Saturday , 26 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 8 Aug 2026 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+2' Marcos Antonio
Wallace 48' 1–1
Cristian Pavon 86' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
26 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
17 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Aug Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
26 Jul CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
23 Jul CA Paranaense H 1–2 L
31 May Clube do Remo A 0–0 D
23 May Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
16 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA São Paulo FC
#17 Position #11
29 Points 36
28 Played 27
7 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
30 Scored 32
38 Conceded 30
-8 GD +2
1.04 PPG 1.33
25% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Sao Paulo FC get us underway at Arena do Gremio.
  • 5' Gremio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' Mathias Villasanti has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Wallace has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' Gremio FBPA currently sit 17 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 40' Ferreira is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sao Paulo FC so far.
  • 45' Mathias Villasanti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Francis Amuzu is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jovane Cabral at the 46 minute mark.
  • 47' Magnificent from Jonathan Calleri! That is 63 goals in 271 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 48' Brilliant from the defender! Wallace makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 48.
  • 53' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 54' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Dodi on, Juan Ignacio Nardoni off on 54 minutes.
  • 59' Gremio FBPA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
  • 64' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 69' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gremio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 70' Damian Bobadilla is replacing Danielzinho for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Cauly. He replaces Ferreira on 71 minute.
  • 76' Controversy at the stadium! Luciano argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Sao Paulo FC. Jonathan Calleri is replaced by Andre Silva.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Carlos Vinicius as he leaves the pitch. Martin Braithwaite steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 81' Diego Caito was booked on 81.
  • 86' What composure from Cristian Pavon! The Argentina international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 89' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Wendell departs to be replaced by Joao Victor.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Leonel Perez on, Cristian Pavon off on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Walter Kannemann argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.24 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA44% Draw28% São Paulo FC28%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
72%
Draw or São Paulo FC
56%
Gremio FBPA or São Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA27% Draw51% São Paulo FC22%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.