Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Philadelphia Union
4 – 1
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 00:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 76' Obinna Nwobodo

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

9
3
4
Philadelphia Union 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FC Cincinnati H 4–1 W
23 Feb Orlando City SC A 4–2 W
19 Oct FC Cincinnati H 1–2 L
05 Oct Columbus Crew SC A 2–3 L
02 Oct Orlando City SC A 1–2 L
28 Sep Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Philadelphia Union A 1–4 L
23 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–0 W
19 Oct Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
05 Oct Orlando City SC H 1–3 L
02 Oct New York City FC A 2–3 L
28 Sep Los Angeles FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union FC Cincinnati
#6 Position #9
39 Points 33
27 Played 26
11 / 6 / 10 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 9
54 Scored 55
44 Conceded 64
+10 GD -9
1.44 PPG 1.27
41% Win % 31%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Philadelphia Union and FC Cincinnati is underway.
  • 5' Philadelphia Union is showing some good football. However, Philadelphia Union are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 6' Tai Baribo doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 11' Alvas Powell has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 16' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 26' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' Tai Baribo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 35' It’s high time Pat Noonan made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 40' Kenji Mboma has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 252 appearances.
  • 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 50' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 52' The Israel Tai Baribo breaks the deadlock on 52 minutes. 3-0!
  • 57' Philadelphia Union is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 58' GOAL! Evander fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 58' Yuya Kubo makes way for Corey Baird at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Bret Halsey. He replaces DeAndre Yedlin on 59 minute.
  • 64' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
  • 69' A change in the Philadelphia Union ranks — Mikkel Uhre exits the field as Bruno Damiani enters on 69.
  • 70' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Gilberto Flores departs to be replaced by Alvas Powell.
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for DeAndre Yedlin suffering a number of foals already.
  • 76' Obinna Nwobodo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
  • 81' The 32-year-old Yuya Kubo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 82' Indiana Vassilev is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Gazdag at the 82 minute mark.
  • 85' FC Cincinnati make a change. Lukas Engel trudges off to be replaced by Kenji Mboma on 85 minutes.
  • 89' Another change for Philadelphia Union made on 89 minute. Jovan Lukic leaves to be changed by Jesus Bueno.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Bruno Damiani 5
Tai Baribo 5
Brandon Vazquez 4
Luciano Acosta 3
Paxten Aaronson 3
Alejandro Bedoya 2
Quinn Sullivan 2
Jacob Glesnes 1

Head to Head

2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-02-23 Orlando City SC 2–4 Philadelphia Union W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-10-05 Columbus Crew SC 3–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-10-02 Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union L 2024-09-28 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Atlanta United FC D

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.98 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union55% Draw20% FC Cincinnati25%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 70%
30%
± 4.5 52%
48%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
75%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
45%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union46% Draw33% FC Cincinnati21%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
5%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
3.7%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 16% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 18% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 12% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.