Grêmio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs Sao Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Grêmio FBPA 19 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Sao Paulo FC 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | RB Bragantino | 19 | 30 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 18 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo FR | 18 | 25 |
| 10 | EC Vitoria | 18 | 25 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 19 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 19 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 19 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol FC | 18 | 19 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 18 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Santos FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 May | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | CR Flamengo | H | 0–0 | D |
| 02 May | CA Paranaense | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May | Clube do Remo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 23 May | Botafogo FR | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 May | Fluminense FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–3 | L |
| 03 May | EC Bahia | H | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Apr | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Grêmio FBPA | Sao Paulo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #8 |
| 21 | Points | 25 |
| 19 | Played | 18 |
| 5 / 6 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 21 | Scored | 23 |
| 25 | Conceded | 20 |
| -4 | GD | +3 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 26% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
37%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Sao Paulo FC are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
2/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G |
Sao Paulo FC
| Luciano | 6 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 6 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everton | 3 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Jhonata Robert | 1 |
| Reinaldo | 1 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
1.13
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
Sao Paulo FC xG
I would bet for:
Grêmio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 2.23
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
69%
Draw or Sao Paulo FC
61%
Grêmio FBPA or Sao Paulo FC
70%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.1%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.1%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | Sao Paulo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 20% | 65% |
| -0.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
34%
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.