Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

MLS · 2024

Philadelphia Union

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 22:00 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Tai Baribo 38' Y

Y 59' Obinna Nwobodo

Jack Elliott 64' Y

Y 66' Yamil Asad

Y 68' Luca Orellano

Kai Wagner 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 17 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
05 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–3	L
02 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	1–2	L
28 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	1–1	D
22 Sep	D.C. United SC	H	4–0	W
18 Sep	New York City FC	A	5–1	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
05 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	1–3	L
02 Oct	New York City FC	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
19 Sep	Minnesota United FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		FC Cincinnati
#6	Position	#8
50	Points	46
34	Played	34
14 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
66	Scored	67
52	Conceded	75
+14	GD	-8
1.47	PPG	1.35
41%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are looking to make home advantage count against FC Cincinnati.
2' GOAL! Quinn Sullivan fires home to make it 1-0!
7' FC Cincinnati has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
12' Yuya Kubo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
15' Philadelphia Union manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Danley Jean Jacques is hanging Daniel Gazdag on the field on 15 minute.
20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
25' Teenage Hadebe is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
35' Philadelphia Union are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
38' Tai Baribo is having his name booked by the referee on 38.
43' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Ayoub Jabbari scoring 1 goals.
46' GOAL! Jacob Glesnes fires home to make it 2-0!
49' Yamil Asad is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
54' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
59' Obinna Nwobodo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
59' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Chidozie Awaziem by Alvas Powell on 59 minute.
60' The supporters are chanting for Sergio Santos. He replaces Yuya Kubo on 60 minute.
64' Jack Elliott has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 64.
65' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Jacob Glesnes is replaced by Alejandro Bedoya.
66' A moment of madness from Yamil Asad on 66 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
68' FC Cincinnati receives a card for a hard tackle on 68.
69' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Luca Orellano by Nicholas Gioacchini on 69 minute.
74' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
79' Chidozie Awaziem has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 505 appearances.
80' Kai Wagner is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
82' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Ian Murphy comes on to replace Teenage Hadebe.
87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
88' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 88 minute. Leon Flach leaves to be changed by Jeremy Rafanello.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
3
Jack Elliott
10
Daniel Gazdag ↓ Danley Jean Jacques 15'
31
Leon Flach ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 88'
33
Quinn Sullivan
16
Jack McGlynn
26
Nathan Harriel
5
Jacob Glesnes ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 65'
7
Mikkel Uhre
28
Tai Baribo

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Sergio Santos 60'
6
Chidozie Awaziem ↓ Alvas Powell 59'
10
Luciano Acosta
27
Yamil Asad ↓ Corey Baird 82'
12
Miles Robinson
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Nicholas Gioacchini 69'
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Ian Murphy 82'
18
Roman Celentano

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 82'
36
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 59'
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 60'
9
Nicholas Gioacchini ↑ 69'
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 82'
19
Kevin Kelsy
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Damiani	5
Tai Baribo	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Paxten Aaronson	3
Luciano Acosta	3
Quinn Sullivan	2
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Jose Martinez	1

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-10-05 Columbus Crew SC 3–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-10-02 Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union L 2024-09-28 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-22 Philadelphia Union 4–0 D.C. United SC W 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2024-09-19 Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.36 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.76 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union45% Draw24% FC Cincinnati31%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 4.12

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	58%	42%
± 4.5	39%	61%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

69%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

55%

Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union39% Draw37% FC Cincinnati24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 1

7.5%

2 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

1 – 2

Actual

3 – 2

5.2%

2 – 0

4.6%

2 – 3

3.9%

4 – 1

3.6%

3 – 0

3.5%

1 – 0

3.5%

1 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	15%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	19%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	14%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.