Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 30 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 31 | 66 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 31 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | CA Mineiro | 31 | 50 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo FC | 31 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 31 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 31 | 39 |
| 13 | Mirassol FC | 31 | 36 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 15 | CR Vasco da Gama | 30 | 35 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 31 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 30 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Oct | Clube do Remo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Sep | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | EC Vitoria | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | CA Paranaense | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Clube do Remo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | SC Internacional | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | EC Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #6 |
| 31 | Points | 49 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 7 / 10 / 13 | W / D / L | 13 / 10 / 7 |
| 32 | Scored | 44 |
| 40 | Conceded | 36 |
| -8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.03 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 23% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
28%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
28%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). EC Bahia are 6th (49 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thaciano | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Elber | 2 |
| Juninho Capixaba | 1 |
| Thiago Santos | 1 |
| Viery | 1 |
| Matheus Bahia | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
1
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.35
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
59%
Draw or EC Bahia
71%
Gremio FBPA or EC Bahia
70%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| -0.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
27%
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
37%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.