Friday , 16 October 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Cruzeiro EC
4 – 1
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Sun 13 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'
Kaiki Bruno 8' Y
Y 52' Alex Santana
Y 56' Walter Kannemann
Christian 66' Y
Lucas Silva 83' Y
Gabriel Barbosa 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

6
3
5
Cruzeiro EC 14 games · Avg 2.4 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-07-10 Gremio FBPA 0–2 Cruzeiro EC 2023-08-27 Gremio FBPA 3–0 Cruzeiro EC 2023-04-23 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Cruzeiro EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Gremio FBPA H 4–1 W
12 Jun EC Vitoria A 0–0 D
01 Jun SE Palmeiras H 2–1 W
25 May Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
18 May CA Mineiro H 0–0 D
11 May SC Recife A 4–0 W
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
12 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
01 Jun EC Juventude A 2–0 W
25 May EC Bahia H 1–0 W
18 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Cruzeiro EC Gremio FBPA
#6 Position #18
48 Points 31
30 Played 30
14 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
46 Scored 32
44 Conceded 40
+2 GD -8
1.60 PPG 1.03
47% Win % 23%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Cruzeiro EC are 6th (48 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/7
31-45
8/5
46-60
6/2
61-75
6/2
76+
11/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Matheus Pereira 9 G 5 A
Kaio Jorge 8 G 2 A
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Cruzeiro EC and Gremio FBPA get this one started.
  • 5' Matheus Pereira has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 6 goals this season.
  • 8' Kaiki Bruno picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 13' Cruzeiro EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 18' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' Cruzeiro EC ring the changes. William has done his job and it is now time for Fagner to step up.
  • 25' What composure from Kaio Jorge! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 30' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 33' The deadlock is broken! Lucas Villalba gets on the scoresheet on 33 minutes.
  • 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
  • 43' Cruzeiro EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' The whistle greets Francis Amuzu as he departs to be replaced by Alexander Aravena.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Cruzeiro EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 52' That is a card for Gremio FBPA. Alex Santana will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' GOAL! Kaio Jorge fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 56' A moment of madness from Walter Kannemann on 56 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Matias Arezo is replaced by Andre on 60 minute.
  • 64' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Andre makes it 3-1.
  • 66' That looks like a foul for a card for Christian.
  • 71' Cruzeiro EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 71.
  • 76' It looks surprising Gremio FBPA does not make any changes. Kaiki Bruno has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 77' Magnificent from Kaio Jorge! That is 37 goals in 294 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Miguel Monsalve on, Alysson off on 79 minutes.
  • 83' Lucas Silva catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
  • 83' The whistle greets Lucas Romero as he departs to be replaced by Walace.
  • 88' Cruzeiro EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Gabriel Barbosa on 90 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
  • Another three points for Cruzeiro EC.

Lineups

Cruzeiro EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leonardo Jardim

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Kaio Jorge 3
Felipe Carballo 1
Fabricio Bruno 1
Bruno Silva 1
Bitelo 1
Everton 1
Ramiro 1

Head to Head

2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-28 Cruzeiro EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2024-07-10 Gremio FBPA 0–2 Cruzeiro EC 2023-08-27 Gremio FBPA 3–0 Cruzeiro EC 2023-04-23 Cruzeiro EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA

Cruzeiro EC Form

2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-06-12 EC Vitoria 0–0 Cruzeiro EC D 2025-06-01 Cruzeiro EC 2–1 SE Palmeiras W 2025-05-25 Fortaleza EC 0–2 Cruzeiro EC W 2025-05-18 Cruzeiro EC 0–0 CA Mineiro D 2025-05-11 SC Recife 0–4 Cruzeiro EC W

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-06-12 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2025-06-01 EC Juventude 0–2 Gremio FBPA W 2025-05-25 Gremio FBPA 1–0 EC Bahia W 2025-05-18 Sao Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-05-10 Gremio FBPA 1–1 RB Bragantino D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Cruzeiro EC to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cruzeiro EC57% Draw23% Gremio FBPA20%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
80%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
43%
Cruzeiro EC or Gremio FBPA
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC40% Draw43% Gremio FBPA17%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 22% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.