Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship .
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Swansea City AFC 8 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 6.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Swansea City AFC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | Ipswich Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 23 Jan | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Jan | Preston North End FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Feb | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | Watford FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Hull City AFC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Jan | Birmingham City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Derby County FC | Swansea City AFC | |
|---|---|---|
| #22 | Position | #1 |
| 5 | Points | 17 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 1 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 13 |
| 14 | Conceded | 6 |
| -7 | GD | +7 |
| 0.63 | PPG | 2.13 |
| 13% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season
Swansea City AFC this season
Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Swansea City AFC are 1st (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
2/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Swansea City AFC
| Adam Idah | 3 G | 1 A |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 G | 2 A |
| Joseph Opoku | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Derby County FC and Swansea City AFC has kicked off!
- With this win, Derby County FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
Swansea City AFC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tom Lawrence | 4 |
| Harry Wilson | 2 |
| Joel Piroe | 2 |
| Ronald | 2 |
| Ji-sung Eom | 2 |
| Kamil Jozwiak | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
| Connor Roberts | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
2026-02-14
Derby County FC
2–0
Swansea City AFC
W
2026-02-07
Derby County FC
1–2
Ipswich Town FC
L
2026-01-30
Bristol City FC
0–5
Derby County FC
W
2026-01-23
Derby County FC
1–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
D
2026-01-20
Charlton Athletic FC
1–2
Derby County FC
W
2026-01-17
Preston North End FC
0–1
Derby County FC
W
Swansea City AFC Form
2026-02-14
Derby County FC
2–0
Swansea City AFC
L
2026-02-08
Swansea City AFC
4–0
Sheffield Wednesday FC
W
2026-01-31
Watford FC
0–2
Swansea City AFC
W
2026-01-24
Hull City AFC
2–1
Swansea City AFC
L
2026-01-20
Swansea City AFC
3–1
Blackburn Rovers FC
W
2026-01-17
Swansea City AFC
1–1
Birmingham City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
68%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.3%
0 – 1
12.1%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 2
9.4%
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.3%
2 – 1
5.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 3
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Swansea City AFC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 23% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.