Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025

Cruzeiro EC

4 – 1

Full Time

Gremio FBPA

Sun 13 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'

Kaiki Bruno 8' Y

Y 52' Alex Santana

Y 56' Walter Kannemann

Christian 66' Y

Lucas Silva 83' Y

Gabriel Barbosa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.

Cruzeiro EC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Gremio FBPA 19 games · 21 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	18	41
2	CR Flamengo	17	34
3	Fluminense FC	19	32
4	RB Bragantino	19	30
5	CA Paranaense	18	30
6	EC Bahia	18	29
7	Coritiba FBC	18	26
8	Sao Paulo FC	18	25
9	Botafogo FR	18	25
10	EC Vitoria	18	25
11	CA Mineiro	18	24
12	SC Corinthians Paulista	18	24
13	Cruzeiro EC	18	24
14	SC Internacional	18	21
15	Santos FC	19	21
16	Gremio FBPA	19	21
17	CR Vasco da Gama	19	20
18	Mirassol FC	18	19
19	Clube do Remo	18	18
20	Chapecoense AF	18	9

Head-to-Head

Cruzeiro EC 14 games · Avg 2.4 goals Gremio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-07-10 Gremio FBPA 0–2 Cruzeiro EC 2023-08-27 Gremio FBPA 3–0 Cruzeiro EC 2023-04-23 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Cruzeiro EC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	Gremio FBPA	H	4–1	W
12 Jun	EC Vitoria	A	0–0	D
01 Jun	SE Palmeiras	H	2–1	W
25 May	Fortaleza EC	A	2–0	W
18 May	CA Mineiro	H	0–0	D
11 May	SC Recife	A	4–0	W

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Jul	Cruzeiro EC	A	1–4	L
12 Jun	SC Corinthians Paulista	H	1–1	D
01 Jun	EC Juventude	A	2–0	W
25 May	EC Bahia	H	1–0	W
18 May	Sao Paulo FC	A	1–2	L
10 May	RB Bragantino	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Cruzeiro EC		Gremio FBPA
#13	Position	#16
24	Points	21
18	Played	19
6 / 6 / 6	W / D / L	5 / 6 / 8
24	Scored	21
28	Conceded	25
-4	GD	-4
1.33	PPG	1.11
33%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season

37% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Cruzeiro EC are 13th (24 pts). Gremio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/1

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

2/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

1/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC

Christian	5 G	3 A
Kaio Jorge	4 G
Matheus Pereira	3 G	2 A
Neizer Villarreal	3 G	1 A

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

9 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA get this one started.
5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
8' Poor challenge from Kaiki Bruno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
13' The energy levels are beginning to show. Leonardo Jardim might look to freshen things up shortly.
18' Christian has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 373 appearances.
21' Time for substitution for Cruzeiro EC. William is replaced by Fagner.
25' Kaio Jorge adds to his 3 season tally! Cruzeiro EC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
33' Lucas Villalba makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Cruzeiro EC are in front.
38' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 38.
43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
46' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Francis Amuzu is withdrawn and Alexander Aravena gets his opportunity.
51' It is a cagey affair so far. Cruzeiro EC in their trying to find a way past Grêmio FBPA's compact .
52' Poor challenge from Alex Santana. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
54' GOAL! Kaio Jorge scores on 54. Assisted by Matheus Pereira
56' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
60' Andre is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matias Arezo at the 60 minute mark.
64' The Brazil Andre breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 3-1!
66' Christian was booked on 66.
71' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. Cruzeiro EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
76' It’s high time Leonardo Jardim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
77' A goal from the Brazil international Kaio Jorge! He fires home on 77 to make it 4-1!
79' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Alysson by Miguel Monsalve on 79 minute.
83' Lucas Silva catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
83' Fresh legs for Cruzeiro EC! Walace comes on to replace Lucas Romero.
88' Grêmio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
90' It’s a booking for Cruzeiro EC player. Gabriel Barbosa gets a card.
The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

Cruzeiro EC Lineups

Starting XI

29
Lucas Romero ↓ Walace 83'
16
Lucas Silva
1
Cassio
15
Fabricio Bruno
12
William ↓ Fagner 21'
10
Matheus Pereira ↓ Yannick Bolasie 83'
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 79'
94
Wanderson ↓ Marquinhos 79'
25
Lucas Villalba
88
Christian
6
Kaiki Bruno

Bench

23
Fagner ↑ 21'
11
Yannick Bolasie ↑ 83'
5
Walace ↑ 83'
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 79'
7
Marquinhos ↑ 79'
77
Joao Wellington
26
Lautaro Diaz
34
Jonathan
41
Leo Aragao
70
Kenji
36
Kaua Prates
35
Murilo

Coach Leonardo Jardim

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

36
Luan Candido
21
Jemerson
7
Cristian Pavon
8
Edenilson ↑ 60'
15
Camilo
12
Gabriel Chapeco
77
Andre ↑ 60'
35
Ronald
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 79'
65
Riquelme
34
Igor ↑ 46'
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 46'

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Everton	3
Kaio Jorge	3
Lucas Villalba	1
Bruno Silva	1
Joao Pedro Pepe	1
Andre	1
Felipe Carballo	1
Fabricio Bruno	1

Head to Head

Cruzeiro EC Form

2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-06-12 EC Vitoria 0–0 Cruzeiro EC D 2025-06-01 Cruzeiro EC 2–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-05-25 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Cruzeiro EC W 2025-05-18 Cruzeiro EC 0–0 CA Mineiro D 2025-05-11 SC Recife 0–4 Cruzeiro EC W

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-06-12 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2025-06-01 EC Juventude 0–2 Gremio FBPA W 2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia W 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.82 Cruzeiro EC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.16 Gremio FBPA xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cruzeiro EC54% Draw24% Gremio FBPA22%

Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw

78%

Draw or Gremio FBPA

46%

Cruzeiro EC or Gremio FBPA

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cruzeiro EC37% Draw44% Gremio FBPA19%

Actual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

11.6%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

8.5%

2 – 0

8.3%

0 – 0

6.8%

1 – 2

3 – 1

5.7%

2 – 2

5.4%

0 – 1

3 – 0

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap	Cruzeiro EC covers	Push	Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	22%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.