SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 25 games · 52 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Jul | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | EC Juventude | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #15 |
| 52 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 15 / 7 / 3 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 45 | Scored | 27 |
| 21 | Conceded | 32 |
| +24 | GD | -5 |
| 2.08 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 60% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (52 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 2 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SE Palmeiras and Gremio FBPA get this one started.
- 3' Goal! Facundo Torres Perez scores his 46 goal in 21 matches.
- 8' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact .
- 13' Edenilson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
- 18' A quiet spell here at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 23' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 26' It’s gonna be a card for Cristian Pavon.
- 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gremio FBPA that had 328 games and scored 385 goals.
- 34' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Emiliano Martinez gets a card.
- 39' SE Palmeiras have won 583 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Alex Santana is withdrawn and Camilo gets his opportunity.
- 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
- 56' Igor has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 58' Raphael Veiga is replacing Luighi Hanri for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joaquin Piquerez made 389 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 68' Gustavo Gomez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Red cards this season.
- 70' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Lucas Evangelista has done his job and it is now time for Anibal Moreno to step up.
- 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. SE Palmeiras must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 77' The whistle greets Riquelme as he departs to be replaced by Edenilson.
- 82' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 82 minute. Facundo Torres Perez leaves to be changed by Riquelme Fillipi.
- 83' Gustavo Martins is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
- 87' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Jardiel comes on to replace Dodi.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
- 30
- 3
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Ramon Sosa 58'
- 17
- 22
- 32
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 58'
- 4
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↓ Raphael Veiga 58'
Bench
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 58'
- 2
- 14
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↑ 70'
- 6
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 58'
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 58'
-
37
Riquelme Fillipi ↑ 82'
- 43
- 39
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
-
80
Alex Santana ↓ Camilo 46'
- 22
-
7
Cristian Pavon ↓ Alysson 70'
- 1
- 3
- 53
- 99
- 65
- 34
Bench
- 4
- 36
- 21
-
8
Edenilson ↑ 77'
- 9
- 2
-
15
Camilo ↑ 46'
- 12
- 35
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 70'
-
47
Alysson ↑ 70'
-
40
Jardiel ↑ 87'
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras to win 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
40%
SE Palmeiras or Gremio FBPA
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

