Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Sheffield Wednesday FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Sheffield Wednesday FC H 2–1 W
28 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–1 W
24 Feb Hull City AFC A 2–4 L
21 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
14 Feb Swansea City AFC H 2–0 W
07 Feb Ipswich Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Derby County FC A 1–2 L
28 Feb Southampton FC H 1–3 L
25 Feb Norwich City FC A 0–2 L
22 Feb Sheffield United FC A 1–2 L
14 Feb Millwall FC H 1–2 L
08 Feb Swansea City AFC A 0–4 L

Season Stats

Derby County FC Sheffield Wednesday FC
#8 Position #24
69 Points 0
46 Played 46
20 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 2 / 12 / 32
67 Scored 29
59 Conceded 89
+8 GD -60
1.50 PPG 0.00
43% Win % 4%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts). Sheffield Wednesday FC are 24th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Sheffield Wednesday FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.28 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Sheffield Wednesday FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC65% Draw21% Sheffield Wednesday FC14%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Sheffield Wednesday FC
35%
Derby County FC or Sheffield Wednesday FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC49% Draw39% Sheffield Wednesday FC12%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
4 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Sheffield Wednesday FC covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 20% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 23% 32%
-0.5 68% 32%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
43%
Sheffield Wednesday FC keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.