Wednesday , 19 August 2026

Watford FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Derby County FC H 2–0 W
14 Feb Preston North End FC A 2–2 D
07 Feb Southampton FC A 0–1 L
03 Feb Hull City AFC A 0–0 D
31 Jan Swansea City AFC H 0–2 L
24 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
14 Feb Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
30 Jan Bristol City FC A 5–0 W
23 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Derby County FC
#11 Position #24
3 Points 0
1 Played 1
1 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 1
2 Scored 1
1 Conceded 2
+1 GD -1
3.00 PPG 0.00
100% Win % 0%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Watford FC are 11th (3 pts). Derby County FC are 24th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
1/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Watford FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.51 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC to win 67% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC67% Draw19% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Watford FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Derby County FC
33%
Watford FC or Derby County FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC52% Draw37% Derby County FC11%
Actual: Watford FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.3%
3 – 0
8.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.8%
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
3.6%
1 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 28% 72%
-2 28% 20% 51%
-1.5 49% 51%
-1 49% 21% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.