Thursday , 2 July 2026

Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Derby County FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
07 Feb Southampton FC A 0–1 L
03 Feb Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
31 Jan Swansea City AFC H 0–2 L
24 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
14 Feb Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
30 Jan Bristol City FC A 5–0 W
23 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Derby County FC
#16 Position #8
57 Points 69
46 Played 46
14 / 15 / 17 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
53 Scored 67
65 Conceded 59
-12 GD +8
1.24 PPG 1.50
30% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 16th (57 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.49 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC46% Draw26% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Derby County FC
54%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC29% Draw46% Derby County FC25%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
7%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
27%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.