Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2023
FC Cincinnati
2 – 1
Full Time
Houston Dynamo
Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 00:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Sergio Santos 19' 1–0
1–1 45+2' Tate Schmitt
Obinna Nwobodo 48' 2–0
Y 10' Artur
Y 81' Tate Schmitt

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

2
2
FC Cincinnati 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Houston Dynamo
Last 5 meetings
2023-02-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Houston Dynamo 2021-07-04 Houston Dynamo 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2019-07-06 FC Cincinnati 3–2 Houston Dynamo

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb Houston Dynamo H 2–1 W
21 Oct Philadelphia Union A 0–1 L
15 Oct New York Red Bulls A 2–1 W
09 Oct D.C. United SC A 5–2 W
01 Oct Chicago Fire FC H 2–3 L
28 Sep Seattle Sounders FC A 1–1 D
Houston Dynamo
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Feb FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
09 Oct Los Angeles Galaxy H 1–3 L
03 Oct Nashville SC A 2–1 W
19 Sep Los Angeles FC A 1–3 L
14 Sep New England Revolution H 3–1 W
11 Sep Sporting Kansas City H 0–0 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Houston Dynamo
#9 Position #20
33 Points 44
26 Played 27
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 13 / 5 / 9
55 Scored 34
64 Conceded 32
-9 GD +2
1.27 PPG 1.63
31% Win % 48%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
41% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Houston Dynamo
Guilherme 14 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Cincinnati and Houston Dynamo has kicked off!
  • 5' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Matt Miazga has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Poor challenge from Artur. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 15' Santiago Arias is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Houston Dynamo tonight.
  • 19' Magnificent from Sergio Santos! That is 34 goals in 297 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 24' Nigeria international Obinna Nwobodo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 29' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Houston Dynamo that had 287 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 34' Raymon Gaddis has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 39' Houston Dynamo looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Guilherme scoring 1 goals.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 47' What a moment for Tate Schmitt! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 48' What a strike from Obinna Nwobodo! The score is 2-1.
  • 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 58' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 62' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Brenner da Silva on, Sergio Santos off on 62 minutes.
  • 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 71' The crowd applauds Franco Escobar as he leaves the pitch. Griffin Dorsey steps in for Houston Dynamo.
  • 72' Nelson Quinones gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Corey Baird and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Ian Murphy on, Yerson Mosquera off on 73 minutes.
  • 78' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Carlos Ferreira by Thor Ulfarsson on 78 minute.
  • 81' Tate Schmitt catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 81.
  • 86' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 87' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Alvaro Barreal departs to be replaced by Marco Angulo.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Brooklyn Raines. He replaces Ivan Franco on 90 minute.
  • Houston Dynamo will have plenty to reflect on. FC Cincinnati were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Houston Dynamo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Sergio Santos 1
Guilherme 1
Romell Quioto 1
Mateusz Bogusz 1
Victor Ulloa 1
Kevin Denkey 1
Nick Hagglund 1
Bryan Ramirez 1

Head to Head

2023-02-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Houston Dynamo 2021-07-04 Houston Dynamo 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2019-07-06 FC Cincinnati 3–2 Houston Dynamo

FC Cincinnati Form

2023-02-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Houston Dynamo W 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati L 2022-10-15 New York Red Bulls 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-09 D.C. United SC 2–5 FC Cincinnati W 2022-10-01 FC Cincinnati 2–3 Chicago Fire FC L 2022-09-28 Seattle Sounders FC 1–1 FC Cincinnati D

Houston Dynamo Form

2023-02-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Houston Dynamo L 2022-10-09 Houston Dynamo 1–3 Los Angeles Galaxy L 2022-10-03 Nashville SC 1–2 Houston Dynamo W 2022-09-19 Los Angeles FC 3–1 Houston Dynamo L 2022-09-14 Houston Dynamo 3–1 New England Revolution W 2022-09-11 Houston Dynamo 0–0 Sporting Kansas City D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.93 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati48% Draw23% Houston Dynamo29%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
71%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
52%
FC Cincinnati or Houston Dynamo
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati33% Draw40% Houston Dynamo27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
1 – 3
4%
0 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Houston Dynamo covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 16% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.