FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 14 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 5–2 | W |
| 01 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Oct | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #22 |
| 20 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 14 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 7 / 1 / 6 |
| 36 | Scored | 19 |
| 37 | Conceded | 23 |
| -1 | GD | -4 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.57 |
| 33% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Houston Dynamo are 22nd (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Cincinnati is hosting Houston Dynamo for another epic battle.
- 5' The travelling Houston Dynamo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' A meaty challenge results in booking for Artur on 10.
- 15' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 19' Sergio Santos puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
- 24' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Obinna Nwobodo suffering a number of foals already.
- 29' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 39' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 47' What a strike from Tate Schmitt! The score is 1-1.
- 48' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Obinna Nwobodo on 48.
- 53' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 58' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 62' The whistle greets Sergio Santos as he departs to be replaced by Brenner da Silva.
- 67' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 67 minutes.
- 71' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 71 minute. Franco Escobar leaves to be changed by Griffin Dorsey.
- 72' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Corey Baird by Nelson Quinones on 72 minute.
- 73' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ian Murphy is hanging Yerson Mosquera on the field on 73 minute.
- 78' The supporters are chanting for Thor Ulfarsson. He replaces Carlos Ferreira on 78 minute.
- 81' Houston Dynamo player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 86' It looks surprising Houston Dynamo does not make any changes. Junior Moreno has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 87' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Alvaro Barreal is replaced by Marco Angulo.
- 90' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 90 minute. Ivan Franco leaves to be changed by Brooklyn Raines.
- With this win, FC Cincinnati is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 21
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Alvas Powell 87'
- 4
- 10
- 93
- 19
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Raymon Gaddis 87'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Yuya Kubo 87'
- 17
-
15
Yerson Mosquera ↓ Ian Murphy 73'
- 18
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 87'
- 14
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 87'
-
9
Brenner da Silva ↑ 62'
- 29
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 73'
-
28
Raymon Gaddis ↑ 87'
-
8
Marco Angulo ↑ 87'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Houston Dynamo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Nelson Quinones 72'
- 12
- 20
- 6
-
2
Franco Escobar ↓ Griffin Dorsey 71'
- 22
- 17
-
7
Ivan Franco ↓ Brooklyn Raines 90'
- 4
- 9
Bench
- 5
- 13
-
25
Griffin Dorsey ↑ 71'
- 31
-
35
Brooklyn Raines ↑ 90'
-
34
Thor Ulfarsson ↑ 78'
- 14
-
21
Nelson Quinones ↑ 72'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kekuta Manneh | 1 |
| Rashawn Dally | 1 |
| Tyler Pasher | 1 |
| Alvaro Barreal | 1 |
| Tate Schmitt | 1 |
| Obinna Nwobodo | 1 |
| Sergio Santos | 1 |
| Romell Quioto | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.41
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
75%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
46%
FC Cincinnati or Houston Dynamo
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 3
3.8%
4 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.5%
4 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 15% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 19% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.