Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Millwall FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Tue 10 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Millwall FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matt Donohue

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Hull City AFC	46	73
4	Oxford United FC	46	47
5	Leicester City FC	46	46
6	Blackburn Rovers FC	1	1
7	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	1	1
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	0	0
9	Millwall FC	0	0
10	Middlesbrough FC	0	0
11	Swansea City AFC	0	0
12	Charlton Athletic FC	0	0
13	West Bromwich Albion FC	0	0
14	Bolton Wanderers FC	0	0
15	Birmingham City FC	0	0
16	Sheffield United FC	0	0
17	Southampton FC	0	0
18	Wrexham AFC	0	0
19	Watford FC	0	0
20	Burnley FC	0	0
21	Cardiff City FC	0	0
22	West Ham United FC	0	0
23	Derby County FC	0	0
24	Norwich City FC	0	0
25	Preston North End FC	0	0
26	Stoke City FC	0	0
27	Lincoln City FC	0	0
28	Portsmouth FC	0	0
29	Bristol City FC	0	0
30	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Millwall FC 12 games · Avg 1.9 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	3–1	W
28 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	2–0	W
25 Feb	Birmingham City FC	H	3–0	W
21 Feb	Portsmouth FC	H	1–3	L
14 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–1	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Millwall FC		Derby County FC
#9	Position	#23
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 9th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/1

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Millwall FC and Derby County FC.
Millwall FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Louie Sibley	3
Jed Wallace	2
David Nugent	1
Tyler Burey	1
Jerry Yates	1
Tom Bradshaw	1
Mihailo Ivanovic	1
Josh Coburn	1

Head to Head

Millwall FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2026-03-07 Hull City AFC 1–3 Millwall FC W 2026-02-28 Preston North End FC 0–2 Millwall FC W 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-02-21 Millwall FC 1–3 Portsmouth FC L 2026-02-14 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–2 Millwall FC W

Derby County FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2026-03-07 Derby County FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.83 Millwall FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.33 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC50% Draw37% Derby County FC13%

Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes18% 0% No82%

Avg goals/match: 1.16

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	66%	34%
± 1.5	33%	67%
± 2.5	12%	88%
± 3.5	4%	96%
± 4.5	1%	99%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw

87%

Draw or Derby County FC

50%

Millwall FC or Derby County FC

63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Millwall FC25% Draw68% Derby County FC7%

Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

33.8%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

10%

1 – 1

9.6%

0 – 1

8.6%

2 – 1

3 – 0

2.7%

1 – 2

1.5%

0 – 2

1.4%

3 – 1

1.2%

2 – 2

0.8%

4 – 0

0.6%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap	Millwall FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	11%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	29%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	10%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

72% ✓

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.