Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Millwall FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Tue 10 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matt Donohue

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Millwall FC 12 games · Avg 1.9 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	3–1	W
28 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	2–0	W
25 Feb	Birmingham City FC	H	3–0	W
21 Feb	Portsmouth FC	H	1–3	L
14 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–1	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Millwall FC		Derby County FC
#3	Position	#8
83	Points	69
46	Played	46
24 / 11 / 11	W / D / L	20 / 9 / 17
64	Scored	67
49	Conceded	59
+15	GD	+8
1.80	PPG	1.50
52%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
That’s it! Another goalless match for Millwall FC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Louie Sibley	3
Jed Wallace	2
Connor Mahoney	1
Matt Smith	1
David Nugent	1
Jason Knight	1
Shaun Williams	1
Shaun Hutchinson	1

Head to Head

Millwall FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2026-03-07 Hull City AFC 1–3 Millwall FC W 2026-02-28 Preston North End FC 0–2 Millwall FC W 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-02-21 Millwall FC 1–3 Portsmouth FC L 2026-02-14 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–2 Millwall FC W

Derby County FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2026-03-07 Derby County FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.62 Millwall FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.91 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Millwall FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC56% Draw25% Derby County FC19%

Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.53

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw

81%

Draw or Derby County FC

44%

Millwall FC or Derby County FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Millwall FC37% Draw47% Derby County FC16%

Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

10.2%

0 – 0

10%

2 – 1

9.2%

0 – 1

6.2%

3 – 0

5.4%

1 – 2

5.1%

3 – 1

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap	Millwall FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	71%
-1.5	29%	—	71%
-1	29%	24%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	13%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.