FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

FC Cincinnati

4 – 3

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Wed 19 Jun 2024 · 23:45 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Kipp Keller 6' Y

Y 12' Kai Wagner

Y 12' Jack Elliott

Y 81' Jack McGlynn

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 17 games · Avg 2.7 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-06 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jun	Philadelphia Union	H	4–3	W
16 Jun	San Jose Earthquakes	A	4–2	W
29 May	Nashville SC	H	0–2	L
25 May	Toronto FC	A	4–3	W
18 May	St. Louis City	H	3–1	W
15 May	Atlanta United FC	H	1–0	W

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jun	FC Cincinnati	A	3–4	L
15 Jun	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–2	L
01 Jun	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–2	D
29 May	Toronto FC	H	0–0	D
25 May	Charlotte FC	A	0–0	D
18 May	New England Revolution	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Philadelphia Union
#8	Position	#6
46	Points	50
34	Played	34
12 / 10 / 12	W / D / L	14 / 8 / 12
67	Scored	66
75	Conceded	52
-8	GD	+14
1.35	PPG	1.47
35%	Win %	41%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

4/6

16-30

6/7

31-45

8/7

46-60

12/2

61-75

17/5

76+

8/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski	19 G	2 A
Bruno Damiani	13 G	3 A
Cavan Sullivan	9 G	6 A

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at TQL Stadium as FC Cincinnati face off against Philadelphia Union in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' Philadelphia Union looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Bruno Damiani scoring 3 goals.
6' Kipp Keller is having his name booked by the referee on 6.
11' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
12' It’s gonna be a card for Kai Wagner.
17' Luciano Acosta has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
22' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
27' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
29' The deadlock is broken! Kevin Kelsy gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
39' Philadelphia Union have won 521 goals from 305 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
43' Tai Baribo doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
48' With 1 assists to his name this season, Obinna Nwobodo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Philadelphia Union.
49' Luciano Acosta puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
54' FC Cincinnati currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
55' The deadlock is broken! Jesus Bueno gets on the scoresheet on 55 minutes.
60' Sensational shot from Luca Orellano. FC Cincinnati is back in the lead.
62' The crowd applauds Kipp Keller as he leaves the pitch. Alvas Powell steps in for FC Cincinnati.
67' Quinn Sullivan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
71' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Mikkel Uhre is replaced by Quinn Sullivan.
73' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Nick Hagglund has done his job and it is now time for Yamil Asad to step up.
74' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Gerardo Valenzuela comes on to replace Yuya Kubo.
79' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Philadelphia Union's compact .
81' Jack McGlynn is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
83' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Olivier Mbaizo is replaced by Chris Donovan.
86' The whistle greets Kevin Kelsy as he departs to be replaced by Sergio Santos.
90' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Markus Anderson comes on to replace Tai Baribo.
Game over. The scoreline of 4-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 62'
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 73'
1
Alec Kann
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 86'
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 86'
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 74'
34
London Aghedo

Coach Pat Noonan

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tai Baribo	5
Bruno Damiani	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Luciano Acosta	3
Paxten Aaronson	3
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Quinn Sullivan	2
Olivier Mbaizo	1

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union W 2024-06-16 San Jose Earthquakes 2–4 FC Cincinnati W 2024-05-29 FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC L 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati W 2024-05-18 FC Cincinnati 3–1 St. Louis City W 2024-05-15 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Atlanta United FC W

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union L 2024-06-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2024-06-01 Philadelphia Union 2–2 Montreal Impact FC D 2024-05-29 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FC D 2024-05-25 Charlotte FC 0–0 Philadelphia Union D 2024-05-18 New England Revolution 0–3 Philadelphia Union W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.14 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.19 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati46% Draw21% Philadelphia Union33%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes78% 0% No22%

Avg goals/match: 4.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	62%	38%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

67%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

54%

FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati31% Draw36% Philadelphia Union33%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 3

3 – 2

4.9%

1 – 3

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

3 – 3

3.6%

0 – 2

3.3%

2 – 0

3.2%

2 – 4

2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	16%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	17%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	12%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.