Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Millwall FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Tue 10 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matt Donohue

4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Millwall FC 12 games · Avg 1.9 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	3–1	W
28 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	2–0	W
25 Feb	Birmingham City FC	H	3–0	W
21 Feb	Portsmouth FC	H	1–3	L
14 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–1	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Millwall FC		Derby County FC
#11	Position	#22
11	Points	5
8	Played	8
3 / 2 / 3	W / D / L	1 / 2 / 5
15	Scored	7
15	Conceded	14
+0	GD	-7
1.38	PPG	0.63
38%	Win %	13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/2

46-60

3/4

61-75

–/4

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC

Lyndon Dykes	4 G	1 A
Tairyk Arconte	3 G
Josh Coburn	2 G
Luke Cundle	1 G

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Millwall FC get us underway at .
Another three points for Millwall FC.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Louie Sibley	3
Jed Wallace	2
Shaun Williams	1
Shaun Hutchinson	1
Lee Gregory	1
Festy Ebosele	1
Shaun Williams	1
Scott Malone	1

Head to Head

Millwall FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2026-03-07 Hull City AFC 1–3 Millwall FC W 2026-02-28 Preston North End FC 0–2 Millwall FC W 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-02-21 Millwall FC 1–3 Portsmouth FC L 2026-02-14 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–2 Millwall FC W

Derby County FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2026-03-07 Derby County FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.13 Millwall FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Millwall FC to win 65% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC65% Draw21% Derby County FC14%

Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw

86%

Draw or Derby County FC

35%

Millwall FC or Derby County FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC46% Draw41% Derby County FC13%

Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11.1%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

10%

2 – 1

9.5%

3 – 0

7.7%

3 – 1

6.7%

0 – 0

6.6%

2 – 2

4.1%

4 – 0

4.1%

1 – 2

3.9%

4 – 1

3.7%

0 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap	Millwall FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	20%	58%
-1.5	42%	—	58%
-1	42%	23%	35%
-0.5	65%	—	35%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	9%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.