Grêmio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025

Grêmio FBPA

2 – 1

Full Time

Fortaleza EC

Tue 29 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 9' Magrao

Y 18' Bruno Pacheco

Y 45' Breno Lopes

Alysson 45' Y

Y 56' Deyverson

Y 67' Lucca Prior

Y 79' Marinho

Cristian Olivera 87' Y

Marlon 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	18	31
4	CA Paranaense	18	30
5	RB Bragantino	18	29
6	EC Bahia	17	26
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	CA Mineiro	18	24
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
11	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
12	Botafogo FR	17	22
13	EC Vitoria	17	22
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	18	21
16	Grêmio FBPA	18	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	18	20
18	Clube do Remo	18	18
19	Mirassol FC	17	16
20	Chapecoense AF	17	9

Head-to-Head

Grêmio FBPA 12 games · Avg 1.8 goals Fortaleza EC

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-05 Grêmio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2023-05-14 Grêmio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Grêmio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Jul	Fortaleza EC	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	SE Palmeiras	A	0–1	L
19 Jul	CR Vasco da Gama	A	1–1	D
13 Jul	Cruzeiro EC	A	1–4	L
12 Jun	SC Corinthians Paulista	H	1–1	D
01 Jun	EC Juventude	A	2–0	W

Fortaleza EC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Jul	Grêmio FBPA	A	1–2	L
26 Jul	RB Bragantino	H	3–1	W
19 Jul	EC Bahia	H	1–1	D
13 Jul	Ceará SC	H	0–1	L
12 Jun	Santos FC	H	2–3	L
01 Jun	CR Flamengo	A	0–5	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

9 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Fortaleza EC gets underway.
5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 326 games and scored 383 goals.
9' That looks like a foul for a card for Magrao.
12' GOAL! Martin Braithwaite scores on 12.
17' What an equalizer from Martin Braithwaite!
18' It’s gonna be a card for Bruno Pacheco.
23' The travelling Fortaleza EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
24' Goal! Deyverson scores his 57 goal in 386 matches.
29' It’s high time Mano Menezes made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
34' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
39' Grêmio FBPA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 39.
44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
45' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Breno Lopes gets a card.
50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
54' Camilo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gustavo Martins on 54 minute.
56' It’s gonna be a card for Deyverson.
61' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Benjamin Kuscevic suffering a number of foals already.
63' The whistle greets Bruno Pacheco as he departs to be replaced by Diogo Barbosa.
66' Cristian Pavon has so much to prove this time. He replaces Riquelme on 66 minute.
67' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucca Prior.
72' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
76' The supporters are chanting for Yago Pikachu. He replaces Lucca Prior on 76 minute.
79' That looks like a foul for a card for Marinho.
83' The Gremio FBPA manager makes a substitution. Alysson departs to be replaced by Edenilson.
85' Leandro Martinez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eros Mancuso on 85 minute.
87' Cristian Olivera was booked on 87.
88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Marlon on 88.
Full Time. Grêmio FBPA beats Fortaleza EC

Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Paiva

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martin Braithwaite	3
Osvaldo	2
Pepe	2
Yeferson Soteldo	1
Gabriel Dias	1
Alexander Aravena	1
Paulo Miranda	1
Hercules	1

Head to Head

Grêmio FBPA Form

2025-07-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-07-19 CR Vasco da Gama 1–1 Grêmio FBPA D 2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2025-06-12 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2025-06-01 EC Juventude 0–2 Grêmio FBPA W

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-07-29 Grêmio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-07-26 Fortaleza EC 3–1 RB Bragantino W 2025-07-19 Fortaleza EC 1–1 EC Bahia D 2025-07-13 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-06-12 Fortaleza EC 2–3 Santos FC L 2025-06-01 CR Flamengo 5–0 Fortaleza EC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.63 Grêmio FBPA xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Fortaleza EC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Grêmio FBPA54% Draw26% Fortaleza EC20%

Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.59

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw

80%

Draw or Fortaleza EC

46%

Grêmio FBPA or Fortaleza EC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Grêmio FBPA36% Draw47% Fortaleza EC17%

Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 0

11.4%

2 – 0

9.7%

0 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.2%

3 – 1

2 – 2

4.5%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap	Grêmio FBPA covers	Push	Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	24%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.