Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Elliot Bell (England)
- Assistant 1 Jonathan Hunt
- Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
6 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.5 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 08 Feb | Leeds United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #11 |
| 5 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 7 | Scored | 15 |
| 14 | Conceded | 15 |
| -7 | GD | +0 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 13% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Millwall FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Derby County FC currently sit 22 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Coburn suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jake Cooper is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
- 20' Camiel Neghli is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 25' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 44' Poor challenge from Kenzo Goudmijn. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 49' David Ozoh has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 54' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Nyambe argues furiously but the card stands.
- 58' The supporters are chanting for Zak Sturge. He replaces Joe Bryan on 58 minute.
- 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Casper De Norre made 267 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Josh Coburn. He replaces Mihailo Ivanovic on 65 minute.
- 66' The crowd applauds Kenzo Goudmijn as he leaves the pitch. Marcus Harness steps in for Derby County FC.
- 71' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 75' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Matt Clarke is withdrawn and Craig Forsyth gets his opportunity.
- 79' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Femi Azeez is replaced by Aidomo Emakhu.
- 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 88' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. David Ozoh is replaced by Kemar Roofe on 88 minute.
- It finishes all square. Derby County FC and Millwall FC share the spoils 0-1.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
25
Matt Clarke ↓ Craig Forsyth 75'
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Marcus Harness 66'
- 8
- 19
- 24
- 10
- 32
- 15
- 1
-
4
David Ozoh ↓ Kemar Roofe 88'
- 6
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 75'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↑ 66'
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 66'
-
9
Kemar Roofe ↑ 88'
- 31
- 16
- 21
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 66'
- 28
Coach
John Eustace
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
15
Joe Bryan ↓ Zak Sturge 58'
- 23
- 24
- 6
-
25
Luke Cundle ↓ George Honeyman 65'
- 52
- 1
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 79'
- 56
-
26
Mihailo Ivanovic ↓ Josh Coburn 65'
Bench
- 3
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 65'
- 45
- 13
- 14
-
8
Billy Mitchell ↑ 79'
-
21
Josh Coburn ↑ 65'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 79'
-
58
Zak Sturge ↑ 58'
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
| Josh Coburn | 1 |
| Connor Mahoney | 1 |
| Matt Smith | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2025-02-22
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2025-02-14
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-02-11
Derby County FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-02-08
Norwich City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-02-01
Derby County FC
0–1
Sheffield United FC
L
2025-01-25
Cardiff City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Millwall FC
76%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +1 | 49% | 23% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

