Fortaleza EC vs Ceará SC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs Ceará SC — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Ceará SC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jun | Santos FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 0–5 | L |
| 25 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–3 | L |
| 10 May | EC Juventude | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 Jun | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | CA Mineiro | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 May | SC Recife | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 May | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 May | EC Vitoria | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
30%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Fortaleza EC launch into their encounter with Ceará SC.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' The travelling Ceará SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Ceará SC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Juan Lucero has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 22 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Pedro Henrique was booked on 25.
- 30' Lucas Sasha has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Ceará SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Ceará SC backline.
- 45' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Gustavo exits the field as Diogo Barbosa enters on 45.
- 50' The referee has no hesitation. Emanuel Britez is booked for Fortaleza EC — card on 50.
- 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Fortaleza EC and Ceará SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 57' Antonio Galeano has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
- 62' The whistle greets Juan Lucero as he departs to be replaced by Deyverson.
- 63' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Lucas Sasha is withdrawn and Marinho gets his opportunity.
- 68' Fernandinho gets the nod from Ceara SC. He replaces Pedro Henrique and will look to change the dynamic.
- 73' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 80' Ceara SC ring the changes. Antonio Galeano has done his job and it is now time for Bruno Tubarao to step up.
- 82' The referee has no hesitation. Fernandinho is booked for Ceara SC — card on 82.
- 87' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 88' Fabiano Silva was booked on 88.
- 90' Poor challenge from Pedro Raul. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' Rafael Ramos is replacing Fabiano Silva for the Ceara SC side.
- With this win, Ceará SC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
-
88
Lucas Sasha ↓ Marinho 63'
- 33
- 5
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Deyverson 62'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Allanzinho 80'
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↓ Calebe 80'
- 12
-
39
Gustavo ↓ Diogo Barbosa 45'
Bench
-
11
Marinho ↑ 63'
- 22
- 20
-
16
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 45'
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 62'
- 2
-
10
Calebe ↑ 80'
- 15
- 14
- 29
-
19
Allanzinho ↑ 80'
Ceará SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
10
Lucas Mugni ↓ Lourenco 68'
-
7
Pedro Henrique ↓ Fernandinho 68'
-
88
Fernando Sobral ↓ Richardson 90'
- 94
- 9
- 79
-
70
Fabiano Silva ↓ Rafael Ramos 90'
- 20
-
27
Antonio Galeano ↓ Bruno Tubarao 80'
- 23
Bench
- 40
-
26
Richardson ↑ 90'
- 11
- 16
-
77
Fernandinho ↑ 68'
- 33
- 30
-
97
Lourenco ↑ 68'
-
2
Rafael Ramos ↑ 90'
- 8
-
29
Bruno Tubarao ↑ 80'
- 19
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vinicius | 3 |
| Cleber | 2 |
| Wellington Paulista | 1 |
| Antonio Galeano | 1 |
| Pedro Raul | 1 |
| Vinicius Moreira | 1 |
| Adam Bareiro | 1 |
| Cleber | 1 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
Ceará SC xG
I would bet for:
Fortaleza EC or Ceará SC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Ceará SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
59%
Draw or Ceará SC
70%
Fortaleza EC or Ceará SC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | Ceará SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.
