Monday , 28 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 22 Aug 2026 · 22:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Evander 24' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders FC — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Drew Fischer
20 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 10.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug Seattle Sounders FC H 1–1 D
19 Aug New York City FC H 2–1 W
15 Aug Orlando City SC A 1–1 D
01 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 4–2 W
25 Jul Columbus Crew SC A 1–2 L
22 Jul Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Aug FC Cincinnati A 1–1 D
20 Aug Austin FC H 1–2 L
17 Aug Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 0–2 L
02 Aug Portland Timbers A 1–2 L
25 Jul Philadelphia Union A 0–1 L
23 Jul Austin FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Seattle Sounders FC
#9 Position #24
33 Points 35
26 Played 26
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 8 / 9
55 Scored 33
64 Conceded 34
-9 GD -1
1.27 PPG 1.35
31% Win % 35%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
27% Clean Sheets
Seattle Sounders FC this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Seattle Sounders FC are 24th (35 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Seattle Sounders FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
3/5
46-60
5/4
61-75
1/3
76+
11/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Seattle Sounders FC
Dejan Joveljic 11 G 1 A
Paul Rothrock 5 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.83 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 Seattle Sounders FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati46% Draw24% Seattle Sounders FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
70%
Draw or Seattle Sounders FC
54%
FC Cincinnati or Seattle Sounders FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati32% Draw41% Seattle Sounders FC27%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Seattle Sounders FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 19% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Seattle Sounders FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.