Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 12:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 28,321 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+5' Josh Coburn

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Hunt
  • Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Derby County FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
15 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
12 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–5 L
08 Feb Leeds United FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Millwall FC
#22 Position #11
5 Points 11
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 3
7 Scored 15
14 Conceded 15
-7 GD +0
0.63 PPG 1.38
13% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Derby County FC host Millwall FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Derby County FC currently sit 22 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Josh Coburn suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' With 1 assists to his name this season, Jake Cooper is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 20' Camiel Neghli is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 25' Millwall FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Derby County FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 44' Poor challenge from Kenzo Goudmijn. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 49' David Ozoh has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 54' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Nyambe argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Zak Sturge. He replaces Joe Bryan on 58 minute.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Casper De Norre made 267 appearances and scored 15 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Josh Coburn. He replaces Mihailo Ivanovic on 65 minute.
  • 66' The crowd applauds Kenzo Goudmijn as he leaves the pitch. Marcus Harness steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 71' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 75' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Matt Clarke is withdrawn and Craig Forsyth gets his opportunity.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Millwall FC. Femi Azeez is replaced by Aidomo Emakhu.
  • 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. David Ozoh is replaced by Kemar Roofe on 88 minute.
  • It finishes all square. Derby County FC and Millwall FC share the spoils 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.98 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC24% Draw27% Millwall FC49%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Millwall FC
76%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC17% Draw47% Millwall FC36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
9.2%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
5%
1 – 3
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 23% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.