Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 3
Full Time
Thu 12 Jun 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Santos FCSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Santos FC H 2–3 L
01 Jun CR Flamengo A 0–5 L
25 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
17 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–3 L
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
03 May Sao Paulo FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Fortaleza EC A 3–2 W
01 Jun Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
25 May EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
18 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
12 May Ceará SC H 0–0 D
04 May Grêmio FBPA A 0–1 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/4
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 7 G 2 A
Neymar 4 G 2 A
Alvaro Barreal 3 G
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Castelao that hosts another battle between Fortaleza EC and Santos FC.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Fortaleza EC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Goal! Alvaro Barreal scores his 26 goal in 162 matches.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 30' Fortaleza EC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Benjamin Rollheiser.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Diego Pituca suffering a number of foals already.
  • 41' GOAL! Guilherme scores on 41. Assisted by Tiquinho Soares
  • 46' Ze Ivaldo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Souza on 46 minute.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Luiz made 409 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
  • 57' It’s gonna be a card for Marinho.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Marinho is replaced by Yago Pikachu on 60 minute.
  • 64' Another change for Santos FC made on 64 minute. Tiquinho Soares leaves to be changed by Thaciano.
  • 66' Fortaleza EC receives a card for a hard tackle on 66.
  • 71' What a strike from Yago Pikachu! The score is 1-2.
  • 74' What a strike from Yago Pikachu! The score is 2-2.
  • 77' Another substitution for Fortaleza EC to replace Deyverson by Juan Lucero on 77 minute.
  • 79' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Jose Welison gets a card.
  • 80' Santos FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gabriel Bontempo is hanging Diego Pituca on the field on 80 minute.
  • 81' The Santos FC manager makes a substitution. Alvaro Barreal departs to be replaced by Deivid Washington.
  • 85' The whistle greets Ze Rafael as he departs to be replaced by Joao Schmidt.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Bruno Pacheco. He receives a card.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. David Luiz gets a card.
  • Another three points for Santos FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Santos FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC43% Draw28% Santos FC29%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
71%
Draw or Santos FC
57%
Fortaleza EC or Santos FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC32% Draw46% Santos FC22%
Actual: Santos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30%
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.