Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Wed 19 Jun 2024 · 23:45 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Philadelphia Union H 4–3 W
16 Jun San Jose Earthquakes A 4–2 W
29 May Nashville SC H 0–2 L
25 May Toronto FC A 4–3 W
18 May St. Louis City H 3–1 W
15 May Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun FC Cincinnati A 3–4 L
15 Jun Internacional CF Miami H 1–2 L
01 Jun Montreal Impact FC H 2–2 D
29 May Toronto FC H 0–0 D
25 May Charlotte FC A 0–0 D
18 May New England Revolution A 3–0 W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Philadelphia Union
#9 Position #6
33 Points 39
26 Played 27
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 10
55 Scored 54
64 Conceded 44
-9 GD +10
1.27 PPG 1.44
31% Win % 41%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Cincinnati is hosting Philadelphia Union for another epic battle.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 6' A moment of madness from Kipp Keller on 6 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
  • 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 12' Poor challenge from Kai Wagner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 17' Kipp Keller is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
  • 22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 27' Leon Flach is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Philadelphia Union tonight.
  • 29' Kevin Kelsy adds to his 8 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 34' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 43' What composure from Tai Baribo! The Israel international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 48' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Philadelphia Union's shape.
  • 49' What a strike from Luciano Acosta! The score is 2-1.
  • 54' Luca Orellano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' GOAL! Jesus Bueno scores on 55. Assisted by Kai Wagner
  • 60' A goal from the Argentina international Luca Orellano! He fires home on 60 to make it 3-2!
  • 62' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 62 minute. Kipp Keller leaves to be changed by Alvas Powell.
  • 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 71' Quinn Sullivan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mikkel Uhre at the 71 minute mark.
  • 73' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Nick Hagglund is replaced by Yamil Asad.
  • 74' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Yuya Kubo departs to be replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
  • 79' The travelling Philadelphia Union supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 81' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 81.
  • 83' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 83 minute. Olivier Mbaizo leaves to be changed by Chris Donovan.
  • 86' Sergio Santos gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Kevin Kelsy and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Philadelphia Union manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Markus Anderson is hanging Tai Baribo on the field on 90 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Philadelphia Union.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.3 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati46% Draw20% Philadelphia Union34%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
66%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
54%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati32% Draw35% Philadelphia Union33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.2%
4 – 2
3%
1 – 4
2.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 11% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 16% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 17% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 12% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.