FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 22 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- New York City FC 22 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 22 | 42 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 22 | 35 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | New York City FC | 22 | 28 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 26 |
| 9 | Toronto FC | 22 | 25 |
| 10 | D.C. United SC | 22 | 25 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 22 | 25 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 22 | 24 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 22 | 21 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 22 | 21 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew SC | 22 | 20 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 21 | 43 |
| 17 | Houston Dynamo | 22 | 39 |
| 18 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 36 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 22 | 34 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 22 | 34 |
| 21 | St. Louis City | 22 | 34 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 22 | 31 |
| 23 | San Diego FC | 22 | 30 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 22 | 29 |
| 25 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 28 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 28 |
| 27 | Seattle Sounders FC | 21 | 26 |
| 28 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 23 | 26 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 22 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 15 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | New York City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jul | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| 23 May | Orlando City SC | H | 6–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–3 | L |
| 31 Jul | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 22 Jul | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 May | Nashville SC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #7 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 8 |
| 49 | Scored | 36 |
| 51 | Conceded | 31 |
| -2 | GD | +5 |
| 1.41 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 36% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
14%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (31 pts). New York City FC are 7th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/7
31-45
9/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
2/1
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York City FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/5
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 11 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 6 G | 1 A |
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 14 G | 3 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at TQL Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.31
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.04
New York City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.35
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
69%
Draw or New York City FC
53%
FC Cincinnati or New York City FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.6%
4 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 18% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

