São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

São Paulo FC

2 – 0

Full Time

Gremio FBPA

Thu 12 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Gremio FBPA 34 games · 37 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)

10 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	34	76
2	SE Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro EC	34	60
4	Fluminense FC	34	57
5	CA Paranaense	34	54
6	EC Bahia	34	53
7	CA Mineiro	34	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos FC	34	47
10	São Paulo FC	34	44
11	Botafogo FR	34	42
12	Coritiba FBC	34	42
13	CR Vasco da Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol FC	34	40
15	SC Internacional	34	38
16	EC Vitoria	34	38
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	34	37
18	Gremio FBPA	34	37
19	Clube do Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense AF	33	21

Head-to-Head

São Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-12 São Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA 2025-10-16 Gremio FBPA 2–0 São Paulo FC 2025-05-18 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

São Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	Gremio FBPA	H	2–0	W
04 Feb	Santos FC	A	1–1	D
29 Jan	CR Flamengo	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Vitoria	A	0–1	L
03 Dec	SC Internacional	H	3–0	W
27 Nov	Fluminense FC	A	0–6	L

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Feb	São Paulo FC	A	0–2	L
05 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	5–3	W
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

São Paulo FC		Gremio FBPA
#10	Position	#18
44	Points	37
34	Played	34
12 / 8 / 14	W / D / L	9 / 10 / 15
39	Scored	38
39	Conceded	47
+0	GD	-9
1.29	PPG	1.09
35%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

8/6

46-60

–/11

61-75

7/2

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/6

31-45

7/6

46-60

5/4

61-75

4/8

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	10 G	2 A
Luciano	9 G	1 A
Artur Guimaraes	4 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

11 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Grêmio FBPA gets underway.
2-0 the final result. Grêmio FBPA will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Everton	3
Carlos Vinicius	2
Luciano	2
Everton	2
Luciano	2
Franco Cristaldo	2
Michel Araujo	1
Tche Tche	1

Head to Head

São Paulo FC Form

2026-02-12 São Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA W 2026-02-04 Santos FC 1–1 São Paulo FC D 2026-01-29 São Paulo FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W 2025-12-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 São Paulo FC L 2025-12-03 São Paulo FC 3–0 SC Internacional W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 São Paulo FC L

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-02-12 São Paulo FC 2–0 Gremio FBPA L 2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR W 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.52 São Paulo FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.93 Gremio FBPA xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

São Paulo FC51% Draw27% Gremio FBPA22%

Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.45

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Gremio FBPA

49%

São Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

São Paulo FC34% Draw49% Gremio FBPA17%

Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

1 – 0

12.1%

0 – 0

10.7%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

8.9%

0 – 1

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

2 – 2

4.2%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 2

2.2%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap	São Paulo FC covers	Push	Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	24%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	14%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.