Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fortaleza EC vs EC Bahia — Serie A at Castelao.
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | EC Bahia | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | Ceará SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jun | Santos FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Jun | CR Flamengo | A | 0–5 | L |
| 25 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 17 May | CR Vasco da Gama | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul | Fortaleza EC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jun | RB Bragantino | A | 3–0 | W |
| 31 May | Sao Paulo FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 25 May | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 May | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Fortaleza EC gets underway.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marinho made 326 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 18' A meaty challenge results in booking for Diogo Barbosa on 18.
- 23' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 28' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 29' Marinho puts Fortaleza EC on the lead.
- 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 325 games and scored 348 goals.
- 39' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Santiago Ramos suffering a number of foals already.
- 46' Cauly has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luciano Rodriguez on 46 minute.
- 51' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Erick gets a card.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 59' Juan Lucero was booked on 59.
- 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Santiago Ramos on 63.
- 65' The referee calls foul for Matheus Pereira. He receives a card.
- 68' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Tomas Pochettino by Leandro Martinez on 68 minute.
- 69' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Marinho is replaced by Jose Herrera.
- 74' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 74.
- 75' Michel Araujo is replacing Jean Lucas for the EC Bahia side.
- 76' Rodrigo Nestor is replacing Caio Alexandre for the EC Bahia side.
- 78' Leandro Martinez was booked on 78.
- 79' Another change for Fortaleza EC made on 79 minute. Juan Lucero leaves to be changed by Adam Bareiro.
- 80' Goal! Rodrigo Nestor scores his 9 goal in 371 matches.
- 84' The whistle greets Breno Lopes as he departs to be replaced by Yago Pikachu.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Nicolas Acevedo. He replaces Everton Ribeiro on 89 minute.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Marinho ↓ Jose Herrera 69'
- 16
- 7
- 88
-
33
Emanuel Britez ↓ Eros Mancuso 68'
- 5
- 13
-
9
Juan Lucero ↓ Adam Bareiro 79'
- 3
- 15
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Yago Pikachu 84'
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 84'
- 20
- 18
- 25
- 2
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↑ 79'
- 17
-
14
Eros Mancuso ↑ 68'
-
8
Leandro Martinez ↑ 68'
-
80
Jose Herrera ↑ 69'
- 38
- 19
Coach
Juan Vojvoda
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Michel Araujo 75'
- 10
- 7
- 2
- 22
- 33
- 21
-
19
Caio Alexandre ↓ Rodrigo Nestor 76'
- 46
- 16
-
17
Luciano Rodriguez ↓ Cauly 46'
Bench
- 96
-
8
Cauly ↑ 46'
- 13
- 25
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↑ 76'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 75'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 89'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 76'
- 3
- 66
- 77
- 68
Coach
Eduardo Varjao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
Head to Head
Fortaleza EC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.08
Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
EC Bahia xG
I would bet for:
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia 69% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Fortaleza EC or Draw
62%
Draw or EC Bahia
69%
Fortaleza EC or EC Bahia
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.3%
0 – 1
11%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 2
7.2%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC
| Handicap | Fortaleza EC covers | Push | EC Bahia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 18% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.