Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

Philadelphia Union

1 – 2

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 22:00 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Tai Baribo 38' Y

Y 59' Obinna Nwobodo

Jack Elliott 64' Y

Y 66' Yamil Asad

Y 68' Luca Orellano

Kai Wagner 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.

Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

Philadelphia Union 15 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	1–2	L
05 Oct	Columbus Crew SC	A	2–3	L
02 Oct	Orlando City SC	A	1–2	L
28 Sep	Atlanta United FC	H	1–1	D
22 Sep	D.C. United SC	H	4–0	W
18 Sep	New York City FC	A	5–1	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	Philadelphia Union	A	2–1	W
05 Oct	Orlando City SC	H	1–3	L
02 Oct	New York City FC	A	2–3	L
28 Sep	Los Angeles FC	H	1–2	L
22 Sep	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
19 Sep	Minnesota United FC	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union		FC Cincinnati
#13	Position	#6
16	Points	26
18	Played	18
4 / 4 / 10	W / D / L	7 / 5 / 6
25	Scored	45
33	Conceded	44
-8	GD	+1
0.89	PPG	1.44
22%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FC Cincinnati kicks off things out of here…
2' The deadlock is broken! Quinn Sullivan gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
7' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
15' Philadelphia Union manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Danley Jean Jacques is hanging Daniel Gazdag on the field on 15 minute.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jacob Glesnes, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 5 goals in the last 5 games.
35' Philadelphia Union currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
38' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tai Baribo.
43' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
46' Magnificent from Jacob Glesnes! That is 6 goals in 289 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
49' Yamil Asad does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
54' The 29-year-old Chidozie Awaziem has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Obinna Nwobodo on 59.
59' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Chidozie Awaziem has done his job and it is now time for Alvas Powell to step up.
60' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 60 minute. Yuya Kubo leaves to be changed by Sergio Santos.
64' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Jack Elliott gets a card.
65' Alejandro Bedoya has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Glesnes on 65 minute.
66' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yamil Asad on 66.
68' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Luca Orellano gets a card.
69' Luca Orellano makes way for Nicholas Gioacchini at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
74' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Philadelphia Union side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
79' It is a cagey affair so far. Philadelphia Union in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
80' Kai Wagner has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
82' The crowd applauds Teenage Hadebe as he leaves the pitch. Ian Murphy steps in for FC Cincinnati.
87' Philadelphia Union is showing some good football. However, Philadelphia Union are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
88' The whistle greets Leon Flach as he departs to be replaced by Jeremy Rafanello.
It finishes all square. Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
18
Andre Blake
3
Jack Elliott
10
Daniel Gazdag ↓ Danley Jean Jacques 15'
31
Leon Flach ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 88'
33
Quinn Sullivan
16
Jack McGlynn
26
Nathan Harriel
5
Jacob Glesnes ↓ Alejandro Bedoya 65'
7
Mikkel Uhre
28
Tai Baribo

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

91
DeAndre Yedlin
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Sergio Santos 60'
6
Chidozie Awaziem ↓ Alvas Powell 59'
10
Luciano Acosta
27
Yamil Asad ↓ Corey Baird 82'
12
Miles Robinson
20
Pavel Bucha
5
Obinna Nwobodo
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Nicholas Gioacchini 69'
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Ian Murphy 82'
18
Roman Celentano

Bench

11
Corey Baird ↑ 82'
36
Evan Louro
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 59'
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 60'
9
Nicholas Gioacchini ↑ 69'
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 82'
19
Kevin Kelsy
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tai Baribo	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Paxten Aaronson	3
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Bruno Damiani	2
Daniel Gazdag	1
Jack Elliott	1

Head to Head

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-10-05 Columbus Crew SC 3–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-10-02 Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union L 2024-09-28 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2024-09-22 Philadelphia Union 4–0 D.C. United SC W 2024-09-18 New York City FC 1–5 Philadelphia Union W

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L 2024-09-22 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2024-09-19 Minnesota United FC 1–2 FC Cincinnati W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.05 Philadelphia Union xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.24 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union36% Draw24% FC Cincinnati40%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.29

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	42%	58%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw

59%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

64%

Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Philadelphia Union30% Draw36% FC Cincinnati34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

6.3%

2 – 3

5.1%

1 – 3

5.1%

3 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

4.3%

0 – 2

3.6%

3 – 3

3.5%

2 – 0

2 – 4

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap	Philadelphia Union covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	11%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	16%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	17%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	13%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.