Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Watford FC 46 games · 57 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #8 |
| 57 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 14 / 15 / 17 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 53 | Scored | 67 |
| 65 | Conceded | 59 |
| -12 | GD | +8 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 30% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Watford FC kicks off things out of here…
- Full Time. Watford FC beats Derby County FC
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2026-02-21
Watford FC
2–0
Derby County FC
L
2026-02-14
Derby County FC
2–0
Swansea City AFC
W
2026-02-07
Derby County FC
1–2
Ipswich Town FC
L
2026-01-30
Bristol City FC
0–5
Derby County FC
W
2026-01-23
Derby County FC
1–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
D
2026-01-20
Charlton Athletic FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
54%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 18% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

