Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Wed 10 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Kirk (England)
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Millwall FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec Leicester City FC H 1–3 L
29 Nov Middlesbrough FC A 1–2 L
25 Nov Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
22 Nov Watford FC H 2–3 L
08 Nov Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Dec Derby County FC A 1–1 D
06 Dec Bristol City FC A 1–0 W
29 Nov Southampton FC H 3–2 W
26 Nov Sheffield Wednesday FC H 1–0 W
22 Nov Portsmouth FC A 1–3 L
08 Nov Preston North End FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Millwall FC
#22 Position #11
5 Points 11
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 3
7 Scored 15
14 Conceded 15
-7 GD +0
0.63 PPG 1.38
13% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw27% Millwall FC46%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Millwall FC
73%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC19% Draw43% Millwall FC38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
1 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 14% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 22% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.