FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 27 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–2 | W |
| 29 May | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 May | Toronto FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 18 May | St. Louis City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–4 | L |
| 15 Jun | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 May | Toronto FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | New England Revolution | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 33 | Points | 39 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 10 |
| 55 | Scored | 54 |
| 64 | Conceded | 44 |
| -9 | GD | +10 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 31% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
26%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 16 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 8 G | 1 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 7 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Cincinnati is hosting Philadelphia Union for another epic battle.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 6' A moment of madness from Kipp Keller on 6 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
- 11' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 12' Poor challenge from Kai Wagner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 17' Kipp Keller is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Philadelphia Union so far.
- 22' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 27' Leon Flach is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Philadelphia Union tonight.
- 29' Kevin Kelsy adds to his 8 season tally! FC Cincinnati lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 34' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 39' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 43' What composure from Tai Baribo! The Israel international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 48' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Philadelphia Union's shape.
- 49' What a strike from Luciano Acosta! The score is 2-1.
- 54' Luca Orellano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 24 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 55' GOAL! Jesus Bueno scores on 55. Assisted by Kai Wagner
- 60' A goal from the Argentina international Luca Orellano! He fires home on 60 to make it 3-2!
- 62' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 62 minute. Kipp Keller leaves to be changed by Alvas Powell.
- 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 71' Quinn Sullivan is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mikkel Uhre at the 71 minute mark.
- 73' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Nick Hagglund is replaced by Yamil Asad.
- 74' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Yuya Kubo departs to be replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela.
- 79' The travelling Philadelphia Union supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 81' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 81.
- 83' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 83 minute. Olivier Mbaizo leaves to be changed by Chris Donovan.
- 86' Sergio Santos gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Kevin Kelsy and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Philadelphia Union manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Markus Anderson is hanging Tai Baribo on the field on 90 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Philadelphia Union.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 74'
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Yamil Asad 73'
- 10
- 20
- 5
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Bret Halsey 86'
- 32
- 18
-
14
Kipp Keller ↓ Alvas Powell 62'
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Sergio Santos 86'
Bench
- 9
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 62'
-
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 73'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 86'
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 86'
- 26
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 74'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 3
-
15
Olivier Mbaizo ↓ Chris Donovan 83'
- 31
- 16
- 26
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 71'
- 5
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Quinn Sullivan 71'
-
28
Tai Baribo ↓ Markus Anderson 90'
- 1
Bench
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↑ 71'
-
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 83'
-
14
Jeremy Rafanello ↑ 71'
- 29
- 22
- 76
-
35
Markus Anderson ↑ 90'
- 41
Coach
Jim Curtin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Aaron Boupendza | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2024-06-19
FC Cincinnati
4–3
Philadelphia Union
L
2024-06-15
Philadelphia Union
1–2
Internacional CF Miami
L
2024-06-01
Philadelphia Union
2–2
Montreal Impact FC
D
2024-05-29
Philadelphia Union
0–0
Toronto FC
D
2024-05-25
Charlotte FC
0–0
Philadelphia Union
D
2024-05-18
New England Revolution
0–3
Philadelphia Union
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.3
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 81%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
66%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
54%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.7%
3 – 1
4.4%
3 – 3
4%
2 – 4
3.2%
4 – 2
3%
1 – 4
2.8%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 11% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 17% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 12% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

