Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Elliot Bell (England)
- Assistant 1 Jonathan Hunt
- Assistant 2 Gregory Read (England)
3 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 5.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Millwall FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 11 Feb | Oxford United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sheffield United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Feb | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 08 Feb | Leeds United FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #3 |
| 69 | Points | 83 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 20 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 24 / 11 / 11 |
| 67 | Scored | 64 |
| 59 | Conceded | 49 |
| +8 | GD | +15 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.80 |
| 43% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Millwall FC for this crunch clash at Pride Park Stadium.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' George Saville has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Tristan Crama has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Japhet Tanganga made 385 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Mihailo Ivanovic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 456 appearances.
- 35' Derby County FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Millwall FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 44' That is a card for Derby County FC. Kenzo Goudmijn will be fuming at that decision.
- 49' The 30-year-old Ebou Adams has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 54' Controversy at the stadium! Ryan Nyambe argues furiously but the card stands.
- 58' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Joe Bryan is replaced by Zak Sturge on 58 minute.
- 63' Camiel Neghli is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
- 65' Another change for Millwall FC made on 65 minute. Mihailo Ivanovic leaves to be changed by Josh Coburn.
- 66' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Kenzo Goudmijn is withdrawn and Marcus Harness gets his opportunity.
- 71' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 75' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Matt Clarke by Craig Forsyth on 75 minute.
- 79' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Femi Azeez exits the field as Aidomo Emakhu enters on 79.
- 84' Millwall FC have won 401 goals from 382 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 88' Kemar Roofe is ready to make an impact after coming on for David Ozoh at the 88 minute mark.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
25
Matt Clarke ↓ Craig Forsyth 75'
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Marcus Harness 66'
- 8
- 19
- 24
- 10
- 32
- 15
- 1
-
4
David Ozoh ↓ Kemar Roofe 88'
- 6
Bench
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 75'
-
18
Marcus Harness ↑ 66'
-
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↑ 66'
-
9
Kemar Roofe ↑ 88'
- 31
- 16
- 21
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 66'
- 28
Coach
John Eustace
Millwall FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5
-
15
Joe Bryan ↓ Zak Sturge 58'
- 23
- 24
- 6
-
25
Luke Cundle ↓ George Honeyman 65'
- 52
- 1
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Aidomo Emakhu 79'
- 56
-
26
Mihailo Ivanovic ↓ Josh Coburn 65'
Bench
- 3
-
39
George Honeyman ↑ 65'
- 45
- 13
- 14
-
8
Billy Mitchell ↑ 79'
-
21
Josh Coburn ↑ 65'
-
22
Aidomo Emakhu ↑ 79'
-
58
Zak Sturge ↑ 58'
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Shaun Hutchinson | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Festy Ebosele | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Scott Malone | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2025-02-22
Derby County FC
0–1
Millwall FC
L
2025-02-14
Queens Park Rangers FC
4–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-02-11
Derby County FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-02-08
Norwich City FC
1–1
Derby County FC
D
2025-02-01
Derby County FC
0–1
Sheffield United FC
L
2025-01-25
Cardiff City FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
Millwall FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.02
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Millwall FC
71%
Derby County FC or Millwall FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.4%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.1%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.