Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Watford FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .
- Watford FC 15 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee David Webb
4 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Feb | Southampton FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | Swansea City AFC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb | Watford FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Watford FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #23 |
| 15 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 4 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 13 | Scored | 14 |
| 23 | Conceded | 30 |
| -10 | GD | -16 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 27% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
Watford FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Watford FC are 20th (15 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Watford FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
–/6
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Watford FC
| Amin Nabizada | 3 G |
| Iker Bravo | 1 G |
| Luca Kjerrumgaard | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Watford FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
- It finishes all square. Watford FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Watford FC Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Joao Pedro | 2 |
| Edo Kayembe | 1 |
| Imran Louza | 1 |
| Will Hughes | 1 |
| William Troost-Ekong | 1 |
| Ebou Adams | 1 |
| Moussa Sissoko | 1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 1 |
Head to Head
Watford FC Form
Derby County FC Form
2026-02-21
Watford FC
2–0
Derby County FC
L
2026-02-14
Derby County FC
2–0
Swansea City AFC
W
2026-02-07
Derby County FC
1–2
Ipswich Town FC
L
2026-01-30
Bristol City FC
0–5
Derby County FC
W
2026-01-23
Derby County FC
1–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
D
2026-01-20
Charlton Athletic FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Watford FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Watford FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Derby County FC
49%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Watford FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Watford FC
| Handicap | Watford FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Watford FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.