Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024

Gremio FBPA

2 – 1

Full Time

São Paulo FC

Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio 39,197 HT 45' · FT 45'

Franco Cristaldo 36' 1–0

Ruan og 45+1' 2–0

2–1 64' Luiz Gustavo

Y 72' Wellington Rato

Cristian Pavon 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Gremio FBPA 34 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
São Paulo FC 34 games · 44 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	34	76
2	SE Palmeiras	34	73
3	Cruzeiro EC	34	60
4	Fluminense FC	34	57
5	CA Paranaense	34	54
6	EC Bahia	34	53
7	CA Mineiro	34	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	47
9	Santos FC	34	47
10	São Paulo FC	34	44
11	Botafogo FR	34	42
12	Coritiba FBC	34	42
13	CR Vasco da Gama	33	41
14	Mirassol FC	34	40
15	SC Internacional	34	38
16	EC Vitoria	34	38
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	34	37
18	Gremio FBPA	34	37
19	Clube do Remo	34	29
20	Chapecoense AF	33	21

Head-to-Head

Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals São Paulo FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Gremio FBPA 3–0 São Paulo FC

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	São Paulo FC	H	2–1	W
28 Nov	Cruzeiro EC	A	1–1	D
20 Nov	EC Juventude	H	2–2	D
09 Nov	SE Palmeiras	A	0–1	L
02 Nov	Fluminense FC	A	2–2	D
26 Oct	AC Goianiense	H	3–1	W

São Paulo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	Gremio FBPA	A	1–2	L
24 Nov	CA Mineiro	H	2–2	D
20 Nov	RB Bragantino	A	1–1	D
10 Nov	CA Paranaense	H	2–1	W
06 Nov	EC Bahia	A	3–0	W
27 Oct	Criciúma EC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA		São Paulo FC
#18	Position	#10
37	Points	44
34	Played	34
9 / 10 / 15	W / D / L	12 / 8 / 14
38	Scored	39
47	Conceded	39
-9	GD	+0
1.09	PPG	1.29
26%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts). São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/6

31-45

7/6

46-60

5/4

61-75

4/8

76+

5/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

São Paulo FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

8/6

46-60

–/11

61-75

7/2

76+

4/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

11 G

1 A

São Paulo FC

Jonathan Calleri	10 G	2 A
Luciano	9 G	1 A
Artur Guimaraes	4 G	1 A
Ferreira	4 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Grêmio FBPA is hosting Sao Paulo FC for another epic battle.
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
10' Sao Paulo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
15' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. Grêmio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
35' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Wellington Rato has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
36' GOAL! Franco Cristaldo fires home to make it 0-1!
41' Grêmio FBPA have won 401 goals from 342 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
46' What composure from Ruan! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-2.
51' Sao Paulo FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Marcos Antonio scoring 1 goals.
56' The home supporters are growing impatient. Grêmio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
61' Grêmio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
62' The supporters are chanting for Patryck. He replaces Rafinha on 62 minute.
63' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Ferreira departs to be replaced by Wellington Rato.
64' A stunning finish from Luiz Gustavo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
65' Miguel Monsalve is ready to make an impact after coming on for Franco Cristaldo at the 65 minute mark.
70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sao Paulo FC winning 50% of all matches.
72' Wellington Rato picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
75' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Damian Bobadilla comes on to replace Alisson.
76' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Andre Silva is withdrawn and William da Silva gets his opportunity.
81' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
86' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Grêmio FBPA side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
88' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Joao Pedro is replaced by Igor.
89' Yeferson Soteldo makes way for Cristian Pavon at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
90' Cristian Pavon picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Grêmio FBPA take all three points.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

São Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Everton	3
Luciano	2
Franco Cristaldo	2
Carlos Vinicius	2
Luciano	2
Everton	2
Marcos Antonio	1
Michel	1

Head to Head

Gremio FBPA Form

2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC W 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2024-11-20 Gremio FBPA 2–2 EC Juventude D 2024-11-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Gremio FBPA D 2024-10-26 Gremio FBPA 3–1 AC Goianiense W

São Paulo FC Form

2024-12-01 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC L 2024-11-24 São Paulo FC 2–2 CA Mineiro D 2024-11-20 RB Bragantino 1–1 São Paulo FC D 2024-11-10 São Paulo FC 2–1 CA Paranaense W 2024-11-06 EC Bahia 0–3 São Paulo FC W 2024-10-27 Criciúma EC 1–1 São Paulo FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.37 Gremio FBPA xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.25 São Paulo FC xG

I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or São Paulo FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gremio FBPA43% Draw27% São Paulo FC30%

Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.62

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw

70%

Draw or São Paulo FC

57%

Gremio FBPA or São Paulo FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gremio FBPA28% Draw48% São Paulo FC24%

Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 0

9.3%

1 – 0

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

1 – 2

7.5%

2 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

5.5%

2 – 2

5.2%

3 – 1

3.8%

1 – 3

3.1%

3 – 0

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap	Gremio FBPA covers	Push	São Paulo FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	20%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	18%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.