Friday , 16 October 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Alex Ang Ribeiro
  • Referee Raphael Claus
  • Referee Daniel Marques (Brazil)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 2–1 W
14 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
03 Sep Fluminense FC A 0–1 L
27 Aug Coritiba FBC H 3–1 W
19 Aug SC Internacional A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
22 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
19 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 4–4 D
15 Sep RB Bragantino A 0–2 L
03 Sep Cuiaba EC H 2–0 W
27 Aug Cruzeiro EC H 3–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Fortaleza EC vs Grêmio FBPA — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fortaleza EC and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Juan Vojvoda might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 25' Nathan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fortaleza EC so far.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 34' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Ferreira on, Joao Pedro Galvao off on 34 minutes.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yago Pikachu, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 44' A goal from the Brazil international Thiago Galhardo! He fires home on 44 to make it 1-0!
  • 46' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Everton on, Franco Cristaldo off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Fortaleza EC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' Joao Pedro Pepe needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 58' Gremio FBPA make a change. Nathan trudges off to be replaced by Ronald on 58 minutes.
  • 58' Gremio FBPA receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 58.
  • 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Grêmio FBPA that had 337 games and scored 394 goals.
  • 68' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 73' Fortaleza EC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 74' Gremio FBPA player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 75' Calebe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yago Pikachu on 75 minute.
  • 80' Magnificent from Luis Suarez! That is 148 goals in 521 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 83' Tomas Pochettino has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Crispim on 83 minute.
  • 88' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 88 minutes.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Marcelo Benevenuto is booked for Fortaleza EC — Yellow card on 90.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Ferreira as he leaves the pitch. Fabio steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC46% Draw29% Gremio FBPA25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
74%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
54%
Fortaleza EC or Gremio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC31% Draw50% Gremio FBPA19%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.8%
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.3%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 23% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.