Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Elliot Bell (England)
- Assistant 1 Jonathan Hunt
- Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
3 games this season
🟨 5.3/game
⚽ 17.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 08 Feb | Leeds United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #23 | Position | #16 |
| 10 | Points | 18 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 2 / 4 / 9 | W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 7 |
| 14 | Scored | 23 |
| 30 | Conceded | 27 |
| -16 | GD | -4 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 13% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 5 G | 2 A |
| Camiel Neghli | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Pride Park Stadium as Derby County FC face off against Millwall FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Camiel Neghli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 10' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Sondre Langas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 5 appearances.
- 25' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Millwall FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' Millwall FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 44' Kenzo Goudmijn has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
- 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Millwall FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 54' Ryan Nyambe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 54.
- 58' Joe Bryan makes way for Zak Sturge at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
- 63' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 65' The whistle greets Mihailo Ivanovic as he departs to be replaced by Josh Coburn.
- 66' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Kenzo Goudmijn is replaced by Marcus Harness.
- 71' Ryan Nyambe, a Namibia defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 75' The whistle greets Matt Clarke as he departs to be replaced by Craig Forsyth.
- 79' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Femi Azeez departs to be replaced by Aidomo Emakhu.
- 84' Japhet Tanganga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
- 88' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. David Ozoh is withdrawn and Kemar Roofe gets his opportunity.
- Another three points for Millwall FC.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
25
Matt Clarke ↓ Craig Forsyth 75'
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Marcus Harness 66'
- 8
- 19
- 24
- 10
- 32
- 15
- 1
-
4
David Ozoh ↓ Kemar Roofe 88'
- 6
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 75'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↑ 66'
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 66'
-
9
Kemar Roofe ↑ 88'
- 31
- 16
- 21
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 66'
- 28
Coach
John Eustace
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
15
Joe Bryan ↓ Zak Sturge 58'
- 23
- 24
- 6
-
25
Luke Cundle ↓ George Honeyman 65'
- 52
- 1
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 79'
- 56
-
26
Mihailo Ivanovic ↓ Josh Coburn 65'
Bench
- 3
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 65'
- 45
- 13
- 14
-
8
Billy Mitchell ↑ 79'
-
21
Josh Coburn ↑ 65'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 79'
-
58
Zak Sturge ↑ 58'
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Kyrell Lisbie | 2 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
| Tyler Burey | 1 |
| Jerry Yates | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2025-02-22
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2025-02-14
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-02-11
Derby County FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-02-08
Norwich City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-02-01
Derby County FC
0–1
Sheffield United FC
L
2025-01-25
Cardiff City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.99
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Millwall FC
76%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

