Friday , 16 October 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 19 Jun 2024 · 23:00 UTC Castelao 16,935 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Lucero pen 42' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
16 Jun Cuiaba EC A 0–5 L
14 Jun EC Bahia A 0–1 L
02 Jun CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
12 May Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
05 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
16 Jun Botafogo FR H 1–2 L
13 Jun CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
08 Jun Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–1 D
01 Jun RB Bragantino H 0–2 L
29 May Club The Strongest H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Castelao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Grêmio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Joao Pedro Pepe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fortaleza EC so far.
  • 33' Pedro Augusto picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 38' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 42' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Juan Lucero makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 44' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Joao Pedro Pepe gets a card.
  • 45' Poor challenge from Rodrigo Ely. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 46' Nathan Ribeiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joao Pedro Galvao at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' Brazil international Nathan Ribeiro has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 66' Felipe Carballo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Du Queiroz at the 66 minute mark.
  • 67' The whistle greets Hercules as he departs to be replaced by Jose Welison.
  • 72' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Calebe is hanging Tomas Pochettino on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Pedro Augusto is withdrawn and Lucas Sasha gets his opportunity.
  • 78' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Breno Lopes by Imanol Machuca on 78 minute.
  • 80' Controversy at the stadium! Edenilson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Fortaleza EC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 86' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Joao Pedro exits the field as Franco Cristaldo enters on 86.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Calebe argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Grêmio FBPA will have plenty to reflect on. Fortaleza EC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC50% Draw31% Gremio FBPA19%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
81%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
50%
Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC30% Draw56% Gremio FBPA14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 26% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.