Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 19 Jun 2024 · 23:00 UTC Castelao 16,935 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Lucero pen 42' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
16 Jun Cuiaba EC A 0–5 L
14 Jun EC Bahia A 0–1 L
02 Jun CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
12 May Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
05 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
16 Jun Botafogo FR H 1–2 L
13 Jun CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
08 Jun Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–1 D
01 Jun RB Bragantino H 0–2 L
29 May Club The Strongest H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Fortaleza EC welcome Grêmio FBPA for this crunch clash at Castelao.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 33' The referee shows Fortaleza EC player a card on 33.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 42' Goal! Juan Lucero scores his 37 goal in 147 matches.
  • 44' Joao Pedro Pepe was booked on 44.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Rodrigo Ely. He receives a card.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPANathan Ribeiro on, Joao Pedro Galvao off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Argentina international Franco Cristaldo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gustavo Gomes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' The 36-year-old Edenilson has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 2 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 66' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Du Queiroz exits the field as Felipe Carballo enters on 66.
  • 67' Fortaleza EC ring the changes. Hercules has done his job and it is now time for Jose Welison to step up.
  • 72' Fortaleza EC make a change. Tomas Pochettino trudges off to be replaced by Calebe on 72 minutes.
  • 77' Pedro Augusto makes way for Lucas Sasha at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fortaleza EC.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Breno Lopes as he leaves the pitch. Imanol Machuca steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 80' It’s gonna be a card for Edenilson.
  • 85' Nathan has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 86' Gremio FBPA make a change. Joao Pedro trudges off to be replaced by Franco Cristaldo on 86 minutes.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Calebe is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC50% Draw31% Gremio FBPA19%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
81%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
50%
Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC30% Draw56% Gremio FBPA14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 26% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
51%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.