FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

FC Cincinnati

0 – 1

Full Time

Philadelphia Union

Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 21' Olwethu Makhanya

Dominik Marczuk 21' Y

Y 45' Jacob Glesnes

Y 51' Nathan Harriel

YR 60' Olwethu Makhanya

Y 85' Frankie Westfield

Kevin Denkey 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.

FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Philadelphia Union 18 games · 16 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	18	40
2	Internacional CF Miami	18	38
3	New England Revolution	18	30
4	Chicago Fire FC	17	29
5	New York City FC	18	26
6	FC Cincinnati	18	26
7	Charlotte FC	18	25
8	New York Red Bulls	18	25
9	D.C. United SC	18	23
10	Columbus Crew SC	18	20
11	Orlando City SC	18	20
12	Toronto FC	18	17
13	Philadelphia Union	18	16
14	Montreal Impact FC	18	16
15	Atlanta United FC	18	12
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	17	34
17	Los Angeles FC	19	34
18	San Jose Earthquakes	18	33
19	Houston Dynamo	18	32
20	FC Dallas	18	27
21	Real Salt Lake	17	27
22	St. Louis City	18	26
23	Portland Timbers	18	24
24	Seattle Sounders FC	17	24
25	Minnesota United FC	18	24
26	Colorado Rapids SC	18	22
27	Los Angeles Galaxy	19	22
28	San Diego FC	18	21
29	Austin FC	18	17
30	Sporting Kansas City	18	14

Head-to-Head

FC Cincinnati 15 games · Avg 2.7 goals Philadelphia Union

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Philadelphia Union	H	0–1	L
23 Aug	New York City FC	H	0–1	L
17 Aug	Portland Timbers	A	3–2	W
10 Aug	Charlotte FC	H	0–1	L
26 Jul	Internacional CF Miami	A	0–0	D
20 Jul	Real Salt Lake	A	1–0	W

Philadelphia Union

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	FC Cincinnati	A	1–0	W
23 Aug	Chicago Fire FC	H	4–0	W
16 Aug	New York Red Bulls	A	0–1	L
09 Aug	Toronto FC	H	1–1	D
26 Jul	Colorado Rapids SC	H	3–1	W
20 Jul	Houston Dynamo	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati		Philadelphia Union
#6	Position	#13
26	Points	16
18	Played	18
7 / 5 / 6	W / D / L	4 / 4 / 10
45	Scored	25
44	Conceded	33
+1	GD	-8
1.44	PPG	0.89
39%	Win %	22%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

22% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Philadelphia Union are 13th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/7

31-45

9/5

46-60

4/7

61-75

2/1

76+

11/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Philadelphia Union

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/5

31-45

3/3

46-60

3/1

61-75

4/2

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati

Evander	10 G	4 A
Kevin Denkey	10 G	1 A
Tom Barlow	5 G

Philadelphia Union

Milan Iloski

8 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union is underway.
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
21' That looks like a foul for a card for Olwethu Makhanya.
26' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
36' Over 36 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
41' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Philadelphia Union that had 289 games and scored 484 goals.
45' Jacob Glesnes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
49' Bruno Damiani does the damage! The net is bulging and Philadelphia Union surge ahead!
51' Nathan Harriel is having his name booked by the referee on 51.
56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
60' It’s a booking for Philadelphia Union player. Olwethu Makhanya gets a card.
63' Fresh legs for Philadelphia Union! Frankie Westfield comes on to replace Quinn Sullivan.
64' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Dominik Marczuk is replaced by Luca Orellano on 64 minute.
65' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Brian Anunga is replaced by Gerardo Valenzuela on 65 minute.
70' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
74' Mikkel Uhre is replacing Bruno Damiani for the Philadelphia Union side.
79' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
84' Milan Iloski makes way for Jeremy Rafanello at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Frankie Westfield on 85.
89' Kei Kamara gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Lukas Engel and will look to change the dynamic.
90' A moment of madness from Kevin Denkey on 90 minutes earns him a card. FC Cincinnati will be frustrated.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia Union.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

10
Evander
21
Matt Miazga
4
Nick Hagglund
20
Pavel Bucha
9
Kevin Denkey
27
Brian Anunga ↓ Gerardo Valenzuela 65'
18
Roman Celentano
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Kei Kamara 89'
–
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Luca Orellano 64'
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 74'

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

27
Kai Wagner
32
Milan Iloski ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 84'
33
Quinn Sullivan ↓ Frankie Westfield 63'
26
Nathan Harriel
21
Danley Jean Jacques
5
Jacob Glesnes
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Indiana Vassilev 63'
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Mikkel Uhre 74'
29
Olwethu Makhanya
76
Andrew Rick
4
Jovan Lukic

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Tai Baribo	5
Brandon Vazquez	4
Paxten Aaronson	3
Luciano Acosta	3
Bruno Damiani	2
Alejandro Bedoya	2
Kacper Przybylko	1
Luca Orellano	1

Head to Head

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-08-17 Portland Timbers 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-08-10 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Charlotte FC L 2025-07-26 Internacional CF Miami 0–0 FC Cincinnati D 2025-07-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-23 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC D 2025-07-26 Philadelphia Union 3–1 Colorado Rapids SC W 2025-07-20 Houston Dynamo 1–1 Philadelphia Union D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.09 FC Cincinnati xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.72 Philadelphia Union xG

I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union 75% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Cincinnati43% Draw25% Philadelphia Union32%

Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.81

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	33%	67%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw

68%

Draw or Philadelphia Union

57%

FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Cincinnati35% Draw39% Philadelphia Union26%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–1 not predicted

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

8.8%

2 – 1

8.1%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 2

6.7%

3 – 1

5.6%

2 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.8%

1 – 0

4.2%

2 – 3

3.9%

1 – 3

3.8%

0 – 0

3.4%

0 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap	FC Cincinnati covers	Push	Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	14%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	19%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	15%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	9%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet

13% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.