Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Millwall FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Tue 10 Mar 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship .

Millwall FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matt Donohue

7 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Birmingham City FC	15	29
2	Middlesbrough FC	15	29
3	Stoke City FC	15	29
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	15	28
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	15	28
6	Swansea City AFC	15	26
7	Southampton FC	15	24
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	15	24
9	West Ham United FC	15	23
10	Sheffield United FC	15	22
11	Portsmouth FC	15	22
12	Norwich City FC	15	21
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	15	21
14	Cardiff City FC	15	18
15	Wrexham AFC	15	18
16	Millwall FC	15	18
17	Bristol City FC	15	18
18	Bolton Wanderers FC	15	17
19	Charlton Athletic FC	15	17
20	Watford FC	15	15
21	Lincoln City FC	15	15
22	Burnley FC	15	10
23	Derby County FC	15	10
24	Preston North End FC	15	8

Head-to-Head

Millwall FC 13 games · Avg 2.2 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC

Recent Form

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Hull City AFC	A	3–1	W
28 Feb	Preston North End FC	A	2–0	W
25 Feb	Birmingham City FC	H	3–0	W
21 Feb	Portsmouth FC	H	1–3	L
14 Feb	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–1	W

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L
21 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	Swansea City AFC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Millwall FC		Derby County FC
#16	Position	#23
18	Points	10
15	Played	15
5 / 3 / 7	W / D / L	2 / 4 / 9
23	Scored	14
27	Conceded	30
-4	GD	-16
1.20	PPG	0.67
33%	Win %	13%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 16th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

3/4

31-45

4/3

46-60

3/5

61-75

1/4

76+

7/8

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

1/5

16-30

3/6

31-45

2/7

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/4

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC

Lyndon Dykes	5 G	2 A
Camiel Neghli	3 G	3 A
Tairyk Arconte	3 G
Josh Coburn	2 G
Luke Cundle	1 G

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	3 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	3 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Millwall FC and Derby County FC is underway.
The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Louie Sibley	3
Kyrell Lisbie	2
Jed Wallace	2
Josh Coburn	1
Connor Mahoney	1
Filip Bilbija	1
Matt Smith	1
Jake Cooper	1

Head to Head

Millwall FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2026-03-07 Hull City AFC 1–3 Millwall FC W 2026-02-28 Preston North End FC 0–2 Millwall FC W 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-02-21 Millwall FC 1–3 Portsmouth FC L 2026-02-14 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–2 Millwall FC W

Derby County FC Form

2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2026-03-07 Derby County FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2026-02-21 Watford FC 2–0 Derby County FC L 2026-02-14 Derby County FC 2–0 Swansea City AFC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.03 Millwall FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Millwall FC to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC63% Draw22% Derby County FC15%

Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.91

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw

85%

Draw or Derby County FC

37%

Millwall FC or Derby County FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Millwall FC45% Draw42% Derby County FC13%

Actual: Millwall FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

11.1%

1 – 1

10.5%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

9.5%

3 – 0

7.3%

0 – 0

7.2%

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

4.2%

1 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

4 – 0

3.7%

4 – 1

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap	Millwall FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	19%	61%
-1.5	39%	—	61%
-1	39%	23%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	10%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.