FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2023

FC Cincinnati

2 – 1

Full Time

Houston Dynamo

Sun 26 Feb 2023 · 00:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Sergio Santos 19' 1–0

1–1 45+2' Tate Schmitt

Obinna Nwobodo 48' 2–0

Y 10' Artur

Y 81' Tate Schmitt

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 4 games · Avg 3.5 goals Houston Dynamo

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-26 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Houston Dynamo 2021-07-04 Houston Dynamo 1–1 FC Cincinnati 2019-07-06 FC Cincinnati 3–2 Houston Dynamo

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Houston Dynamo	H	2–1	W
21 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	0–1	L
15 Oct	New York Red Bulls	A	2–1	W
09 Oct	D.C. United SC	A	5–2	W
01 Oct	Chicago Fire FC	H	2–3	L
28 Sep	Seattle Sounders FC	A	1–1	D

Houston Dynamo

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	FC Cincinnati	A	1–2	L
09 Oct	Los Angeles Galaxy	H	1–3	L
03 Oct	Nashville SC	A	2–1	W
19 Sep	Los Angeles FC	A	1–3	L
14 Sep	New England Revolution	H	3–1	W
11 Sep	Sporting Kansas City	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Houston Dynamo
#8	Position	#20
46	Points	51
34	Played	34
12 / 10 / 12	W / D / L	14 / 9 / 11
67	Scored	43
75	Conceded	43
-8	GD	+0
1.35	PPG	1.50
35%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

38% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Houston Dynamo

0-15

1/3

16-30

6/7

31-45

9/4

46-60

6/4

61-75

6/4

76+

5/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Houston Dynamo

Guilherme	16 G	8 A
Mateusz Bogusz	8 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at TQL Stadium as FC Cincinnati face off against Houston Dynamo in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yerson Mosquera, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
10' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Artur.
15' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their 5-3-2 trying to find a way past Houston Dynamo's compact 4-2-3-1.
19' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sergio Santos makes no mistake. 1-0!
24' Houston Dynamo come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
29' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
34' FC Cincinnati have won 376 goals from 260 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
39' named a 5-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
44' Santiago Arias has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
47' Tate Schmitt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
48' GOAL! Obinna Nwobodo scores on 48.
53' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
58' FC Cincinnati currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
62' Brenner da Silva is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sergio Santos at the 62 minute mark.
67' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hector Herrera is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
71' The Houston Dynamo manager makes a substitution. Franco Escobar departs to be replaced by Griffin Dorsey.
72' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Corey Baird is withdrawn and Nelson Quinones gets his opportunity.
73' Ian Murphy is replacing Yerson Mosquera for the FC Cincinnati side.
78' The Houston Dynamo bench stirs into life. Carlos Ferreira is withdrawn and Thor Ulfarsson gets his opportunity.
81' Tate Schmitt was booked on 81.
86' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
87' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Alvaro Barreal exits the field as Marco Angulo enters on 87.
90' A tactical swap from Houston Dynamo — Brooklyn Raines on, Ivan Franco off on 90 minutes.
Houston Dynamo will have plenty to reflect on. FC Cincinnati were simply the better side today.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

5-3-2

Starting XI

Bench

7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 87'
14
Dominique Badji
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 87'
9
Brenner da Silva ↑ 62'
29
Arquimides Ordonez
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 73'
28
Raymon Gaddis ↑ 87'
8
Marco Angulo ↑ 87'

Coach Pat Noonan

Houston Dynamo Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kekuta Manneh	1
Rashawn Dally	1
Tyler Pasher	1
Alvaro Barreal	1
Tate Schmitt	1
Obinna Nwobodo	1
Sergio Santos	1
Guilherme	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.92 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.57 Houston Dynamo xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati49% Draw23% Houston Dynamo28%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.49

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	27%	73%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

72%

Draw or Houston Dynamo

51%

FC Cincinnati or Houston Dynamo

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati34% Draw41% Houston Dynamo25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

2 – 2

6.6%

2 – 0

5.6%

3 – 1

5.4%

1 – 0

5.2%

0 – 0

4.5%

3 – 2

4.3%

0 – 1

4.2%

0 – 2

3.8%

1 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Houston Dynamo covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	14%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	19%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	16%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	9%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

FC Cincinnati vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Houston Dynamo Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

Houston Dynamo Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Clean Sheet