FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern Munchen vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern Munchen 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Slavko Vincic
- Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
- Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
9 games this season
🟨 5.4/game
⚽ 12.8 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–3 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Apr | Girona FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atlético de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #9 |
| 21 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 7 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 22 | Scored | 21 |
| 8 | Conceded | 12 |
| +14 | GD | +9 |
| 2.63 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 88% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 3 A |
| Michael Olise | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alphonso Davies | 2 G | |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 G |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 4 G | 1 A |
| Federico Valverde | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Allianz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 1' Arda Guler is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 6' Aleksandar Pavlovic makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
- 11' Joshua Kimmich has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
- 16' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 21' Eder Militao, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 29' What a moment for Arda Guler! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
- 29' That looks like a foul for a card for Josip Stanisic.
- 34' Ferland Mendy has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 38' GOAL! Harry Kane fires home to make it 2-2!
- 40' Eder Militao catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 40.
- 42' What a strike from Kylian Mbappe! The score is 2-3.
- 44' Vincent Kompany is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
- 46' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Josip Stanisic has done his job and it is now time for Alphonso Davies to step up.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' Franco Mastantuono has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
- 61' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jamal Musiala is hanging Serge Gnabry on the field on 61 minute.
- 62' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Brahim Diaz is withdrawn and Eduardo Camavinga gets his opportunity.
- 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Bayern Munchen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Antonio Rudiger. He receives a card.
- 75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 78' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Eduardo Camavinga gets a card.
- 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 86' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 89' GOAL! Luis Diaz scores on 89. Assisted by Jamal Musiala
- 90' Real Madrid CF make a change. Trent Alexander-Arnold trudges off to be replaced by Thiago Pitarch on 90 minutes.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Bayern Munchen players.
Lineups
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 7
- 1
- 6
- 4
- 2
- 27
- 14
- 17
- 44
- 45
Bench
- 8
- 22
- 19
- 21
- 10
- 3
- 40
- 11
- 37
- 38
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 62'
- 10
- 23
- 13
- 8
- 7
- 3
- 5
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Franco Mastantuono 90'
Bench
- 4
- 19
- 2
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 62'
- 18
- 20
- 26
- 24
- 16
-
30
Franco Mastantuono ↑ 90'
-
45
Thiago Pitarch ↑ 90'
- 29
Coach
Arbeloa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Alphonso Davies | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern Munchen Form
2026-04-15
FC Bayern München
4–3
Real Madrid CF
L
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-07
Real Madrid CF
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-04
SC Freiburg
2–3
FC Bayern München
W
2026-03-21
FC Bayern München
4–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-03-18
FC Bayern München
4–1
Atalanta BC
L
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84
FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
78%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
40%
FC Bayern Munchen or Real Madrid CF
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen
| Handicap | FC Bayern Munchen covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

