Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Watford FC 8 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
3 games this season
🟨 2.0/game
⚽ 6.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #22 |
| 8 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 2 / 2 / 4 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 7 | Scored | 7 |
| 10 | Conceded | 14 |
| -3 | GD | -7 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 25% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Watford FC launch into their encounter with Derby County FC.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2026-02-21
Watford FC
2–0
Derby County FC
L
2026-02-14
Derby County FC
2–0
Swansea City AFC
W
2026-02-07
Derby County FC
1–2
Ipswich Town FC
L
2026-01-30
Bristol City FC
0–5
Derby County FC
W
2026-01-23
Derby County FC
1–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
D
2026-01-20
Charlton Athletic FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.44
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
1 – 0
12.2%
0 – 0
11.4%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.