Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Mineirao.
- Cruzeiro EC 25 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | EC Vitoria | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 18 May | CA Mineiro | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 May | SC Recife | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 12 Jun | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Jun | EC Juventude | A | 2–0 | W |
| 25 May | EC Bahia | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| Cruzeiro EC | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #15 |
| 39 | Points | 28 |
| 25 | Played | 24 |
| 11 / 6 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| 35 | Scored | 27 |
| 36 | Conceded | 32 |
| -1 | GD | -5 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 44% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
Cruzeiro EC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
Cruzeiro EC are 6th (39 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
6/3
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/2
76+
7/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Cruzeiro EC
| Matheus Pereira | 6 G | 3 A |
| Kaio Jorge | 6 G | |
| Christian | 5 G | 3 A |
| Neizer Villarreal | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Mineirao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA.
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 8' A moment of madness from Kaiki Bruno on 8 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
- 13' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 18' Lucas Silva is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
- 21' William makes way for Fagner at the 21 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cruzeiro EC.
- 25' Goal! Kaio Jorge scores his 35 goal in 286 matches.
- 30' It looks surprising Cruzeiro EC does not make any changes. Francis Amuzu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' What composure from Lucas Villalba! The Argentina international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 38' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 43' It’s high time Leonardo Jardim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 46' Francis Amuzu makes way for Alexander Aravena at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- 51' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. Cruzeiro EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alex Santana.
- 54' Kaio Jorge is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 56' The referee has no hesitation. Walter Kannemann is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 56.
- 60' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andre is hanging Matias Arezo on the field on 60 minute.
- 64' A stunning finish from Andre — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 66' Christian is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
- 71' Alex Santana has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 77' Against the run of play, Kaio Jorge has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 79' The crowd applauds Alysson as he leaves the pitch. Miguel Monsalve steps in for Gremio FBPA.
- 83' It’s a booking for Cruzeiro EC player. Lucas Silva gets a card.
- 83' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Lucas Romero exits the field as Walace enters on 83.
- 88' With 2 assists to his name this season, Franco Cristaldo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gabriel Barbosa.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Grêmio FBPA.
Lineups
Cruzeiro EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
29
Lucas Romero ↓ Walace 83'
- 16
- 1
- 15
- 12
- 10
-
19
Kaio Jorge ↓ Gabriel Barbosa 79'
-
94
Wanderson ↓ Marquinhos 79'
- 25
- 88
- 6
Bench
-
23
Fagner ↑ 21'
-
11
Yannick Bolasie ↑ 83'
-
5
Walace ↑ 83'
-
9
Gabriel Barbosa ↑ 79'
-
7
Marquinhos ↑ 79'
- 77
- 26
- 34
- 41
- 70
- 36
- 35
Coach
Leonardo Jardim
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 80
-
10
Franco Cristaldo ↓ Edenilson 60'
- 9
- 1
- 25
- 20
- 3
-
19
Matias Arezo ↓ Andre 60'
-
53
Gustavo Martins ↓ Igor 46'
-
47
Alysson ↓ Miguel Monsalve 79'
Bench
- 36
- 21
- 7
-
8
Edenilson ↑ 60'
- 15
- 12
-
77
Andre ↑ 60'
- 35
-
11
Miguel Monsalve ↑ 79'
- 65
-
34
Igor ↑ 46'
-
16
Alexander Aravena ↑ 46'
Coach
Mano Menezes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everton | 3 |
| Kaio Jorge | 3 |
| Felipe Carballo | 1 |
| Fabricio Bruno | 1 |
| Bruno Silva | 1 |
| Bitelo | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Ramiro | 1 |
Head to Head
Cruzeiro EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87
Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cruzeiro EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Cruzeiro EC or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
44%
Cruzeiro EC or Gremio FBPA
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC
| Handicap | Cruzeiro EC covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 69% |
| -1.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -1 | 31% | 22% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

