Saturday , 26 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 19:00 UTC Arena do Gremio 39,197 HT 45' · FT 45'
Franco Cristaldo 36' 1–0
Ruan og 45+1' 2–0
2–1 64' Luiz Gustavo

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs São Paulo FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec São Paulo FC H 2–1 W
28 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
20 Nov EC Juventude H 2–2 D
09 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
02 Nov Fluminense FC A 2–2 D
26 Oct AC Goianiense H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec Gremio FBPA A 1–2 L
24 Nov CA Mineiro H 2–2 D
20 Nov RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
10 Nov CA Paranaense H 2–1 W
06 Nov EC Bahia A 3–0 W
27 Oct Criciúma EC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA São Paulo FC
#17 Position #11
29 Points 36
28 Played 27
7 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 6 / 11
30 Scored 32
38 Conceded 30
-8 GD +2
1.04 PPG 1.33
25% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts). São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Gremio FBPA and Sao Paulo FC is underway.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Gremio FBPA are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Sao Paulo FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Sao Paulo FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. Sao Paulo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 30' Sao Paulo FC come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' Gremio FBPA are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sao Paulo FC backline.
  • 36' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Franco Cristaldo makes it 1-0.
  • 41' Alisson has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 46' A goal from the Brazil international Ruan! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-1!
  • 51' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rafael Monteiro, as he is very good at scoring at Arena do Gremio with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 61' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 62' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Rafinha has done his job and it is now time for Patryck to step up.
  • 63' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Ferreira is withdrawn and Wellington Rato gets his opportunity.
  • 64' A stunning finish from Luiz Gustavo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 65' The whistle greets Franco Cristaldo as he departs to be replaced by Miguel Monsalve.
  • 70' Joao Pedro is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Sao Paulo FC tonight.
  • 72' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Wellington Rato will be fuming at that decision.
  • 75' Damian Bobadilla has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alisson on 75 minute.
  • 76' William da Silva is replacing Andre Silva for the Sao Paulo FC side.
  • 81' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 86' Sao Paulo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 88' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Joao Pedro departs to be replaced by Igor.
  • 89' Gremio FBPA make a change. Yeferson Soteldo trudges off to be replaced by Cristian Pavon on 89 minutes.
  • 90' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Cristian Pavon will be fuming at that decision.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Gremio FBPA 2-1 Sao Paulo FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.33 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26 São Paulo FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or São Paulo FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA42% Draw28% São Paulo FC30%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
69%
Draw or São Paulo FC
58%
Gremio FBPA or São Paulo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA27% Draw48% São Paulo FC25%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push São Paulo FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.