Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
São Paulo FC
2 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sun 18 May 2025 · 00:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 4' Mathias Villasanti
Pablo Maia 30' Y
Luciano 45' Y
Y 64' Jemerson
Y 65' Dodi
Y 79' Tiago Volpi
Oscar 86' Y
Rafael Monteiro 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

6
4
8
São Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
11 May SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
03 May Fortaleza EC H 0–0 D
26 Apr Ceará SC A 1–1 D
20 Apr Santos FC H 2–1 W
16 Apr Botafogo FR A 2–2 D
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 May São Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
04 May Santos FC H 1–0 W
27 Apr EC Vitoria A 1–1 D
20 Apr SC Internacional H 1–1 D
16 Apr Mirassol FC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#10 Position #18
44 Points 37
34 Played 34
12 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 9 / 10 / 15
39 Scored 38
39 Conceded 47
+0 GD -9
1.29 PPG 1.09
35% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 11 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' São Paulo FC have kicked off against Gremio FBPA. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 4' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Mathias Villasanti will be fuming at that decision.
  • 9' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Marcos Antonio is replaced by Pablo Maia on 9 minute.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andre Silva suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both São Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 24' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both São Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 29' It looks surprising São Paulo FC does not make any changes. Camilo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pablo Maia on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Brazil international Joao Pedro has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 37' Alexander Aravena adds to his 1 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 42' Enzo Diaz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Luciano.
  • 46' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 46 minute. Pablo Maia leaves to be changed by Lucca Marques.
  • 49' The Ecuador Robert Arboleda breaks the deadlock on 49 minutes. 0-2!
  • 54' Gremio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 62' Gremio FBPA make a change. Joao Pedro trudges off to be replaced by Ronald on 62 minutes.
  • 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Jemerson.
  • 65' It’s gonna be a card for Dodi.
  • 70' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 73' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Alexander Aravena has done his job and it is now time for Francis Amuzu to step up.
  • 78' Dodi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for São Paulo FC so far.
  • 79' Poor challenge from Tiago Volpi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 84' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 85' Andre Silva does the damage! The net is bulging and Sao Paulo FC surge ahead!
  • 86' It’s a booking for Sao Paulo FC player. Oscar gets a card.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Miguel Monsalve as he leaves the pitch. Matias Arezo steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 88' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Ferreira departs to be replaced by Cedric.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Rafael Monteiro argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Oscar is replaced by Damian Bobadilla on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Everton 2
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Michel Araujo 1
Tche Tche 1

Head to Head

2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC

São Paulo FC Form

2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-05-11 SE Palmeiras 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-05-03 São Paulo FC 0–0 Fortaleza EC D 2025-04-26 Ceará SC 1–1 São Paulo FC D 2025-04-20 São Paulo FC 2–1 Santos FC W 2025-04-16 Botafogo FR 2–2 São Paulo FC D

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2025-05-04 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Santos FC W 2025-04-27 EC Vitoria 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-04-20 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Internacional D 2025-04-16 Mirassol FC 4–1 Gremio FBPA L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.56 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC52% Draw26% Gremio FBPA22%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
48%
São Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC35% Draw48% Gremio FBPA17%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
12%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
5.4%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.