Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

MLS · 2024

Philadelphia Union

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 22:00 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Tai Baribo 38' Y

Y 59' Obinna Nwobodo

Jack Elliott 64' Y

Y 66' Yamil Asad

Y 68' Luca Orellano

Kai Wagner 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
05 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–3	L
02 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	1–2	L
28 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	1–1	D
22 Sep	D.C. United SC	H	4–0	W
18 Sep	New York City FC	A	5–1	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
05 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	1–3	L
02 Oct	New York City FC	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
19 Sep	Minnesota United FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		FC Cincinnati
#6	Position	#9
39	Points	33
27	Played	26
11 / 6 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
54	Scored	55
44	Conceded	64
+10	GD	-9
1.44	PPG	1.27
41%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

4/7

31-45

6/4

46-60

9/1

61-75

14/3

76+

6/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	16 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	8 G	1 A
Cavan Sullivan	7 G	4 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Subaru Park that hosts another battle between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati.
2' GOAL! Quinn Sullivan scores on 2. Assisted by Jack McGlynn
7' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
12' Daniel Gazdag has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
15' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Daniel Gazdag is replaced by Danley Jean Jacques.
20' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jim Curtin will be considering his options from the bench.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
35' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
38' Controversy at the stadium! Tai Baribo argues furiously but the card stands.
43' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
46' The Norway Jacob Glesnes breaks the deadlock on 46 minutes. 2-0!
49' Brilliant from the ! Yamil Asad makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 45.
54' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
59' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Obinna Nwobodo on 59 minutes.
59' The supporters are chanting for Alvas Powell. He replaces Chidozie Awaziem on 59 minute.
60' Yuya Kubo makes way for Sergio Santos at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
64' Jack Elliott was booked on 64.
65' Another substitution for Philadelphia Union to replace Jacob Glesnes by Alejandro Bedoya on 65 minute.
66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yamil Asad on 66.
68' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
69' The crowd applauds Luca Orellano as he leaves the pitch. Nicholas Gioacchini steps in for FC Cincinnati.
74' Philadelphia Union are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
79' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
80' It’s gonna be a card for Kai Wagner.
82' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Teenage Hadebe by Ian Murphy on 82 minute.
87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
88' Jeremy Rafanello gets the nod from Philadelphia Union. He replaces Leon Flach and will look to change the dynamic.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Philadelphia Union.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
3
Jack Elliott
10
Daniel Gazdag ↓ Danley Jean Jacques 15'
31
Leon Flach ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 88'
33
Quinn Sullivan
16
Jack McGlynn
26
Nathan Harriel
5
Jacob Glesnes ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 65'
7
Mikkel Uhre
28
Tai Baribo

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Sergio Santos 60'
6
Chidozie Awaziem ↓ Alvas Powell 59'
10
Luciano Acosta
27
Yamil Asad ↓ Corey Baird 82'
12
Miles Robinson
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Nicholas Gioacchini 69'
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Ian Murphy 82'
18
Roman Celentano

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 82'
36
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 59'
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 60'
9
Nicholas Gioacchini ↑ 69'
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 82'
19
Kevin Kelsy
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Damiani	5
Tai Baribo	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Paxten Aaronson	3
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Quinn Sullivan	2
Evander	1

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-10-05 Columbus Crew SC 3–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-10-02 Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union L 2024-09-28 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-22 Philadelphia Union 4–0 D.C. United SC W 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2024-09-19 Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.6 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.9 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union47% Draw23% FC Cincinnati30%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.5

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	81%	19%
± 3.5	64%	36%
± 4.5	46%	54%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

70%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

53%

Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Philadelphia Union41% Draw35% FC Cincinnati24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 1

6.2%

3 – 1

3 – 2

5.6%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 3

4.1%

2 – 0

3.9%

4 – 1

3.9%

4 – 2

3.7%

3 – 3

3.6%

3 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	15%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	18%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	13%	15%
+1.5	85%	—	15%
+2	85%	8%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.