwall FC

72%

Derby County FC or Millwall FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC20% Draw44% Millwall FC36%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

9.3%

0 – 1

8.5%

0 – 2

0 – 0

7.1%

2 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 0

5.5%

1 – 3

5.4%

0 – 3

4.6%

2 – 0

3.7%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Millwall FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	14%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	22%	27%
+1.5	73%	—	27%
+2	73%	15%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.