Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Hull City AFC

4 – 2

Full Time

Derby County FC

Tue 24 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hull City AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Hull City AFC 46 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Adam Herczeg

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Hull City AFC 10 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC 2025-11-04 Derby County FC 2–1 Hull City AFC 2025-04-26 Hull City AFC 0–1 Derby County FC 2024-10-26 Derby County FC 1–1 Hull City AFC 2022-02-08 Derby County FC 3–1 Hull City AFC

Recent Form

Hull City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Derby County FC	H	4–2	W
21 Feb	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–3	L
13 Feb	Chelsea FC	H	0–4	L
07 Feb	Bristol City FC	H	2–3	L
03 Feb	Watford FC	H	0–0	D
31 Jan	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	1–0	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W
07 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	5–0	W
23 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Hull City AFC		Derby County FC
#6	Position	#8
73	Points	69
46	Played	46
21 / 10 / 15	W / D / L	20 / 9 / 17
70	Scored	67
66	Conceded	59
+4	GD	+8
1.59	PPG	1.50
46%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Hull City AFC are 6th (73 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Hull City AFC and Derby County FC.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

Hull City AFC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martyn Waghorn	3
Jarrod Bowen	2
Matt Clarke	1
Sam Baldock	1
Craig Forsyth	1
Tom Lawrence	1
Festy Ebosele	1
Florian Jozefzoon	1

Head to Head

Hull City AFC Form

2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC W 2026-02-21 Hull City AFC 1–3 Queens Park Rangers FC L 2026-02-13 Hull City AFC 0–4 Chelsea FC L 2026-02-07 Hull City AFC 2–3 Bristol City FC L 2026-02-03 Hull City AFC 0–0 Watford FC D 2026-01-31 Blackburn Rovers FC 0–1 Hull City AFC W

Derby County FC Form

2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W 2026-02-07 Derby County FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC W 2026-01-23 Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.78 Hull City AFC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.84 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Hull City AFC or Derby County FC 76% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Hull City AFC40% Draw24% Derby County FC36%

Actual: Hull City AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	30%	70%

Double Chance

Hull City AFC or Draw

64%

Draw or Derby County FC

60%

Hull City AFC or Derby County FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Hull City AFC29% Draw40% Derby County FC31%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

9.6%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 3

4.8%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.5%

0 – 1

4.3%

2 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 0

4.2%

3 – 2

4.1%

Asian Handicap — Hull City AFC

Handicap	Hull City AFC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	11%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	17%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	18%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	12%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Hull City AFC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.