Saturday , 17 October 2026

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Wed 19 Aug 2026 · 22:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug New York City FC H 2–1 W
15 Aug Orlando City SC A 1–1 D
01 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 4–2 W
25 Jul Columbus Crew SC A 1–2 L
22 Jul Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 4–3 W
23 May Orlando City SC H 6–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
16 Aug Philadelphia Union H 2–3 L
31 Jul Toronto FC H 1–1 D
25 Jul Chicago Fire FC H 3–1 W
22 Jul Columbus Crew SC A 2–1 W
24 May Nashville SC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati New York City FC
#8 Position #10
36 Points 33
28 Played 29
9 / 9 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 12
60 Scored 42
68 Conceded 40
-8 GD +2
1.29 PPG 1.14
32% Win % 28%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (36 pts). New York City FC are 10th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
5/3
16-30
5/10
31-45
9/10
46-60
6/12
61-75
5/5
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
5/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/5
61-75
4/6
76+
2/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 9 G 3 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 15 G 4 A
Agustin Ojeda 5 G 5 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC Cincinnati get us underway at TQL Stadium.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.22 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 New York City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati47% Draw22% New York City FC31%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes76% 0% No24%
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
69%
Draw or New York City FC
53%
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati35% Draw37% New York City FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push New York City FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 13% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 18% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 66% — 34%
+1 66% 16% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.