FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 15 | 15 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 15 | 15 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 15 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 27 |
| 19 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 14 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 20 |
| 25 | St. Louis City | 15 | 19 |
| 26 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 27 | Portland Timbers | 15 | 17 |
| 28 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| 17 May | San Diego FC | A | 3–3 | D |
| 13 May | Internacional CF Miami | H | 0–0 | D |
| 09 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | Chicago Fire FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May | Nashville SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 May | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 May | Charlotte FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 10 May | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 May | D.C. United SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #8 |
| 20 | Points | 19 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 6 |
| 36 | Scored | 25 |
| 37 | Conceded | 21 |
| -1 | GD | +4 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York City FC are 8th (19 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 9 G | 3 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 9 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 9 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York City FC Form
Predictions
2.13
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
69%
Draw or New York City FC
54%
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC
77%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 18% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 16% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

