Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.
- Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 02 Oct | Orlando City SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sep | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | New York City FC | A | 5–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Oct | New York City FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Sep | Los Angeles FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Sep | Minnesota United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Philadelphia Union | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #7 |
| 7 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 1 / 4 / 10 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 18 | Scored | 36 |
| 30 | Conceded | 37 |
| -12 | GD | -1 |
| 0.47 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 7% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: FC Cincinnati gets underway.
- 2' A goal from the USA international Quinn Sullivan! He fires home on 2 to make it 1-0!
- 7' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 12' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 15' A change in the Philadelphia Union ranks — Daniel Gazdag exits the field as Danley Jean Jacques enters on 15.
- 20' Andre Blake, a Jamaica , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' It is a cagey affair so far. Philadelphia Union in their trying to find a way past FC Cincinnati's compact .
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 35' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 38' The referee has no hesitation. Tai Baribo is booked for Philadelphia Union — card on 38.
- 43' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 46' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jacob Glesnes makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 49' Yamil Asad does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
- 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yuya Kubo, as he is very good at scoring at Subaru Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 59' A moment of madness from Obinna Nwobodo on 59 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 59' Alvas Powell is ready to make an impact after coming on for Chidozie Awaziem at the 59 minute mark.
- 60' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Sergio Santos comes on to replace Yuya Kubo.
- 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jack Elliott on 64.
- 65' The crowd applauds Jacob Glesnes as he leaves the pitch. Alejandro Bedoya steps in for Philadelphia Union.
- 66' The referee calls foul for Yamil Asad. He receives a card.
- 68' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Luca Orellano gets a card.
- 69' Nicholas Gioacchini has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luca Orellano on 69 minute.
- 74' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 79' Philadelphia Union currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 80' Kai Wagner has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 80.
- 82' The supporters are chanting for Ian Murphy. He replaces Teenage Hadebe on 82 minute.
- 87' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 88' Jeremy Rafanello has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leon Flach on 88 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Cincinnati to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 18
- 3
- 10
-
31
Leon Flach ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 88'
- 33
- 16
- 26
- 5
- 7
- 28
Bench
-
11
Alejandro Bedoya ↑ 65'
- 15
- 9
- 20
-
21
Danley Jean Jacques ↑ 15'
- 25
-
14
Jeremy Rafanello ↑ 88'
- 76
- 6
Coach
Jim Curtin
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Sergio Santos 60'
-
6
Chidozie Awaziem ↓ Alvas Powell 59'
- 10
-
27
Yamil Asad ↓ Corey Baird 82'
- 12
- 20
- 5
- 23
-
16
Teenage Hadebe ↓ Ian Murphy 82'
- 18
Bench
-
11
Corey Baird ↑ 82'
- 36
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 59'
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 60'
-
9
Nicholas Gioacchini ↑ 69'
-
32
Ian Murphy ↑ 82'
- 19
- 26
- 22
Coach
Pat Noonan
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Bruno Damiani | 2 |
| Jesus Bueno | 1 |
| Aaron Boupendza | 1 |
Head to Head
Philadelphia Union Form
2024-10-19
Philadelphia Union
1–2
FC Cincinnati
L
2024-10-05
Columbus Crew SC
3–2
Philadelphia Union
L
2024-10-02
Orlando City SC
2–1
Philadelphia Union
L
2024-09-28
Philadelphia Union
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-09-22
Philadelphia Union
4–0
D.C. United SC
W
2024-09-18
New York City FC
1–5
Philadelphia Union
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.87
Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.14
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Philadelphia Union or Draw
57%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
67%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 3
5.2%
3 – 2
4.3%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
0 – 1
3.3%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 4
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union
| Handicap | Philadelphia Union covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 18% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.