Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 12 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Feb Gremio FBPA H 2–0 W
04 Feb Santos FC A 1–1 D
29 Jan CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
07 Dec EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
03 Dec SC Internacional H 3–0 W
27 Nov Fluminense FC A 0–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Feb São Paulo FC A 0–2 L
05 Feb Botafogo FR H 5–3 W
28 Jan Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
07 Dec SC Recife A 4–0 W
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–2 L
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#11 Position #17
36 Points 29
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 13
32 Scored 30
30 Conceded 38
+2 GD -8
1.33 PPG 1.04
37% Win % 25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Sao Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA is underway.
  • With this win, Sao Paulo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.9 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC52% Draw27% Gremio FBPA21%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
48%
São Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC35% Draw49% Gremio FBPA16%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 0
10.9%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 24% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.