Friday , 6 November 2026

FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

Wed 15 Apr 2026 · 19:00 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 1' Arda Guler
1–2 29' Arda Guler
Harry Kane 38' 2–2
2–3 42' Kylian Mbappe
Luis Diaz 89' 3–3
Michael Olise 90+4' 4–3

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern Munchen vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
9 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–3 W
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W
04 Apr SC Freiburg A 3–2 W
21 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 4–0 W
18 Mar Atalanta BC H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Apr FC Bayern München A 3–4 L
10 Apr Girona FC H 1–1 D
07 Apr FC Bayern München H 1–2 L
04 Apr RCD Mallorca A 1–2 L
22 Mar Club Atlético de Madrid H 3–2 W
17 Mar Manchester City FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Real Madrid CF
#2 Position #9
21 Points 15
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 3
22 Scored 21
8 Conceded 12
+14 GD +9
2.63 PPG 1.88
88% Win % 63%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
0% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 4 G 3 A
Michael Olise 2 G 1 A
Alphonso Davies 2 G
Jamal Musiala 1 G
Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 4 G 1 A
Federico Valverde 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Allianz Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 1' Arda Guler is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
  • 6' Aleksandar Pavlovic makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 11' Joshua Kimmich has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 16' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 21' Eder Militao, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' What a moment for Arda Guler! That strike on 29 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 29' That looks like a foul for a card for Josip Stanisic.
  • 34' Ferland Mendy has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 38' GOAL! Harry Kane fires home to make it 2-2!
  • 40' Eder Militao catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 40.
  • 42' What a strike from Kylian Mbappe! The score is 2-3.
  • 44' Vincent Kompany is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
  • 46' FC Bayern Munchen ring the changes. Josip Stanisic has done his job and it is now time for Alphonso Davies to step up.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' Franco Mastantuono has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 61' FC Bayern Munchen manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jamal Musiala is hanging Serge Gnabry on the field on 61 minute.
  • 62' The Real Madrid CF bench stirs into life. Brahim Diaz is withdrawn and Eduardo Camavinga gets his opportunity.
  • 67' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Bayern Munchen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 70' The referee calls foul for Antonio Rudiger. He receives a card.
  • 75' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 78' It’s a booking for Real Madrid CF player. Eduardo Camavinga gets a card.
  • 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 86' Real Madrid CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 89' GOAL! Luis Diaz scores on 89. Assisted by Jamal Musiala
  • 90' Real Madrid CF make a change. Trent Alexander-Arnold trudges off to be replaced by Thiago Pitarch on 90 minutes.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Bayern Munchen players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84 FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern Munchen60% Draw19% Real Madrid CF21%
Actual: FC Bayern Munchen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
78%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
40%
FC Bayern Munchen or Real Madrid CF
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern Munchen45% Draw34% Real Madrid CF21%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen

Handicap FC Bayern Munchen covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 23% — 77%
-2 23% 16% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 18% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 12% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.