FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid CF, Champions League 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern Munchen vs Real Madrid CF — Champions League at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern Munchen 8 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
- Real Madrid CF 8 games · 15 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Slavko Vincic
- Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
- Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season
🟨 3.1/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 5 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Kobenhavn | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr | Real Madrid CF | H | 4–3 | W |
| 11 Apr | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Apr | SC Freiburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 10 Apr | Girona FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Club Atletico de Madrid | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Mar | Manchester City FC | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | Real Madrid CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #9 |
| 21 | Points | 15 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 7 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 3 |
| 22 | Scored | 21 |
| 8 | Conceded | 12 |
| +14 | GD | +9 |
| 2.63 | PPG | 1.88 |
| 88% | Win % | 63% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
88%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
Real Madrid CF this season
FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Real Madrid CF are 9th (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Real Madrid CF
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Harry Kane | 14 G | 2 A |
| Luis Diaz | 7 G | 3 A |
| Michael Olise | 5 G | 6 A |
| Lennart Karl | 4 G | 2 A |
Real Madrid CF
| Kylian Mbappe | 15 G | 1 A |
| Vinicius Junior | 5 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Allianz Arena as FC Bayern Munchen face off against Real Madrid CF in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 1' Goal! Arda Guler scores his 16 goal in 192 matches.
- 6' Magnificent from Aleksandar Pavlovic! That is 4 goals in 540 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 11' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Manuel Neuer suffering a number of foals already.
- 21' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 26' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 29' Arda Guler with the second goal in the match!
- 29' Poor challenge from Josip Stanisic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arbeloa will be considering his options from the bench.
- 38' Brilliant from the ! Harry Kane makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 38.
- 40' Eder Militao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 42' Kylian Mbappe has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 42 minutes.
- 44' Vincent Kompany catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 44.
- 46' The whistle greets Josip Stanisic as he departs to be replaced by Alphonso Davies.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Serge Gnabry is replaced by Jamal Musiala on 61 minute.
- 62' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Eduardo Camavinga comes on to replace Brahim Diaz.
- 67' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 70' A meaty challenge results in booking for Antonio Rudiger on 70.
- 75' Franco Mastantuono has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 78' That is a card for Real Madrid CF. Eduardo Camavinga will be fuming at that decision.
- 83' FC Bayern Munchen started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 83.
- 86' Real Madrid CF player sees a card in front of him.
- 89' Assisted by Jamal Musiala with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luis Diaz makes no mistake. 3-3!
- 90' Trent Alexander-Arnold makes way for Thiago Pitarch at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Real Madrid CF.
- Another three points for FC Bayern Munchen.
Lineups
FC Bayern Munchen Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 7
- 1
- 6
- 4
- 2
- 27
- 14
- 17
- 44
- 45
Bench
- 8
- 22
- 19
- 21
- 10
- 3
- 40
- 11
- 37
- 38
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Real Madrid CF Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 12
- 22
-
21
Brahim Diaz ↓ Eduardo Camavinga 62'
- 10
- 23
- 13
- 8
- 7
- 3
- 5
-
15
Arda Guler ↓ Franco Mastantuono 90'
Bench
- 4
- 19
- 2
-
6
Eduardo Camavinga ↑ 62'
- 18
- 20
- 26
- 24
- 16
-
30
Franco Mastantuono ↑ 90'
-
45
Thiago Pitarch ↑ 90'
- 29
Coach
Arbeloa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 3 |
| Joselu | 2 |
| Luis Diaz | 2 |
| Kylian Mbappe | 2 |
| Arda Guler | 2 |
| Vinicius Junior | 2 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern Munchen Form
2026-04-15
FC Bayern München
4–3
Real Madrid CF
L
2026-04-11
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–5
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-07
Real Madrid CF
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2026-04-04
SC Freiburg
2–3
FC Bayern München
W
2026-03-21
FC Bayern München
4–0
1. FC Union Berlin
L
2026-03-18
FC Bayern München
4–1
Atalanta BC
L
Real Madrid CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.84
FC Bayern Munchen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.85
Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 78%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern Munchen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern Munchen or Draw
78%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
40%
FC Bayern Munchen or Real Madrid CF
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Real Madrid CF win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.5%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 3
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern Munchen
| Handicap | FC Bayern Munchen covers | Push | Real Madrid CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 16% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 18% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern Munchen keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.