Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
São Paulo FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sun 18 May 2025 · 00:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 4' Mathias Villasanti
Pablo Maia 30' Y
Luciano 45' Y
Y 64' Jemerson
Y 65' Dodi
Y 79' Tiago Volpi
Oscar 86' Y
Rafael Monteiro 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 28 60
2 SE Palmeiras 28 57
3 CA Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense FC 28 48
5 EC Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro EC 28 45
7 CA Mineiro 27 40
8 Santos FC 27 38
9 Coritiba FBC 28 38
10 RB Bragantino 27 36
11 São Paulo FC 27 36
12 Botafogo FR 28 35
13 EC Vitoria 28 33
14 SC Corinthians Paulista 28 32
15 Mirassol FC 28 32
16 CR Vasco da Gama 27 31
17 Gremio FBPA 28 29
18 SC Internacional 28 28
19 Clube do Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense AF 27 18

Head-to-Head

6
4
8
São Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
11 May SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
03 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May São Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
04 May Santos FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
16 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#11 Position #17
36 Points 29
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 13
32 Scored 30
30 Conceded 38
+2 GD -8
1.33 PPG 1.04
37% Win % 25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Morumbi!
  • 4' Mathias Villasanti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 9' Pablo Maia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcos Antonio on 9 minute.
  • 14' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 19' Gremio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 24' Ecuador international Robert Arboleda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 29' Sao Paulo FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' That looks like a foul for a card for Pablo Maia.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gremio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' The Chile forward Alexander Aravena breaks the deadlock on 37 minutes. 0-1!
  • 42' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sao Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' Luciano catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' The whistle greets Pablo Maia as he departs to be replaced by Lucca Marques.
  • 49' Robert Arboleda makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
  • 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 59' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Joao Pedro is withdrawn and Ronald gets his opportunity.
  • 64' Jemerson is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
  • 65' Controversy at the stadium! Dodi argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 70' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 73' Francis Amuzu gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Alexander Aravena and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Tiago Volpi gets a card.
  • 84' Camilo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 152 appearances.
  • 85' Against the run of play, Andre Silva has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 86' The referee shows Sao Paulo FC player a card on 86.
  • 86' Matias Arezo gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Miguel Monsalve and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Lucas Ferreira is replaced by Cedric on 88 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Rafael Monteiro on 90 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Oscar is replaced by Damian Bobadilla on 90 minute.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Franco Cristaldo 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Everton 2
Luciano 2
Robert Arboleda 1
Vitor 1

Head to Head

2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC

São Paulo FC Form

2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-05-03 São Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC D 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 São Paulo FC D 2025-04-20 São Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC W 2025-04-16 Botafogo FR 2–2 São Paulo FC D

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Gremio FBPA L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.57 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC53% Draw26% Gremio FBPA21%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
47%
São Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC36% Draw48% Gremio FBPA16%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
12.3%
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 24% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.