Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Wed 25 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Birmingham City FC H 3–0 W
21 Feb Portsmouth FC H 1–3 L
14 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–1 W
07 Feb Wrexham AFC A 2–0 W
31 Jan Sheffield United FC H 1–1 D
24 Jan Charlton Athletic FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Millwall FC A 0–3 L
21 Feb Norwich City FC A 2–1 W
15 Feb Leeds United FC H 3–5 L
10 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–0 D
07 Feb Leicester City FC H 2–1 W
31 Jan Oxford United FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Millwall FC Birmingham City FC
#3 Position #10
83 Points 64
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 17 / 13 / 16
64 Scored 57
49 Conceded 56
+15 GD +1
1.80 PPG 1.39
52% Win % 37%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.56 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC49% Draw27% Birmingham City FC24%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
51%
Millwall FC or Birmingham City FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC33% Draw47% Birmingham City FC20%
Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.