Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship .
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Millwall FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Dec | Leicester City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Middlesbrough FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Nov | Swansea City AFC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Nov | Watford FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec | Derby County FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Dec | Bristol City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Nov | Southampton FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Nov | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Nov | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Preston North End FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #11 |
| 5 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 15 |
| 14 | Conceded | 15 |
| -7 | GD | +0 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 13% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Millwall FC.
- The points are shared — Derby County FC 1-1 Millwall FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Jason Knight | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Shaun Hutchinson | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Festy Ebosele | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Millwall FC
73%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

