Sunday , 15 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Swansea City AFC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
30 Jan Bristol City FC A 5–0 W
23 Jan West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
20 Jan Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W
17 Jan Preston North End FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Feb Derby County FC A 0–2 L
08 Feb Sheffield Wednesday FC H 4–0 W
31 Jan Watford FC A 2–0 W
24 Jan Hull City AFC A 1–2 L
20 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–1 W
17 Jan Birmingham City FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Swansea City AFC
#23 Position #6
10 Points 26
15 Played 15
2 / 4 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 2 / 5
14 Scored 22
30 Conceded 18
-16 GD +4
0.67 PPG 1.73
13% Win % 53%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Swansea City AFC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts). Swansea City AFC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Swansea City AFC
0-15
4/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
6/1
61-75
2/–
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Swansea City AFC
Adam Idah 4 G 1 A
Joseph Opoku 3 G 2 A
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo 3 G
Ji-sung Eom 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Swansea City AFC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.12 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Swansea City AFC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC35% Draw27% Swansea City AFC38%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Swansea City AFC
65%
Derby County FC or Swansea City AFC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC21% Draw48% Swansea City AFC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
10%
0 – 0
9.4%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Swansea City AFC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✗
Swansea City AFC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.