Gremio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025

Gremio FBPA

2 – 1

Full Time

Fortaleza EC

Tue 29 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 9' Magrao

Y 18' Bruno Pacheco

Y 45' Breno Lopes

Alysson 45' Y

Y 56' Deyverson

Y 67' Lucca Prior

Y 79' Marinho

Cristian Olivera 87' Y

Marlon 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SE Palmeiras	25	52
2	CR Flamengo	24	48
3	CA Paranaense	25	45
4	Fluminense FC	25	42
5	EC Bahia	25	40
6	Cruzeiro EC	25	39
7	Coritiba FBC	25	37
8	CA Mineiro	24	36
9	RB Bragantino	24	35
10	SC Corinthians Paulista	25	32
11	Sao Paulo FC	24	30
12	Botafogo FR	24	30
13	Santos FC	24	29
14	EC Vitoria	25	29
15	Gremio FBPA	24	28
16	SC Internacional	25	25
17	Mirassol FC	24	25
18	CR Vasco da Gama	24	25
19	Clube do Remo	25	23
20	Chapecoense AF	24	14

Head-to-Head

Gremio FBPA 12 games · Avg 1.8 goals Fortaleza EC

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-10-05 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Fortaleza EC 2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Gremio FBPA 2023-05-14 Gremio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Jul	Fortaleza EC	H	2–1	W
27 Jul	SE Palmeiras	A	0–1	L
19 Jul	CR Vasco da Gama	A	1–1	D
13 Jul	Cruzeiro EC	A	1–4	L
12 Jun	SC Corinthians Paulista	H	1–1	D
01 Jun	EC Juventude	A	2–0	W

Fortaleza EC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Jul	Gremio FBPA	A	1–2	L
26 Jul	RB Bragantino	H	3–1	W
19 Jul	EC Bahia	H	1–1	D
13 Jul	Ceará SC	H	0–1	L
12 Jun	Santos FC	H	2–3	L
01 Jun	CR Flamengo	A	0–5	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

2/4

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/6

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

10 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Gremio FBPA is hosting Fortaleza EC for another epic battle.
5' Fortaleza EC have won 352 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
9' Magrao was booked on 9.
12' Magnificent from Martin Braithwaite! That is 77 goals in 384 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
17' Against the run of play, Martin Braithwaite has scored! This game has turned on its head.
18' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 18.
23' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lucca Prior is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gremio FBPA.
24' Brilliant from the ! Deyverson makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 24.
29' The travelling Fortaleza EC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
34' Adam Bareiro, a Paraguay , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
44' The home supporters are growing impatient. Gremio FBPA must find a spark to ignite this game.
45' Poor challenge from Breno Lopes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Gremio FBPA and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
54' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Gustavo Martins is replaced by Camilo on 54 minute.
56' Deyverson is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
61' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
63' Diogo Barbosa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bruno Pacheco at the 63 minute mark.
66' Cristian Pavon is replacing Riquelme for the Gremio FBPA side.
67' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucca Prior on 67.
72' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
76' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Lucca Prior is replaced by Yago Pikachu.
79' Poor challenge from Marinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
83' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Alysson has done his job and it is now time for Edenilson to step up.
85' Fresh legs for Fortaleza EC! Leandro Martinez comes on to replace Eros Mancuso.
87' Cristian Olivera has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
88' Marlon catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 88.
Full Time. Gremio FBPA beats Fortaleza EC

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Fortaleza EC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Paiva

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martin Braithwaite	3
Pepe	2
Osvaldo	2
Yago Pikachu	1
Matheus Pereira	1
Luis Suarez	1
Adam Bareiro	1
Thiago Galhardo	1

Head to Head

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC W 2025-07-27 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2025-07-19 CR Vasco da Gama 1–1 Gremio FBPA D 2025-07-13 Cruzeiro EC 4–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-06-12 Gremio FBPA 1–1 SC Corinthians Paulista D 2025-06-01 EC Juventude 0–2 Gremio FBPA W

Fortaleza EC Form

2025-07-29 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fortaleza EC L 2025-07-26 Fortaleza EC 3–1 RB Bragantino W 2025-07-19 Fortaleza EC 1–1 EC Bahia D 2025-07-13 Fortaleza EC 0–1 Ceará SC L 2025-06-12 Fortaleza EC 2–3 Santos FC L 2025-06-01 CR Flamengo 5–0 Fortaleza EC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.63 Gremio FBPA xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Fortaleza EC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Gremio FBPA54% Draw26% Fortaleza EC20%

Actual: Gremio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.59

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw

80%

Draw or Fortaleza EC

46%

Gremio FBPA or Fortaleza EC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Gremio FBPA36% Draw47% Fortaleza EC17%

Actual: Gremio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

1 – 0

11.4%

2 – 0

9.7%

0 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

6.2%

1 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.2%

3 – 1

2 – 2

4.5%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap	Gremio FBPA covers	Push	Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	16%	72%
-1.5	28%	—	72%
-1	28%	24%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	13%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.