Sunday , 16 August 2026

Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Derby County FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
07 Feb Southampton FC A 0–1 L
03 Feb Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
31 Jan Swansea City AFC H 0–2 L
24 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
14 Feb Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
30 Jan Bristol City FC A 5–0 W
23 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Derby County FC
#19 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Watford FC are 19th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.83 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Watford FC or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC44% Draw35% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Derby County FC
56%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC22% Draw64% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.9%
1 – 0
18.5%
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2.1%
2 – 2
1.6%
3 – 1
1.5%
0 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 24% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 16% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
56%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.