FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2024

FC Cincinnati

4 – 3

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Wed 19 Jun 2024 · 23:45 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Kipp Keller 6' Y

Y 12' Kai Wagner

Y 12' Jack Elliott

Y 81' Jack McGlynn

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	14	33
2	Internacional CF Miami	15	31
3	Chicago Fire FC	14	26
4	New England Revolution	14	25
5	New York Red Bulls	15	22
6	Charlotte FC	15	21
7	FC Cincinnati	15	20
8	New York City FC	15	19
9	D.C. United SC	15	18
10	Columbus Crew SC	15	16
11	Toronto FC	14	14
12	Montreal Impact FC	14	14
13	Orlando City SC	15	14
14	Atlanta United FC	14	11
15	Philadelphia Union	15	7
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	14	32
17	San Jose Earthquakes	15	32
18	Real Salt Lake	14	26
19	FC Dallas	15	25
20	Los Angeles FC	15	24
21	Seattle Sounders FC	13	24
22	Houston Dynamo	14	22
23	Minnesota United FC	15	22
24	Los Angeles Galaxy	15	20
25	San Diego FC	15	17
26	Colorado Rapids SC	15	16
27	St. Louis City	14	16
28	Portland Timbers	14	14
29	Austin FC	15	14
30	Sporting Kansas City	14	11

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 15 games · Avg 2.7 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union 2022-10-21 Philadelphia Union 1–0 FC Cincinnati 2022-08-06 FC Cincinnati 3–1 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jun	Philadelphia Union	H	4–3	W
16 Jun	San Jose Earthquakes	A	4–2	W
29 May	Nashville SC	H	0–2	L
25 May	Toronto FC	A	4–3	W
18 May	St. Louis City	H	3–1	W
15 May	Atlanta United FC	H	1–0	W

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Jun	FC Cincinnati	A	3–4	L
15 Jun	Internacional CF Miami	H	1–2	L
01 Jun	Montreal Impact FC	H	2–2	D
29 May	Toronto FC	H	0–0	D
25 May	Charlotte FC	A	0–0	D
18 May	New England Revolution	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Philadelphia Union
#7	Position	#15
20	Points	7
15	Played	15
5 / 5 / 5	W / D / L	1 / 4 / 10
36	Scored	18
37	Conceded	30
-1	GD	-12
1.33	PPG	0.47
33%	Win %	7%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

1/1

16-30

2/5

31-45

7/3

46-60

3/4

61-75

2/1

76+

8/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/4

31-45

2/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union get this one started.
5' Roman Celentano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 245 appearances.
6' Controversy at the stadium! Kipp Keller argues furiously but the card stands.
11' Philadelphia Union are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
12' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Kai Wagner gets a card.
17' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
27' Quinn Sullivan, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
29' Magnificent from Kevin Kelsy! That is 19 goals in 203 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
34' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
39' DeAndre Yedlin is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
43' Against the run of play, Tai Baribo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
48' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
49' FC Cincinnati is taking the lead after the goal scored by Luciano Acosta on 49.
54' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
55' What an equalizer from Jesus Bueno!
60' What a strike from Luca Orellano! The score is 3-2.
62' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Alvas Powell on, Kipp Keller off on 62 minutes.
67' Jack Elliott has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
71' A change in the Philadelphia Union ranks — Mikkel Uhre exits the field as Quinn Sullivan enters on 71.
73' Yamil Asad is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nick Hagglund at the 73 minute mark.
74' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gerardo Valenzuela is hanging Yuya Kubo on the field on 74 minute.
79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Leon Flach is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
81' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jack McGlynn on 81 minutes.
83' Another substitution for Philadelphia Union to replace Olivier Mbaizo by Chris Donovan on 83 minute.
86' The supporters are chanting for Sergio Santos. He replaces Kevin Kelsy on 86 minute.
90' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Markus Anderson on, Tai Baribo off on 90 minutes.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Cincinnati 4-3 Philadelphia Union.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

9
Aaron Boupendza
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 62'
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 73'
1
Alec Kann
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 86'
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 86'
26
Malik Pinto
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 74'
34
London Aghedo

Coach Pat Noonan

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jim Curtin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tai Baribo	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Paxten Aaronson	3
Luciano Acosta	3
Bruno Damiani	2
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Aaron Boupendza	1
Ilsinho	1

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union W 2024-06-16 San Jose Earthquakes 2–4 FC Cincinnati W 2024-05-29 FC Cincinnati 0–2 Nashville SC L 2024-05-25 Toronto FC 3–4 FC Cincinnati W 2024-05-18 FC Cincinnati 3–1 St. Louis City W 2024-05-15 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Atlanta United FC W

Philadelphia Union Form

2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union L 2024-06-15 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Internacional CF Miami L 2024-06-01 Philadelphia Union 2–2 Montreal Impact FC D 2024-05-29 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FC D 2024-05-25 Charlotte FC 0–0 Philadelphia Union D 2024-05-18 New England Revolution 0–3 Philadelphia Union W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.75 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.78 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati59% Draw19% Philadelphia Union22%

Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes77% 0% No23%

Avg goals/match: 4.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	65%	35%
± 4.5	46%	54%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

78%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

41%

FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union

81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati44% Draw34% Philadelphia Union22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted

4 – 3

Actual

2 – 1

7.2%

3 – 1

6.4%

2 – 2

6.2%

1 – 1

3 – 2

5.6%

1 – 2

4.7%

4 – 1

4.4%

2 – 0

4.3%

4 – 2

3.9%

3 – 0

3.8%

2 – 3

3.7%

3 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	16%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	19%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	12%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.