FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun | Philadelphia Union | H | 4–3 | W |
| 16 Jun | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 4–2 | W |
| 29 May | Nashville SC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 May | Toronto FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 18 May | St. Louis City | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 May | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–4 | L |
| 15 Jun | Internacional CF Miami | H | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Jun | Montreal Impact FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 May | Toronto FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 May | New England Revolution | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #13 |
| 26 | Points | 16 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 4 / 4 / 10 |
| 45 | Scored | 25 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +1 | GD | -8 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 0.89 |
| 39% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/5
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
4/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 8 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. FC Cincinnati get us underway at TQL Stadium.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pat Noonan will be considering his options from the bench.
- 6' Kipp Keller is having his name booked by the referee on 6.
- 11' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kai Wagner on 12.
- 17' Obinna Nwobodo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 35 Yellow cards this season.
- 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 248 games and scored 361 goals.
- 27' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 29' Brilliant from the ! Kevin Kelsy makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 29.
- 34' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 39' Jack Elliott has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 43' Goal! Tai Baribo scores his 31 goal in 14 matches.
- 48' Kai Wagner is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 49' Brilliant from the ! Luciano Acosta makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 49.
- 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Cincinnati must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 55' Jesus Bueno makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Philadelphia Union are in front.
- 60' A goal from the Argentina international Luca Orellano! He fires home on 60 to make it 3-2!
- 62' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Kipp Keller is replaced by Alvas Powell on 62 minute.
- 67' Jacob Glesnes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 6 goals in his last 289 appearances.
- 71' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Quinn Sullivan comes on to replace Mikkel Uhre.
- 73' The whistle greets Nick Hagglund as he departs to be replaced by Yamil Asad.
- 74' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Gerardo Valenzuela comes on to replace Yuya Kubo.
- 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 81' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 81.
- 83' Philadelphia Union make a change. Olivier Mbaizo trudges off to be replaced by Chris Donovan on 83 minutes.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Sergio Santos. He replaces Kevin Kelsy on 86 minute.
- 90' The crowd applauds Tai Baribo as he leaves the pitch. Markus Anderson steps in for Philadelphia Union.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-3 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 91
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 74'
-
4
Nick Hagglund ↓ Yamil Asad 73'
- 10
- 20
- 5
-
23
Luca Orellano ↓ Bret Halsey 86'
- 32
- 18
-
14
Kipp Keller ↓ Alvas Powell 62'
-
19
Kevin Kelsy ↓ Sergio Santos 86'
Bench
- 9
-
2
Alvas Powell ↑ 62'
-
27
Yamil Asad ↑ 73'
- 1
-
17
Sergio Santos ↑ 86'
-
15
Bret Halsey ↑ 86'
- 26
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 74'
- 34
Coach
Pat Noonan
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
- 3
-
15
Olivier Mbaizo ↓ Chris Donovan 83'
- 31
- 16
- 26
-
20
Jesus Bueno ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 71'
- 5
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↓ Quinn Sullivan 71'
-
28
Tai Baribo ↓ Markus Anderson 90'
- 1
Bench
-
33
Quinn Sullivan ↑ 71'
-
25
Chris Donovan ↑ 83'
-
14
Jeremy Rafanello ↑ 71'
- 29
- 22
- 76
-
35
Markus Anderson ↑ 90'
- 41
Coach
Jim Curtin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Bruno Damiani | 2 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Jacob Glesnes | 1 |
| Marco Fabian | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2024-06-19
FC Cincinnati
4–3
Philadelphia Union
L
2024-06-15
Philadelphia Union
1–2
Internacional CF Miami
L
2024-06-01
Philadelphia Union
2–2
Montreal Impact FC
D
2024-05-29
Philadelphia Union
0–0
Toronto FC
D
2024-05-25
Charlotte FC
0–0
Philadelphia Union
D
2024-05-18
New England Revolution
0–3
Philadelphia Union
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.71
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
76%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
44%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 1
5.8%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
4%
4 – 2
3.9%
2 – 0
3.7%
3 – 3
3.7%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 15% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 18% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 13% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 8% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

