Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
FC Cincinnati
0 – 1
Full Time
Philadelphia Union
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 21' Olwethu Makhanya
Dominik Marczuk 21' Y
Y 45' Jacob Glesnes
Y 51' Nathan Harriel
YR 60' Olwethu Makhanya
Y 85' Frankie Westfield
Kevin Denkey 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union — MLS at TQL Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 60
2 Internacional CF Miami 27 46
3 New England Revolution 27 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 43
5 Chicago Fire FC 26 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 39
7 Orlando City SC 27 34
8 New York City FC 27 33
9 FC Cincinnati 26 33
10 New York Red Bulls 26 33
11 D.C. United SC 26 30
12 Columbus Crew SC 27 29
13 Toronto FC 27 29
14 Atlanta United FC 27 27
15 Montreal Impact FC 27 24
16 Vancouver Whitecaps FC 26 50
17 FC Dallas 27 47
18 San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
19 St. Louis City 26 44
20 Houston Dynamo 27 44
21 Los Angeles FC 28 41
22 Colorado Rapids SC 27 36
23 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
24 Seattle Sounders FC 26 35
25 San Diego FC 27 32
26 Portland Timbers 27 32
27 Real Salt Lake 27 32
28 Austin FC 27 31
29 Minnesota United FC 27 29
30 Sporting Kansas City 26 21

Head-to-Head

4
3
9
FC Cincinnati 16 games · Avg 2.8 goals Philadelphia Union
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

FC Cincinnati
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
23 Aug New York City FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Portland Timbers A 3–2 W
10 Aug Charlotte FC H 0–1 L
26 Jul Internacional CF Miami A 0–0 D
20 Jul Real Salt Lake A 1–0 W
Philadelphia Union
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
23 Aug Chicago Fire FC H 4–0 W
16 Aug New York Red Bulls A 0–1 L
09 Aug Toronto FC H 1–1 D
26 Jul Colorado Rapids SC H 3–1 W
20 Jul Houston Dynamo A 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Philadelphia Union
#9 Position #6
33 Points 39
26 Played 27
8 / 9 / 9 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 10
55 Scored 54
64 Conceded 44
-9 GD +10
1.27 PPG 1.44
31% Win % 41%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
26% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
4/7
31-45
6/4
46-60
9/1
61-75
14/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 16 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 8 G 1 A
Cavan Sullivan 7 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union get this one started.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Philadelphia Union come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Olwethu Makhanya is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
  • 20' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Philadelphia Union's shape.
  • 21' A meaty challenge results in booking for Olwethu Makhanya on 21.
  • 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Quinn Sullivan made 293 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 36' Philadelphia Union fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 41' Kai Wagner is a natural defender and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Cincinnati tonight.
  • 45' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 45.
  • 49' Bruno Damiani puts Philadelphia Union on the lead.
  • 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nathan Harriel on 51.
  • 56' Philadelphia Union is showing some good football. However, Philadelphia Union are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' Olwethu Makhanya catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 60.
  • 63' The Philadelphia Union manager makes a substitution. Quinn Sullivan departs to be replaced by Frankie Westfield.
  • 64' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Dominik Marczuk is withdrawn and Luca Orellano gets his opportunity.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Gerardo Valenzuela. He replaces Brian Anunga on 65 minute.
  • 70' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Cincinnati side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 74' A tactical swap from Philadelphia Union — Mikkel Uhre on, Bruno Damiani off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 84' The Philadelphia Union bench stirs into life. Milan Iloski is withdrawn and Jeremy Rafanello gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Controversy at the stadium! Frankie Westfield argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 89' A tactical swap from FC Cincinnati — Kei Kamara on, Lukas Engel off on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Kevin Denkey picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • With this win, Philadelphia Union is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pat Noonan

Philadelphia Union Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bradley Carnell

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Bruno Damiani 5
Tai Baribo 5
Brandon Vazquez 4
Paxten Aaronson 3
Luciano Acosta 3
Quinn Sullivan 2
Alejandro Bedoya 2
Jose Martinez 1

Head to Head

2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union 2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati 2024-10-19 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati 2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union 2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Form

2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC L 2025-08-17 Portland Timbers 2–3 FC Cincinnati W 2025-08-10 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Charlotte FC L 2025-07-26 Internacional CF Miami 0–0 FC Cincinnati D 2025-07-20 Real Salt Lake 0–1 FC Cincinnati W

Philadelphia Union Form

2025-08-30 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union W 2025-08-23 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Chicago Fire FC W 2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union L 2025-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC D 2025-07-26 Philadelphia Union 3–1 Colorado Rapids SC W 2025-07-20 Houston Dynamo 1–1 Philadelphia Union D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.68 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.17 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union 76% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati31% Draw24% Philadelphia Union45%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 34%
66%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
56%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
69%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati25% Draw38% Philadelphia Union37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.3%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
4.9%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 15% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 19% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 15% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.