Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Swansea City AFC

Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship .

Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Swansea City AFC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Swansea City AFC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC 2025-11-25 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Derby County FC 2025-04-05 Swansea City AFC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-11-27 Derby County FC 1–2 Swansea City AFC 2022-04-09 Swansea City AFC 2–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W
07 Feb	Ipswich Town FC	H	1–2	L
30 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	5–0	W
23 Jan	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	1–1	D
20 Jan	Charlton Athletic FC	A	2–1	W
17 Jan	Preston North End FC	A	1–0	W

Swansea City AFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Derby County FC	A	0–2	L
08 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	4–0	W
31 Jan	Watford FC	A	2–0	W
24 Jan	Hull City AFC	A	1–2	L
20 Jan	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
17 Jan	Birmingham City FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Swansea City AFC
#8	Position	#11
69	Points	64
46	Played	46
20 / 9 / 17	W / D / L	18 / 10 / 18
67	Scored	57
59	Conceded	59
+8	GD	-2
1.50	PPG	1.39
43%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Swansea City AFC are 11th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Swansea City AFC.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Derby County FC players.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tom Lawrence	4
Harry Wilson	2
Joel Piroe	2
Zan Vipotnik	1
Martyn Waghorn	1
Ronald	1
Duane Holmes	1
Ji-sung Eom	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W 2026-02-07 Derby County FC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC L 2026-01-30 Bristol City FC 0–5 Derby County FC W 2026-01-23 Derby County FC 1–1 West Bromwich Albion FC D 2026-01-20 Charlton Athletic FC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2026-01-17 Preston North End FC 0–1 Derby County FC W

Swansea City AFC Form

2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC L 2026-02-08 Swansea City AFC 4–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-01-31 Watford FC 0–2 Swansea City AFC W 2026-01-24 Hull City AFC 2–1 Swansea City AFC L 2026-01-20 Swansea City AFC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-01-17 Swansea City AFC 1–1 Birmingham City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.51 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 Swansea City AFC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC47% Draw27% Swansea City AFC26%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.63

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Swansea City AFC

53%

Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC32% Draw47% Swansea City AFC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

1 – 0

9.9%

0 – 0

9.2%

2 – 1

8.9%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 2

3 – 1

4.5%

0 – 2

4.4%

3 – 0

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	14%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	22%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	16%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✗

Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.