Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Gremio FBPA
3 – 1
Full Time
Fortaleza EC
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 00:30 UTC Arena do Gremio 21,984 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alexander Aravena 13' 1–0
1–1 18' Hercules
Martin Braithwaite 60' 2–1
Yeferson Soteldo 90+1' 3–1
Y 35' Eros Mancuso
Y 69' Juan Lucero
YR 80' Eros Mancuso
Joao Pedro 86' Y
Dodi 88' Y
Fabio 91' R

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

3
6
3
Gremio FBPA 12 games · Avg 1.8 goals Fortaleza EC
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2023-05-14 Gremio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2021-10-13 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 3–1 W
29 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
25 Sep Criciúma EC H 1–2 L
22 Sep CR Flamengo H 3–2 W
15 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
01 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–3 L
Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
29 Sep Cuiaba EC H 1–0 W
22 Sep EC Bahia H 4–1 W
14 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
11 Sep SC Internacional A 1–2 L
01 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Gremio FBPA host Fortaleza EC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Fortaleza EC have won 352 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 13' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alexander Aravena makes it 1-0.
  • 18' Assisted by Yago Pikachu with the perfectly-timed delivery and Hercules makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 28' A quiet spell here at Arena do Gremio. Gremio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 31' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Gustavo Martins is replaced by Geromel on 31 minute.
  • 35' Eros Mancuso is having his name booked by the referee on 35.
  • 40' Franco Cristaldo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
  • 45' Fortaleza EC is showing some good football. However, Fortaleza EC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 50' Dodi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 398 appearances.
  • 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 60' Martin Braithwaite does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
  • 62' The whistle greets Hercules as he departs to be replaced by Tomas Pochettino.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Kervin Andrade. He replaces Jose Welison on 63 minute.
  • 66' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 66 minute. Alexander Aravena leaves to be changed by Yeferson Soteldo.
  • 69' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Juan Lucero gets a card.
  • 73' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Breno Lopes by Moises on 73 minute.
  • 78' Brazil international Matheus Rossetto has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 80' Eros Mancuso was booked on 80.
  • 83' Rafael Cabral is ready to make an impact after coming on for Caique at the 83 minute mark.
  • 84' Leandro Martinez gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Matheus Rossetto and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Joao Pedro is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 86.
  • 88' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Dodi gets a card.
  • Fortaleza EC will have plenty to reflect on. Gremio FBPA were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Vojvoda

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Martin Braithwaite 3
Pepe 2
Osvaldo 2
Yeferson Soteldo 1
Gabriel Dias 1
Alexander Aravena 1
Paulo Miranda 1
Hercules 1

Head to Head

2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2023-05-14 Gremio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2021-10-13 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA

Gremio FBPA Form

2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC W 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA D 2024-09-25 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Criciúma EC L 2024-09-22 Gremio FBPA 3–2 CR Flamengo W 2024-09-15 RB Bragantino 2–2 Gremio FBPA D 2024-09-01 Gremio FBPA 2–3 CA Mineiro L

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC L 2024-09-29 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Cuiaba EC W 2024-09-22 Fortaleza EC 4–1 EC Bahia W 2024-09-14 CA Paranaense 1–1 Fortaleza EC D 2024-09-11 SC Internacional 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2024-09-01 Botafogo FR 2–0 Fortaleza EC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA47% Draw27% Fortaleza EC26%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
74%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
53%
Gremio FBPA or Fortaleza EC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA32% Draw47% Fortaleza EC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.