Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Ang Ribeiro
  • Referee Raphael Claus
  • Referee Daniel Marques (Brazil)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 2–1 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
03 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
27 Aug Coritiba FBC H 3–1 W
19 Aug SC Internacional A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
22 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
19 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 4–4 D
15 Sep RB Bragantino A 0–2 L
03 Sep Cuiaba EC H 2–0 W
27 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Fortaleza EC gets underway.
  • 5' Fortaleza EC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Grêmio FBPA's shape.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Fortaleza EC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Fortaleza EC have won 352 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' Joao Pedro Pepe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fortaleza EC that had 266 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 34' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Ferreira comes on to replace Joao Pedro Galvao.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' GOAL! Thiago Galhardo scores on 44.
  • 46' Everton gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Franco Cristaldo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Fortaleza EC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Juan Vojvoda might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 58' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Nathan is replaced by Ronald on 58 minute.
  • 58' Controversy at the stadium! Nathan argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 63' Fortaleza EC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Grêmio FBPA backline.
  • 68' Fortaleza EC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 73' Ronald is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fortaleza EC tonight.
  • 74' Poor challenge from Lucas Besozzi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 75' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Yago Pikachu is withdrawn and Calebe gets his opportunity.
  • 80' What a moment for Luis Suarez! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 83' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Crispim departs to be replaced by Tomas Pochettino.
  • 88' Over 88 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Marcelo Benevenuto. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 90' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Ferreira by Fabio on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC46% Draw29% Gremio FBPA25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
74%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
54%
Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC31% Draw50% Gremio FBPA19%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
38%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.