Thursday , 2 July 2026

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Philadelphia Union
4 – 1
Full Time
FC Cincinnati
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 00:30 UTC Subaru Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 76' Obinna Nwobodo

Overview

Match Preview

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Subaru Park.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 14 33
2 Internacional CF Miami 15 31
3 Chicago Fire FC 14 26
4 New England Revolution 14 25
5 New York Red Bulls 15 22
6 Charlotte FC 15 21
7 FC Cincinnati 15 20
8 New York City FC 15 19
9 D.C. United SC 15 18
10 Columbus Crew SC 15 16
11 Toronto FC 14 14
12 Montreal Impact FC 14 14
13 Orlando City SC 15 14
14 Atlanta United FC 14 11
15 Philadelphia Union 15 7
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 14 32
17 San Jose Earthquakes 15 32
18 Real Salt Lake 14 26
19 FC Dallas 15 25
20 Los Angeles FC 15 24
21 Seattle Sounders FC 13 24
22 Houston Dynamo 14 22
23 Minnesota United FC 15 22
24 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 20
25 San Diego FC 15 17
26 Colorado Rapids SC 15 16
27 St. Louis City 14 16
28 Portland Timbers 14 14
29 Austin FC 15 14
30 Sporting Kansas City 14 11

Head-to-Head

8
3
4
Philadelphia Union 15 games · Avg 2.7 goals FC Cincinnati
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union

Recent Form

Philadelphia Union
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar FC Cincinnati H 4–1 W
23 Feb Orlando City SC A 4–2 W
19 Oct FC Cincinnati H 1–2 L
05 Oct Columbus Crew SC A 2–3 L
02 Oct Orlando City SC A 1–2 L
28 Sep Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Philadelphia Union A 1–4 L
23 Feb New York Red Bulls H 1–0 W
19 Oct Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
05 Oct Orlando City SC H 1–3 L
02 Oct New York City FC A 2–3 L
28 Sep Los Angeles FC H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Philadelphia Union FC Cincinnati
#15 Position #7
7 Points 20
15 Played 15
1 / 4 / 10 W / D / L 5 / 5 / 5
18 Scored 36
30 Conceded 37
-12 GD -1
0.47 PPG 1.33
7% Win % 33%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Subaru Park. Philadelphia Union are looking to make home advantage count against FC Cincinnati.
  • 5' Miles Robinson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
  • 6' Tai Baribo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
  • 11' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 16' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 21' A quiet spell here at Subaru Park. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 26' FC Cincinnati have won 352 goals from 245 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 30' Tai Baribo has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 30 minutes.
  • 35' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Gilberto Flores, a Paraguay , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 45' DeAndre Yedlin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 50' Philadelphia Union are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
  • 52' Tai Baribo adds to his 3 season tally! Philadelphia Union lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 57' It’s high time Bradley Carnell made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' GOAL! Evander fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 58' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Corey Baird on, Yuya Kubo off on 58 minutes.
  • 59' Bret Halsey has so much to prove this time. He replaces DeAndre Yedlin on 59 minute.
  • 64' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 69' The whistle greets Mikkel Uhre as he departs to be replaced by Bruno Damiani.
  • 70' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Gilberto Flores has done his job and it is now time for Alvas Powell to step up.
  • 75' Teenage Hadebe has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 76' Obinna Nwobodo was booked on 76.
  • 81' The 31-year-old Alvas Powell has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 82' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Indiana Vassilev on, Daniel Gazdag off on 82 minutes.
  • 85' Lukas Engel makes way for Kenji Mboma at the 85 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 89' The whistle greets Jovan Lukic as he departs to be replaced by Jesus Bueno.
  • Another three points for Philadelphia Union.

Lineups

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Tai Baribo 5
Brandon Vazquez 4
Luciano Acosta 3
Paxten Aaronson 3
Bruno Damiani 2
Alejandro Bedoya 2
Haris Medunjanin 1
Quinn Sullivan 1

Head to Head

2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati 2023-04-08 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati W 2025-02-23 Orlando City SC 2–4 Philadelphia Union W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-10-05 Columbus Crew SC 3–2 Philadelphia Union L 2024-10-02 Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union L 2024-09-28 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Atlanta United FC D

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati L 2025-02-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York Red Bulls W 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati W 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC L 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati L 2024-09-28 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Los Angeles FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.26 Philadelphia Union xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.26 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Philadelphia Union41% Draw22% FC Cincinnati37%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

Philadelphia Union or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
59%
Philadelphia Union or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Philadelphia Union32% Draw35% FC Cincinnati33%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 3
5.1%
3 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
2.9%
2 – 0
2.9%
2 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Philadelphia Union

Handicap Philadelphia Union covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 12% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 16% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 16% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.