Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Wed 19 Jun 2024 · 23:45 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Philadelphia Union H 4–3 W
16 Jun San Jose Earthquakes A 4–2 W
29 May Nashville SC H 0–2 L
25 May Toronto FC A 4–3 W
18 May St. Louis City H 3–1 W
15 May Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun FC Cincinnati A 3–4 L
15 Jun Internacional CF Miami H 1–2 L
01 Jun Montreal Impact FC H 2–2 D
29 May Toronto FC H 0–0 D
25 May Charlotte FC A 0–0 D
18 May New England Revolution A 3–0 W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Philadelphia Union
#6 Position #13
26 Points 16
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 4 / 4 / 10
45 Scored 25
44 Conceded 33
+1 GD -8
1.44 PPG 0.89
39% Win % 22%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 10 G 4 A
Kevin Denkey 10 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 5 G
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 8 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC Cincinnati get us underway at TQL Stadium.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 6' Kipp Keller is having his name booked by the referee on 6.
  • 11' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kai Wagner on 12.
  • 17' Obinna Nwobodo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 35 Yellow cards this season.
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 248 games and scored 361 goals.
  • 27' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' Brilliant from the ! Kevin Kelsy makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 29.
  • 34' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 39' Jack Elliott has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 43' Goal! Tai Baribo scores his 31 goal in 14 matches.
  • 48' Kai Wagner is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
  • 49' Brilliant from the ! Luciano Acosta makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 49.
  • 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' Jesus Bueno makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
  • 60' A goal from the Argentina international Luca Orellano! He fires home on 60 to make it 3-2!
  • 62' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Kipp Keller is replaced by Alvas Powell on 62 minute.
  • 67' Jacob Glesnes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 289 appearances.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Quinn Sullivan comes on to replace Mikkel Uhre.
  • 73' The whistle greets Nick Hagglund as he departs to be replaced by Yamil Asad.
  • 74' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Gerardo Valenzuela comes on to replace Yuya Kubo.
  • 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 81' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 81.
  • 83' Philadelphia Union make a change. Olivier Mbaizo trudges off to be replaced by Chris Donovan on 83 minutes.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Sergio Santos. He replaces Kevin Kelsy on 86 minute.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Tai Baribo as he leaves the pitch. Markus Anderson steps in for Philadelphia Union.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.71 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati56% Draw19% Philadelphia Union25%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
76%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
44%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Cincinnati42% Draw34% Philadelphia Union24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 15% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 18% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 13% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.