Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 13 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Mineirao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cruzeiro EC vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Mineirao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Gremio FBPA H 4–1 W
12 Jun EC Vitoria A 0–0 D
01 Jun SE Palmeiras H 2–1 W
25 May Fortaleza EC A 2–0 W
18 May CA Mineiro H 0–0 D
11 May SC Recife A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
12 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
01 Jun EC Juventude A 2–0 W
25 May EC Bahia H 1–0 W
18 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
10 May RB Bragantino H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Cruzeiro EC Gremio FBPA
#6 Position #15
39 Points 28
25 Played 24
11 / 6 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 7 / 10
35 Scored 27
36 Conceded 32
-1 GD -5
1.56 PPG 1.17
44% Win % 29%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Cruzeiro EC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Cruzeiro EC are 6th (39 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
6/3
46-60
4/2
61-75
4/2
76+
7/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cruzeiro EC
Matheus Pereira 6 G 3 A
Kaio Jorge 6 G
Christian 5 G 3 A
Neizer Villarreal 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Mineirao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 8' A moment of madness from Kaiki Bruno on 8 minutes earns him a card. Cruzeiro EC will be frustrated.
  • 13' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 18' Lucas Silva is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
  • 21' William makes way for Fagner at the 21 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cruzeiro EC.
  • 25' Goal! Kaio Jorge scores his 35 goal in 286 matches.
  • 30' It looks surprising Cruzeiro EC does not make any changes. Francis Amuzu has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 33' What composure from Lucas Villalba! The Argentina international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 38' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' It’s high time Leonardo Jardim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 46' Francis Amuzu makes way for Alexander Aravena at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. Cruzeiro EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Alex Santana.
  • 54' Kaio Jorge is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
  • 56' The referee has no hesitation. Walter Kannemann is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 56.
  • 60' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andre is hanging Matias Arezo on the field on 60 minute.
  • 64' A stunning finish from Andre — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 66' Christian is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
  • 71' Alex Santana has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cruzeiro EC and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 77' Against the run of play, Kaio Jorge has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Alysson as he leaves the pitch. Miguel Monsalve steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 83' It’s a booking for Cruzeiro EC player. Lucas Silva gets a card.
  • 83' A change in the Cruzeiro EC ranks — Lucas Romero exits the field as Walace enters on 83.
  • 88' With 2 assists to his name this season, Franco Cristaldo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cruzeiro EC.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Gabriel Barbosa.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Grêmio FBPA.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.87 Cruzeiro EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cruzeiro EC56% Draw24% Gremio FBPA20%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Cruzeiro EC or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
44%
Cruzeiro EC or Gremio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cruzeiro EC39% Draw43% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: Cruzeiro EC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Cruzeiro EC

Handicap Cruzeiro EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Cruzeiro EC keeps clean sheet
33%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.