Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 00:30 UTC Arena do Gremio 21,984 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alexander Aravena 13' 1–0
1–1 18' Hercules
Martin Braithwaite 60' 2–1
Yeferson Soteldo 90+1' 3–1
Y 35' Eros Mancuso
Y 69' Juan Lucero
YR 80' Eros Mancuso
Joao Pedro 86' Y
Dodi 88' Y
Fabio 91' R

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Fortaleza ECSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 3–1 W
29 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
25 Sep Criciúma EC H 1–2 L
22 Sep CR Flamengo H 3–2 W
15 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
01 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Gremio FBPA A 1–3 L
29 Sep Cuiaba EC H 1–0 W
22 Sep EC Bahia H 4–1 W
14 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
11 Sep SC Internacional A 1–2 L
01 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Arena do Gremio. Gremio FBPA are looking to make home advantage count against Fortaleza EC.
  • 5' With 2 assists to his name this season, Edenilson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
  • 10' The 34-year-old Bruno Pacheco has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 3 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 13' Brilliant from the forward! Alexander Aravena makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 13.
  • 18' The deadlock is broken! Hercules gets on the scoresheet on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Fortaleza EC come into this ranked 3 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 28' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' Gremio FBPA make a change. Gustavo Martins trudges off to be replaced by Geromel on 31 minutes.
  • 35' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Eros Mancuso gets a card.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Gremio FBPA needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 50' Gremio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Gremio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 60' A goal from the Denmark international Martin Braithwaite! He fires home on 60 to make it 2-1!
  • 62' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Tomas Pochettino comes on to replace Hercules.
  • 63' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Jose Welison exits the field as Kervin Andrade enters on 63.
  • 66' The whistle greets Alexander Aravena as he departs to be replaced by Yeferson Soteldo.
  • 69' Poor challenge from Juan Lucero. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 73 minute. Breno Lopes leaves to be changed by Moises.
  • 78' Walter Kannemann needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 80' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Eros Mancuso gets a card.
  • 83' Gremio FBPA make a change. Caique trudges off to be replaced by Rafael Cabral on 83 minutes.
  • 84' A tactical swap from Fortaleza ECLeandro Martinez on, Matheus Rossetto off on 84 minutes.
  • 86' A moment of madness from Joao Pedro on 86 minutes earns him a card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dodi.
  • Another three points for Gremio FBPA.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA47% Draw27% Fortaleza EC26%
Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
74%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
53%
Gremio FBPA or Fortaleza EC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA32% Draw47% Fortaleza EC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
34%
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.