FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 18 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Oct | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Oct | D.C. United SC | A | 5–2 | W |
| 01 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Oct | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Oct | Nashville SC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | Los Angeles FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | New England Revolution | H | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #19 |
| 26 | Points | 32 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 2 / 6 |
| 45 | Scored | 27 |
| 44 | Conceded | 24 |
| +1 | GD | +3 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.78 |
| 39% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 8 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. FC Cincinnati kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Roman Celentano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' The referee shows Houston Dynamo player a Yellow card on 10.
- 15' Obinna Nwobodo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 19' Sergio Santos puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
- 24' Houston Dynamo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
- 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Houston Dynamo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 34' The 27-year-old Adalberto Carrasquilla has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 44' Houston Dynamo come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 47' Brilliant from the ! Tate Schmitt makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 45.
- 48' What a moment for Obinna Nwobodo! That strike on 48 puts his side firmly in control.
- 53' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 58' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Houston Dynamo are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 62' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Brenner da Silva on, Sergio Santos off on 62 minutes.
- 67' Houston Dynamo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 71' Griffin Dorsey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Franco Escobar at the 71 minute mark.
- 72' The supporters are chanting for Nelson Quinones. He replaces Corey Baird on 72 minute.
- 73' Ian Murphy is ready to make an impact after coming on for Yerson Mosquera at the 73 minute mark.
- 78' Time for substitution for Houston Dynamo. Carlos Ferreira is replaced by Thor Ulfarsson.
- 81' Controversy at the stadium! Tate Schmitt argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 86' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 87' The whistle greets Alvaro Barreal as he departs to be replaced by Marco Angulo.
- 90' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 90 minute. Ivan Franco leaves to be changed by Brooklyn Raines.
- It finishes all square. FC Cincinnati and Houston Dynamo share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 21
-
13
Santiago Arias ↓ Alvas Powell 87'
- 4
- 10
- 93
- 19
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Raymon Gaddis 87'
-
5
Obinna Nwobodo ↓ Yuya Kubo 87'
- 17
-
15
Yerson Mosquera ↓ Ian Murphy 73'
- 18
Bench
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 87'
- 14
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 87'
-
9
Brenner da Silva ↑ 62'
- 29
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 73'
-
28
Raymon Gaddis ↑ 87'
-
8
Marco Angulo ↑ 87'
Coach
Pat Noonan
Houston Dynamo Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
-
11
Corey Baird ↓ Nelson Quinones 72'
- 12
- 20
- 6
-
2
Franco Escobar ↓ Griffin Dorsey 71'
- 22
- 17
-
7
Ivan Franco ↓ Brooklyn Raines 90'
- 4
- 9
Bench
- 5
- 13
-
25
Griffin Dorsey ↑ 71'
- 31
-
35
Brooklyn Raines ↑ 90'
-
34
Thor Ulfarsson ↑ 78'
- 14
-
21
Nelson Quinones ↑ 72'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Victor Ulloa | 1 |
| Nick Hagglund | 1 |
| Kekuta Manneh | 1 |
| Rashawn Dally | 1 |
| Tyler Pasher | 1 |
| Alvaro Barreal | 1 |
| Tate Schmitt | 1 |
| Obinna Nwobodo | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.23
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
72%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
50%
FC Cincinnati or Houston Dynamo
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
1 – 0
3.4%
3 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 18% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.