Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Philadelphia Union H 0–1 L
23 Aug New York City FC H 0–1 L
17 Aug Portland Timbers A 3–2 W
10 Aug Charlotte FC H 0–1 L
26 Jul Internacional CF Miami A 0–0 D
20 Jul Real Salt Lake A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug FC Cincinnati A 1–0 W
23 Aug Chicago Fire FC H 4–0 W
16 Aug New York Red Bulls A 0–1 L
09 Aug Toronto FC H 1–1 D
26 Jul Colorado Rapids SC H 3–1 W
20 Jul Houston Dynamo A 1–1 D

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati Philadelphia Union
#8 Position #6
46 Points 50
34 Played 34
12 / 10 / 12 W / D / L 14 / 8 / 12
67 Scored 66
75 Conceded 52
-8 GD +14
1.35 PPG 1.47
35% Win % 41%

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
24% Clean Sheets
Philadelphia Union this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). Philadelphia Union are 6th (50 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Philadelphia Union
0-15
4/6
16-30
6/7
31-45
8/7
46-60
12/2
61-75
17/5
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 17 G 2 A
Evander 14 G 13 A
Tom Barlow 10 G 4 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A
Philadelphia Union
Milan Iloski 19 G 2 A
Bruno Damiani 13 G 3 A
Cavan Sullivan 9 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union has kicked off!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' With 3 assists to his name this season, Quinn Sullivan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 263 games and scored 381 goals.
  • 20' Kai Wagner, a Germany defender, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 21' Olwethu Makhanya catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 21.
  • 26' Pavel Bucha has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
  • 31' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 31 minutes.
  • 36' Philadelphia Union has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 41' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
  • 45' The referee shows Philadelphia Union player a card on 45.
  • 49' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Bruno Damiani makes it 0-1.
  • 51' Nathan Harriel picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 60' The referee has no hesitation. Olwethu Makhanya is booked for Philadelphia Union — card on 60.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Philadelphia Union team. Quinn Sullivan is replaced by Frankie Westfield on 63 minute.
  • 64' Luca Orellano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dominik Marczuk on 64 minute.
  • 65' Gerardo Valenzuela is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brian Anunga at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 74' Bruno Damiani makes way for Mikkel Uhre at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Philadelphia Union.
  • 79' It looks like no one’s ball. Philadelphia Union is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Milan Iloski as he leaves the pitch. Jeremy Rafanello steps in for Philadelphia Union.
  • 85' Frankie Westfield is having his name booked by the referee on 85.
  • 89' Lukas Engel makes way for Kei Kamara at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kevin Denkey.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Philadelphia Union to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.97 Philadelphia Union xG
I would bet for: FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union 74% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati31% Draw26% Philadelphia Union43%
Actual: Philadelphia Union win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
57%
Draw or Philadelphia Union
69%
FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati24% Draw41% Philadelphia Union35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
4%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push Philadelphia Union covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 15% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 53% — 47%
+1 53% 20% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 14% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Philadelphia Union keeps clean sheet
23% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.