FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 15 games · 7 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | Houston Dynamo | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #15 |
| 20 | Points | 7 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 10 |
| 36 | Scored | 18 |
| 37 | Conceded | 30 |
| -1 | GD | -12 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 0.47 |
| 33% | Win % | 7% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). Philadelphia Union are 15th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/4
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' FC Cincinnati have kicked off against Philadelphia Union. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The travelling Philadelphia Union supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Philadelphia Union backline.
- 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 21' Poor challenge from Olwethu Makhanya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 26' With 0 assists to his name this season, Indiana Vassilev is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 31' Matt Miazga is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 36' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 41' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bradley Carnell might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 45' Jacob Glesnes is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 49' Against the run of play, Bruno Damiani has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 51' Nathan Harriel has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 51.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Philadelphia Union's compact .
- 60' That is a card for Philadelphia Union. Olwethu Makhanya will be fuming at that decision.
- 63' Another substitution for Philadelphia Union to replace Quinn Sullivan by Frankie Westfield on 63 minute.
- 64' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Dominik Marczuk exits the field as Luca Orellano enters on 64.
- 65' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Brian Anunga has done his job and it is now time for Gerardo Valenzuela to step up.
- 70' USA international Frankie Westfield has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 74' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Bruno Damiani is replaced by Mikkel Uhre on 74 minute.
- 79' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 84' Time for substitution for Philadelphia Union. Milan Iloski is replaced by Jeremy Rafanello.
- 85' Frankie Westfield picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 89' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Lukas Engel departs to be replaced by Kei Kamara.
- 90' Kevin Denkey catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- With this win, Philadelphia Union is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 4
- 20
- 9
- 27
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Kei Kamara 89'
-
–
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Luca Orellano 64'
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 74'
Bench
- 13
- 2
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 89'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 64'
- 16
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 65'
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 74'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
32
Milan Iloski ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 84'
- 33
- 26
- 21
- 5
-
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Indiana Vassilev 63'
-
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Mikkel Uhre 74'
- 29
- 76
- 4
Bench
- 11
- 15
-
19
Indiana Vassilev ↑ 63'
- 8
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↑ 74'
-
14
Jeremy Rafanello ↑ 84'
- 6
-
39
Frankie Westfield ↑ 63'
Coach
Bradley Carnell
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Bruno Damiani | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 1 |
| Evander | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-08-30
FC Cincinnati
0–1
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-08-23
Philadelphia Union
4–0
Chicago Fire FC
W
2025-08-16
New York Red Bulls
1–0
Philadelphia Union
L
2025-08-09
Philadelphia Union
1–1
Toronto FC
D
2025-07-26
Philadelphia Union
3–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2025-07-20
Houston Dynamo
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.12
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
70%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
55%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.7%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.5%
0 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
13%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

