Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 12:30 UTC Pride Park Stadium 28,321 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 90+5' Josh Coburn

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Jonathan Hunt
  • Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Millwall FC H 0–1 L
14 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–4 L
11 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
08 Feb Norwich City FC A 1–1 D
01 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L
25 Jan Cardiff City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Derby County FC A 1–0 W
18 Feb Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
15 Feb West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
12 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–5 L
08 Feb Leeds United FC A 2–0 W
01 Feb Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Derby County FC Millwall FC
#23 Position #16
10 Points 18
15 Played 15
2 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 5 / 3 / 7
14 Scored 23
30 Conceded 27
-16 GD -4
0.67 PPG 1.20
13% Win % 33%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/4
76+
7/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 5 G 2 A
Camiel Neghli 3 G 3 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Pride Park Stadium as Derby County FC face off against Millwall FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Camiel Neghli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 10' It’s high time Alex Neil made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Sondre Langas has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 5 appearances.
  • 25' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Millwall FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 40' Millwall FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 44' Kenzo Goudmijn has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 44.
  • 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Millwall FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 54' Ryan Nyambe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 54.
  • 58' Joe Bryan makes way for Zak Sturge at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
  • 63' It looks like no one’s ball. Millwall FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 65' The whistle greets Mihailo Ivanovic as he departs to be replaced by Josh Coburn.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Kenzo Goudmijn is replaced by Marcus Harness.
  • 71' Ryan Nyambe, a Namibia defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 75' The whistle greets Matt Clarke as he departs to be replaced by Craig Forsyth.
  • 79' The Millwall FC manager makes a substitution. Femi Azeez departs to be replaced by Aidomo Emakhu.
  • 84' Japhet Tanganga is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
  • 88' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. David Ozoh is withdrawn and Kemar Roofe gets his opportunity.
  • Another three points for Millwall FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.99 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC24% Draw28% Millwall FC48%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Millwall FC
76%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC18% Draw48% Millwall FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.1%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.6%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 14% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.