SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 30 games · 63 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | EC Juventude | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #18 |
| 63 | Points | 31 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 18 / 9 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 10 / 13 |
| 52 | Scored | 32 |
| 22 | Conceded | 40 |
| +30 | GD | -8 |
| 2.10 | PPG | 1.03 |
| 60% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
27%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
SE Palmeiras are 2nd (63 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
4/2
16-30
5/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 9 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Allianz Parque that hosts another battle between SE Palmeiras and Grêmio FBPA.
- 3' A stunning finish from Facundo Torres Perez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 8' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 13' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 18' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 23' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 26' It’s gonna be a card for Cristian Pavon.
- 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
- 34' The referee shows SE Palmeiras player a card on 34.
- 39' The 24-year-old Cristian Olivera has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 44' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both SE Palmeiras and Grêmio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' The crowd applauds Alex Santana as he leaves the pitch. Camilo steps in for Gremio FBPA.
- 51' SE Palmeiras is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 58' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 58 minute. Luighi Hanri leaves to be changed by Raphael Veiga.
- 63' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. Jardiel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 68' Agustin Giay has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 197 appearances.
- 70' Anibal Moreno is replacing Lucas Evangelista for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 396 games and scored 592 goals.
- 77' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Riquelme exits the field as Edenilson enters on 77.
- 82' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Facundo Torres Perez is replaced by Riquelme Fillipi on 82 minute.
- 83' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Gustavo Martins will be fuming at that decision.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Jardiel. He replaces Dodi on 87 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Grêmio FBPA.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
- 30
- 3
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Ramon Sosa 58'
- 17
- 22
- 32
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 58'
- 4
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↓ Raphael Veiga 58'
Bench
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 58'
- 2
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 70'
- 6
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 58'
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 58'
-
37
Riquelme Fillipi ↑ 82'
- 43
- 39
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
80
Alex Santana ↓ Camilo 46'
- 22
-
7
Cristian Pavon ↓ Alysson 70'
- 1
- 3
- 53
- 99
- 65
- 34
Bench
- 4
- 36
- 21
-
8
Edenilson ↑ 77'
- 9
- 2
-
15
Camilo ↑ 46'
- 12
- 35
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 70'
-
47
Alysson ↑ 70'
-
40
Jardiel ↑ 87'
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
40%
SE Palmeiras or Gremio FBPA
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
12.6%
1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.9%
1 – 2
3.7%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

