Wednesday , 11 November 2026

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
2 – 0
Full Time
São Paulo FC
Thu 16 Oct 2025 · 22:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Gonzalo Tapia
Y 64' Mailton dos Santos
Y 75' Luciano
Dodi 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

8
4
6
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals São Paulo FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 São Paulo FC 2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct São Paulo FC H 2–0 W
04 Oct RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
02 Oct Santos FC A 1–1 D
28 Sep EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
24 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
21 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W
São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Oct Gremio FBPA A 0–2 L
05 Oct SE Palmeiras H 2–3 L
02 Oct Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
29 Sep Ceará SC H 0–1 L
21 Sep Santos FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Botafogo FR H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA São Paulo FC
#18 Position #10
37 Points 44
34 Played 34
9 / 10 / 15 W / D / L 12 / 8 / 14
38 Scored 39
47 Conceded 39
-9 GD +0
1.09 PPG 1.29
26% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 11 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Grêmio FBPA gets underway.
  • 5' Dodi is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 13' A change in the Sao Paulo FC ranks — Wendell exits the field as Patryck enters on 13.
  • 18' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 21' Gonzalo Tapia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 21.
  • 26' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 29' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Alysson exits the field as Cristian Pavon enters on 29.
  • 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcos Rocha made 402 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' GOAL! Carlos Vinicius fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 44' Brazil international Wagner Leonardo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 46' Sao Paulo FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lucas Moura is hanging Alan Franco on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' Carlos Vinicius does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alysson, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 64' Sao Paulo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
  • 66' The supporters are chanting for Ferreira. He replaces Rodrigo Huendra on 66 minute.
  • 67' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Carlos Vinicius has done his job and it is now time for Cristian Olivera to step up.
  • 72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 75' Luciano was booked on 75.
  • 80' Luciano makes way for Emiliano Rigoni at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 84' Gustavo Martins has so much to prove this time. He replaces Arthur on 84 minute.
  • 89' Grêmio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's shape.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Dodi.
  • Full Time. Grêmio FBPA beats Sao Paulo FC

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Everton 2
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Michel Araujo 1
Tche Tche 1

Head to Head

2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 São Paulo FC 2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 São Paulo FC W 2025-10-04 RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-10-02 Santos FC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-09-28 Gremio FBPA 3–1 EC Vitoria W 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR D 2025-09-21 SC Internacional 2–3 Gremio FBPA W

São Paulo FC Form

2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-10-05 São Paulo FC 2–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-10-02 Fortaleza EC 0–2 São Paulo FC W 2025-09-29 São Paulo FC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-09-21 Santos FC 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-09-14 São Paulo FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA45% Draw29% São Paulo FC26%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
73%
Draw or São Paulo FC
55%
Gremio FBPA or São Paulo FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA28% Draw51% São Paulo FC21%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.3%
1 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 18% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.