Saturday , 14 November 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 3
Full Time
Thu 12 Jun 2025 · 22:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Santos FC — Serie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Santos FC H 2–3 L
01 Jun CR Flamengo A 0–5 L
25 May Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
17 May CR Vasco da Gama A 0–3 L
10 May EC Juventude H 5–0 W
03 May São Paulo FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jun Fortaleza EC A 3–2 W
01 Jun Botafogo FR H 0–1 L
25 May EC Vitoria A 1–0 W
18 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–1 L
12 May Ceará SC H 0–0 D
04 May Gremio FBPA A 0–1 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
9/8
46-60
7/4
61-75
3/4
76+
11/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 15 G 4 A
Neymar 8 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Fortaleza EC and Santos FC is underway.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alvaro Barreal makes it 0-1.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Santos FC that had 298 games and scored 375 goals.
  • 35' Benjamin Rollheiser has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 35.
  • 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 41' Against the run of play, Guilherme has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' Another substitution for Santos FC to replace Souza by Ze Ivaldo on 46 minute.
  • 51' Ze Rafael is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Santos FC so far.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Marinho. He receives a card.
  • 60' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Marinho is withdrawn and Yago Pikachu gets his opportunity.
  • 64' The crowd applauds Tiquinho Soares as he leaves the pitch. Thaciano steps in for Santos FC.
  • 66' Controversy at the stadium! Emanuel Britez argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 71' Magnificent from Yago Pikachu! That is 51 goals in 300 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 74' The Brazil Yago Pikachu breaks the deadlock on 74 minutes. 2-2!
  • 77' The crowd applauds Deyverson as he leaves the pitch. Juan Lucero steps in for Fortaleza EC.
  • 79' Jose Welison was booked on 79.
  • 80' Another substitution for Santos FC to replace Diego Pituca by Gabriel Bontempo on 80 minute.
  • 81' Deivid Washington is replacing Alvaro Barreal for the Santos FC side.
  • 85' A change in the Santos FC ranks — Ze Rafael exits the field as Joao Schmidt enters on 85.
  • 86' Bruno Pacheco catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
  • 90' A moment of madness from David Luiz on 90 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.55 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Fortaleza EC or Santos FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC43% Draw28% Santos FC29%
Actual: Santos FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
71%
Draw or Santos FC
57%
Fortaleza EC or Santos FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC32% Draw46% Santos FC22%
Actual: Santos FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.