FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Philadelphia Union 34 games · 50 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | New York City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Aug | Portland Timbers | A | 3–2 | W |
| 10 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Jul | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Real Salt Lake | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Toronto FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Jul | Colorado Rapids SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | Houston Dynamo | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Philadelphia Union | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #6 |
| 46 | Points | 50 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 14 / 8 / 12 |
| 67 | Scored | 66 |
| 75 | Conceded | 52 |
| -8 | GD | +14 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season
Philadelphia Union this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Philadelphia Union
| Milan Iloski | 19 G | 2 A |
| Bruno Damiani | 13 G | 3 A |
| Cavan Sullivan | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union has kicked off!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' With 3 assists to his name this season, Quinn Sullivan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 263 games and scored 381 goals.
- 20' Kai Wagner, a Germany defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 21' Olwethu Makhanya catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 21.
- 26' Pavel Bucha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
- 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
- 36' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 41' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
- 45' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 45.
- 49' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bruno Damiani makes it 0-1.
- 51' Nathan Harriel picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 60' The referee has no hesitation. Olwethu Makhanya is booked for Philadelphia Union — card on 60.
- 63' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Quinn Sullivan is replaced by Frankie Westfield on 63 minute.
- 64' Luca Orellano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dominik Marczuk on 64 minute.
- 65' Gerardo Valenzuela is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brian Anunga at the 65 minute mark.
- 70' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 74' Bruno Damiani makes way for Mikkel Uhre at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
- 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 84' The crowd applauds Milan Iloski as he leaves the pitch. Jeremy Rafanello steps in for Philadelphia Union.
- 85' Frankie Westfield is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
- 89' Lukas Engel makes way for Kei Kamara at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kevin Denkey.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Philadelphia Union to claim maximum points.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 21
- 4
- 20
- 9
- 27
- 18
-
29
Lukas Engel ↓ Kei Kamara 89'
-
–
Dominik Marczuk ↓ Luca Orellano 64'
-
66
Ender Echenique ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 74'
Bench
- 13
- 2
-
85
Kei Kamara ↑ 89'
-
23
Luca Orellano ↑ 64'
- 16
- 37
-
22
Gerardo Valenzuela ↑ 65'
-
26
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 74'
- 3
Coach
Pat Noonan
Philadelphia Union Lineups
Starting XI
- 27
-
32
Milan Iloski ↓ Jeremy Rafanello 84'
- 33
- 26
- 21
- 5
-
9
Tai Baribo ↓ Indiana Vassilev 63'
-
20
Bruno Damiani ↓ Mikkel Uhre 74'
- 29
- 76
- 4
Bench
- 11
- 15
-
19
Indiana Vassilev ↑ 63'
- 8
-
7
Mikkel Uhre ↑ 74'
-
14
Jeremy Rafanello ↑ 84'
- 6
-
39
Frankie Westfield ↑ 63'
Coach
Bradley Carnell
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tai Baribo | 5 |
| Bruno Damiani | 5 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 |
| Paxten Aaronson | 3 |
| Alejandro Bedoya | 2 |
| Quinn Sullivan | 2 |
| Olivier Mbaizo | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Philadelphia Union Form
2025-08-30
FC Cincinnati
0–1
Philadelphia Union
W
2025-08-23
Philadelphia Union
4–0
Chicago Fire FC
W
2025-08-16
New York Red Bulls
1–0
Philadelphia Union
L
2025-08-09
Philadelphia Union
1–1
Toronto FC
D
2025-07-26
Philadelphia Union
3–1
Colorado Rapids SC
W
2025-07-20
Houston Dynamo
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97
Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Philadelphia Union win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
57%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
69%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Philadelphia Union covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 20% | 27% |
| +1.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +2 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

