Tuesday , 1 September 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 27 Jul 2025 · 00:00 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
23 Jul Fluminense FC A 2–1 W
20 Jul CA Mineiro H 3–2 W
16 Jul Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
05 Jul Chelsea FC H 1–2 L
28 Jun Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
12 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
01 Jun EC Juventude A 2–0 W
25 May EC Bahia H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Gremio FBPA
#1 Position #15
52 Points 28
25 Played 24
15 / 7 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 7 / 10
45 Scored 27
21 Conceded 32
+24 GD -5
2.08 PPG 1.17
60% Win % 29%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (52 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 8 G 4 A
Mauricio 7 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 2 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SE Palmeiras and Gremio FBPA get this one started.
  • 3' Goal! Facundo Torres Perez scores his 46 goal in 21 matches.
  • 8' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact .
  • 13' Edenilson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
  • 18' A quiet spell here at Allianz Parque. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 23' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 26' It’s gonna be a card for Cristian Pavon.
  • 31' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gremio FBPA that had 328 games and scored 385 goals.
  • 34' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Emiliano Martinez gets a card.
  • 39' SE Palmeiras have won 583 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 44' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 46' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Alex Santana is withdrawn and Camilo gets his opportunity.
  • 51' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' Igor has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 20 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 58' Raphael Veiga is replacing Luighi Hanri for the SE Palmeiras side.
  • 63' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joaquin Piquerez made 389 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 68' Gustavo Gomez needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Red cards this season.
  • 70' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Lucas Evangelista has done his job and it is now time for Anibal Moreno to step up.
  • 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. SE Palmeiras must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 77' The whistle greets Riquelme as he departs to be replaced by Edenilson.
  • 82' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 82 minute. Facundo Torres Perez leaves to be changed by Riquelme Fillipi.
  • 83' Gustavo Martins is having his name booked by the referee on 83.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Jardiel comes on to replace Dodi.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras60% Draw24% Gremio FBPA16%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
84%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
40%
SE Palmeiras or Gremio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras42% Draw45% Gremio FBPA13%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.3%
0 – 0
9.1%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.7%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 25% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
46%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.